How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Bolton Wanderers 0 Burton Albion 1 No
No
+11.5
-0.5
Sunderland 1 Fulham 0 +2.9
-0.1
Birmingham City 1 QPR 2 -0.4
Brentford 0 Barnsley 0 +0.3
Cardiff City 1 Hull City 0 -0.1
Millwall 2 Middlesbrough 1 +0.1
Leeds United 1 Norwich City 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City+0.0NoNo
+0.0NoNo
-10.6-0.6+3.7
+0.5+0.0-0.2
QPR vs Bristol City+0.4*+0.0-0.3
Fulham vs Barnsley-0.8+0.3+1.8
Sunderland vs Birmingham City+1.0-1.4-1.6
Reading vs Burton Albion-0.3+0.2+1.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Leeds United vs Hull City-0.2+0.1+0.5
Norwich City vs Brentford+0.2-0.0-0.2
Sheffield Wedne vs Middlesbrough+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bolton Wanderers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seedFootball
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
8824-0-014.5%70.5%145627300No302,156
7819-5-0NoNo100No1
7719-4-1NoNo333333No3
7619-3-2NoNo100No1
7519-2-3NoNo3367No3*
7418-4-2NoNo838468No13*
7318-3-3NoNo19423144No26*
7217-5-2NoNo2726282116No57*
7117-4-3NoNo2153329192No150*
7017-3-4NoNo082236231110No341*
6916-5-3NoNo041531301541No844*
6816-4-4NoNo0172034261020No1,824*
6716-3-5NoNo00213273219610No3,960*
6615-5-4NoNo01619322812300No8,398*
6515-4-5NoNo002112632217100No17,171*
6414-6-4NoNo01516312814400No34,385*
6314-5-5NoNo001823322492000No66,587*
6214-4-6NoNo003132830186100No124,941*
6113-6-5NoNo00016193027133000No229,617*
6013-5-6NoNo0002102431228200No411,003*
5913-4-7NoNo0014152829175100No717,045*
5812-6-6NoNo0017203126123000No1,215,767*
5712-5-7NoNo0003112531217100No2,013,935*
5611-7-6NoNo000151730291540000.0%3,243,947*
5511-6-7NoNo0002923322492000.05,099,306*
5411-5-8NoNo00004142931174000.07,816,082*
5310-7-7NoNo00017213326101000.111,686,578*
5210-6-8NoNo0003132934184000.217,029,736*
5110-5-9NoNo0001622362781000.724,195,312*
509-7-8NoNo0003133235152001.933,490,393*
499-6-9NoNo000172539244004.545,202,534*
489-5-10NoNo00031738339009.059,427,142*
478-7-9NoNo0001103340151015.976,127,965*
468-6-10NoNo000052544241025.394,982,752*
458-5-11NoNo00021744343036.7115,339,207*
447-7-10NoNo0011039436049.2136,332,585*
437-6-11NoNo0006325111061.6156,797,180*
427-5-12NoNo0003245517172.8175,329,127*
416-7-11NoNo0001175524282.0190,533,945*
406-6-12NoNo001115232589.0201,112,914*
396-5-13NoNo0064640893.8206,005,371*
385-7-12NoNo00338461396.8204,667,584*
375-6-13NoNo00229502098.5197,013,504*
365-5-14NoNo00121512899.4183,580,800*
354-7-13NoNo0014483799.8165,367,865*
344-6-14NoNo009444799.9143,815,360*
334-5-15NoNo0053758100.0120,625,581*
323-7-14NoNo033067100.097,371,789*
313-6-15NoNo012376100.075,473,817*
303-5-16NoNo011683100.056,088,319*
292-7-15NoNo001189100.039,857,184*
282-6-16NoNo00793100.026,976,057*
272-5-17NoNo0496Yes17,330,370*
262-4-18NoNo0298Yes10,524,186*
251-6-17NoNo0199Yes6,005,706*
241-5-18NoNo00100Yes3,198,386*
231-4-19NoNo0100Yes1,574,176*
220-6-18NoNo0100Yes707,462*
210-5-19NoNo0100Yes284,312*
200-4-20NoNo0100Yes100,905*
16-19NoNo100Yes339,821*
Total:0.0%0.0%000000000000000001261329272177.0%2,915,803,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship