How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Hull City 0 Ipswich Town 1 +0.2
+2.5
+1.0
Ipswich Town 0 Oxford United 0 -0.1
-0.7
-0.2
Wigan Athletic 1 Lincoln City 2 -0.0
-0.1
Peterborough Un 3 AFC Wimbledon 0 -0.0
-0.1
Plymouth Argyle 0 Peterborough Un 3 -0.1
+0.0
Lincoln City 2 Swindon Town 2 +0.1
Doncaster Rovers 3 Hull City 3 +0.1
Portsmouth 0 Blackpool 1 +0.1
Accrington Stan 1 Shrewsbury Town 1 +0.1
Sunderland 2 Fleetwood Town 0 -0.2
Crewe Alexandra 2 Accrington Stan 0 +0.2
Burton Albion 0 Sunderland 3 -0.2
-0.1
Charlton Athletic 1 Burton Albion 2 +0.1
+0.1
Oxford United 0 Portsmouth 1 -0.1
Swindon Town 2 Crewe Alexandra 1 +0.1
Rochdale 0 Plymouth Argyle 0 +0.0
AFC Wimbledon 1 Gillingham 0 +0.1
Milton Keynes D 4 Northampton Town 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Ipswich Town vs Doncaster Rovers+0.2-0.1-0.1
+2.4-0.5-1.7
+1.0-0.1-0.7
Accrington Stan vs Ipswich Town-0.1-0.0+0.2
-1.6-0.4+2.5
-0.7-0.1+1.0
Plymouth Argyle vs Lincoln City+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Lincoln City vs Fleetwood Town-0.1+0.0+0.1
Peterborough Un vs Wigan Athletic-0.1+0.1+0.2
Oxford United vs Peterborough Un-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
AFC Wimbledon vs Hull City+0.3+0.1-0.2
Hull City vs Rochdale-0.2+0.1+0.3
Portsmouth vs Gillingham-0.2+0.1+0.2
Crewe Alexandra vs Sunderland+0.2+0.1-0.2
Doncaster Rovers vs Portsmouth*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Sunderland vs Swindon Town-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Fleetwood Town vs Accrington Stan+0.2+0.1-0.2
Milton Keynes D vs Oxford United+0.1+0.1-0.1
Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra-0.1+0.1+0.1
Wigan Athletic vs Charlton Athletic+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Charlton Athletic vs Blackpool*+0.0+0.1-0.0
Northampton Town vs Plymouth Argyle+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ipswich Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
9818-0-098.1%100.0%9820No449,602
9617-1-094.0100.09460No11,471
9517-0-190.299.990100No17,111
9416-2-086.899.887130No52,314
9316-1-180.499.4801910No155,335
9215-3-073.498.8732520No265,932*
9115-2-165.297.76532300No667,961
9015-1-255.195.55539600No1,297,295*
8914-3-145.192.4454510000No2,283,901*
8814-2-234.587.2354816100No4,439,766*
8714-1-324.880.32549233000No7,286,935*
8613-3-216.671.81746316000No11,901,875*
8513-2-310.061.8103939111000No19,308,086*
8412-4-25.451.753043183000No28,462,203*
8312-3-32.642.5321422771000No41,909,800*
8212-2-41.135.21133734132000No59,549,939*
8111-4-30.430.10728382151000No79,819,698*
8011-3-40.126.803193629112000No105,909,647*
7911-2-50.024.5011030351950000No134,928,325*
7810-4-40.022.3005203528102000No165,136,088*
7710-3-50.019.30021229341840000No198,457,155*
769-5-40.015.30016203427102000No229,438,034*
759-4-50.010.700021229341840000No256,645,391*
749-3-60.06.500015203528102000No280,648,748*
738-5-5No3.200021128341951000No295,862,769*
728-4-6No1.300015193428112000No302,742,989*
718-3-7No0.400021027342061000No301,863,425*
707-5-6No0.1000041733291330000No290,649,838*
697-4-7No0.00001825342381000No271,724,097*
687-3-8No0.0000031530311641000No247,114,027*
676-5-7No0.000017213226112000No216,990,177*
666-4-8No0.00002122732206100No184,889,272*
656-3-9No0.000015173129143000No152,877,328*
645-5-8NoNo000292333249100No121,931,600*
635-4-9NoNo000314293217400No94,189,603*
625-3-10NoNo000162134279100No70,415,950*
614-5-9NoNo000212293518300No50,679,627*
604-4-10NoNo00015203729800No35,169,807*
594-3-11NoNo000211323915100No23,548,801*
583-5-10NoNo0015234226300No15,107,028*
573-4-11NoNo00021340378000No9,295,921*
563-3-12NoNo0006314515100No5,477,522*
552-5-11NoNo0003214825400No3,071,548*
542-4-12NoNo00111433591000.0%1,638,019*
532-3-13NoNo00533421730000.0827,381*
521-5-12NoNo02224226710000.1391,615*
511-4-13NoNo01123635143000.2173,117*
501-3-14NoNo052638237101.171,025*
491-2-15NoNo02153432153003.426,564*
480-4-14NoNo172535238108.88,755*
470-3-15NoNo03153131164020.32,552*
460-2-16NoNo162035279238.2634
450-1-17NoNo316193921363.0108
440-0-18NoNo0051936311076.2448,385
Total:0.3%8.0%013571011121210875321000000000.0%4,326,232,096

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship