How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2 -0.7
-0.3
Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 -0.3
-0.6
Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 +0.1
+0.2
Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 +0.2
Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 +0.2
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Milton Keynes D 2 Fleetwood Town 1 +1.8
+4.5
-0.1
+0.6
Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 -1.1
-0.7
Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 -0.7
-1.2
-0.1
Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 +0.5
+0.3
Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 +0.3
+0.8
Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 -0.3
-0.5
Gillingham 0 Preston 1 -0.3
-0.6
Preston 2 Port Vale 0 -0.2
-0.4
Swindon 2 Rochdale 3 +0.2
+0.3
Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 +0.1
+0.2
Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 -0.1
-0.4
Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 -0.1
-0.3
Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 -0.1
-0.3
Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 +0.2
Chesterfield 1 Oldham 1 +0.2
Oldham 4 Coventry 1 -0.2
Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 +0.2
Scunthorpe 1 Colchester 1 *+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Milton Keynes D finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
108-123YesYes100No69,947*
10724-5-2100.0%Yes1000No9,474*
10624-4-399.9Yes1000No17,111*
10524-3-499.9Yes1000No30,702*
10423-5-399.9Yes1000No52,878*
10323-4-499.9Yes1000No89,126*
10222-6-399.8Yes1000No146,404*
10122-5-499.7Yes1000No233,995*
10022-4-599.5100.0%10000No365,491*
9921-6-499.3100.09910No556,010*
9821-5-598.9100.09910No827,426*
9720-7-498.3100.09820No1,204,744*
9620-6-597.4100.09730No1,713,490*
9520-5-696.1100.09640No2,389,270*
9419-7-594.399.994600No3,258,634*
9319-6-691.899.992800No4,350,316*
9219-5-788.699.78911000No5,697,994*
9118-7-684.599.5841510No7,301,349*
9018-6-779.399.07919100No9,176,576*
8917-8-673.198.27325200No11,307,916*
8817-7-765.896.966304000No13,652,267*
8717-6-857.694.958366000No16,182,178*
8616-8-748.891.8494010100No18,812,031*
8516-7-839.787.6404415200No21,442,808*
8416-6-930.881.93145203000No23,987,628*
8315-8-822.774.82344276100No26,342,406*
8215-7-915.666.6164033111000No28,365,808*
8115-6-1010.057.81034371630000No29,990,682*
8014-8-95.949.1626382361000No31,123,028*
7914-7-103.141.23193630102000No31,686,154*
7813-9-91.534.811231341740000No31,673,997*
7713-8-100.630.11724362481000No31,074,444*
7613-7-110.226.7031633311430000No29,911,369*
7512-9-100.124.1019263421710000No28,255,714*
7412-8-110.021.30051832291330000No26,199,609*
7312-7-120.017.90021026322171000No23,834,197*
7211-9-110.013.700151831281330000No21,261,359*
7111-8-120.09.200021025322282000No18,609,627*
7011-7-13No5.300151629291551000No15,985,305*
6910-9-12No2.5000282231241020000No13,455,313*
6810-8-13No1.00000313273019710000No11,108,173*
6710-7-14No0.3000161829271441000No8,993,515*
669-9-13No0.1000210223023103000No7,127,883*
659-8-14No0.0000141326291972000No5,537,806*
649-7-15No0.000161728271551000No4,218,563*
638-9-14No0.0000282029241241000No3,140,120*
628-8-15NoNo000311232921920000No2,289,017*
617-10-14NoNo000151426281872000No1,633,236*
607-9-15NoNo0001617272615510000.0%1,141,295*
597-8-16NoNo0002820282412410000.0776,941*
586-10-15NoNo0003112329221030000.0516,398*
576-9-16NoNo00141425281971000.2337,530*
566-8-17NoNo00161728271551000.8213,955*
556-7-18NoNo00029213024113003.0131,668*
545-9-17NoNo0131225302071008.480,177*
535-8-18NoNo00161729281430018.346,822*
525-7-19NoNo002924322481033.226,657*
514-9-18NoNo014153031163050.314,845*
504-8-19NoNo00182335257167.87,888*
494-7-20NoNo00316323414180.54,119*
483-9-19NoNo17263924392.32,130*
473-8-20NoNo04174031895.91,020*
463-7-21NoNo11335391298.5478*
452-9-20NoNo6304817Yes212*
442-8-21NoNo255125Yes102*
432-7-22NoNo105040Yes50*
422-6-23NoNo173350Yes12*
411-8-22NoNo333333Yes3*
38-40NoNo100Yes2*
300-0-31NoNo0100Yes59,902
Total:17.6%46.4%181715131086432111000000000000.0%578,055,296

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship