Preston Title Chances 2014-2015Beat Bristol City 1-0, title odds up 7.1 to 15.5% 34 points 10-4-4 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 10/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | | Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2 | -0.6 | | -0.3 | | | | | | | Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 | -0.2 | | -0.5 | | | | | | | Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | | Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | | | Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | | Gillingham 0 Preston 1 | +2.9 | | +5.8 | | -0.1 | | +0.7 | | | Preston 2 Port Vale 0 | +1.9 | | +4.1 | | -0.2 | | +0.6 | | | Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 | -0.9 | | -0.7 | | | | | | | Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 | +0.7 | | +0.4 | | | | | | | Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 | +0.4 | | +0.9 | | | | +0.1 | | | Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 | -0.3 | | -0.5 | | | | | | | Swindon 2 Rochdale 3 | +0.3 | | +0.5 | | | | | | | Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 | -0.2 | | -0.6 | | | | | | | Milton Keynes D 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | | | | Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | | Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | -0.0 | | | Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 | *+0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | | Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 | *+0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 | *-0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | | | | Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | | Oldham 4 Coventry 1 | | | -0.2 | | | | | | | Chesterfield 1 Oldham 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | | Bradford 0 Sheff Utd 2 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Preston finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | League | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Two | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 109 | -118 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 60,891 | * | | 108 | | 24 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,352 | * | | 107 | | 23 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,676 | * | | 106 | | 23 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,658 | * | | 105 | | 23 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,959 | * | | 104 | | 22 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,216 | * | | 103 | | 22 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,133 | * | | 102 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 68,305 | * | | 101 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 118,000 | * | | 100 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.5 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 198,325 | * | | 99 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.2 | | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 321,005 | * | | 98 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 98.8 | | 100.0 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 509,497 | * | | 97 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 98.2 | | 100.0 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 780,735 | * | | 96 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 97.2 | | 100.0 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,171,969 | * | | 95 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 95.9 | | 100.0 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,715,019 | * | | 94 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 94.0 | | 99.9 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,443,151 | * | | 93 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 91.4 | | 99.9 | | 91 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,396,854 | * | | 92 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 88.0 | | 99.7 | | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,616,625 | * | | 91 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 83.6 | | 99.4 | | 84 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,132,224 | * | | 90 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 78.3 | | 98.9 | | 78 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,953,240 | * | | 89 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 71.8 | | 98.0 | | 72 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,101,615 | * | | 88 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 64.4 | | 96.6 | | 64 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,530,997 | * | | 87 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 56.1 | | 94.4 | | 56 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,213,588 | * | | 86 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 47.3 | | 91.2 | | 47 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,071,374 | * | | 85 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 38.2 | | 86.7 | | 38 | 44 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,010,269 | * | | 84 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 29.5 | | 80.8 | | 30 | 45 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,915,787 | * | | 83 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 21.5 | | 73.6 | | 22 | 43 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,661,125 | * | | 82 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 14.8 | | 65.4 | | 15 | 39 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,090,175 | * | | 81 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 9.4 | | 56.6 | | 9 | 33 | 37 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,094,012 | * | | 80 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 5.5 | | 48.1 | | 5 | 25 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,544,886 | * | | 79 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 2.9 | | 40.5 | | 3 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 33,348,722 | * | | 78 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 1.4 | | 34.3 | | 1 | 11 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 33,477,657 | * | | 77 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 0.6 | | 29.8 | | 1 | 6 | 23 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,896,479 | * | | 76 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 0.2 | | 26.6 | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,683,551 | * | | 75 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 0.1 | | 24.0 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,866,666 | * | | 74 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 21.3 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,587,488 | * | | 73 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 17.9 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,939,079 | * | | 72 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 13.7 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,071,398 | * | | 71 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 9.3 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,129,662 | * | | 70 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 10 | No | 5.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16,212,626 | * | | 69 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 2.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,453,452 | * | | 68 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | 1.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,916,279 | * | | 67 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 11 | No | 0.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 8,659,137 | * | | 66 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 6,717,212 | * | | 65 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 5,096,980 | * | | 64 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,772,081 | * | | 63 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 2,725,737 | * | | 62 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 1,928,359 | * | | 61 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 1,324,772 | * | | 60 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 890,896 | * | | 59 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 581,268 | * | | 58 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 370,569 | * | | 57 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.2 | | 229,685 | * | | 56 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.9 | | 138,226 | * | | 55 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 3.3 | | 79,975 | * | | 54 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.0 | | 45,651 | * | | 53 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | | 19.4 | | 25,054 | * | | 52 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 35.9 | | 13,287 | * | | 51 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 53.3 | | 6,638 | * | | 50 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 70.4 | | 3,249 | * | | 49 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 84.7 | | 1,573 | * | | 48 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 7 | 22 | 38 | 25 | 5 | 90.7 | | 774 | * | | 47 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 17 | 38 | 32 | 10 | 97.0 | | 332 | * | | 46 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 9 | 28 | 43 | 18 | 97.9 | | 142 | * | | 45 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 15 | 54 | 29 | Yes | 48 | * | | 44 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 68 | 27 | Yes | 22 | * | | 43 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 40 | 60 | Yes | 5 | * | | 42 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | Yes | 1 | | | 34 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 28 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 59,902 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 15.5 | % | 44.7 | % | 16 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 578,055,296 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |