How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Accrington Stan 3 Port Vale 2 No
+0.5
-0.4
Forest Green Ro 5 Cambridge United 2 +0.2
Yeovil Town 1 Chesterfield 2 +0.2
Crewe Alexandra 2 Wycombe Wanderers 3 -0.1
+0.1
Luton Town 1 Morecambe 0 +0.0
Mansfield Town 3 Cheltenham Town 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Notts County vs Crawley Town+0.0-0.0-0.1
Newport County vs Morecambe-0.1+0.0+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Port Vale vs Colchester United+0.0NoNo
-1.5+0.2+1.8
+0.8-0.3-0.8
Grimsby Town vs Luton Town-0.1-0.0+0.1
Cambridge United vs Notts County-0.1+0.0+0.1
Crawley Town vs Accrington Stan-0.1+0.0+0.1
Exeter City vs Forest Green Ro-0.2+0.1+0.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Carlisle United vs Forest Green Ro-0.2+0.0+0.5
Chesterfield vs Stevenage+0.4-0.1-0.3
Cheltenham Town vs Barnet-0.2*-0.0+0.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Yeovil Town vs Grimsby Town+0.2-0.1-0.2
Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra-0.1+0.0+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Morecambe vs Mansfield Town+0.2-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Stevenage vs Swindon Town-0.1+0.0+0.1
Coventry City vs Cambridge United+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Port Vale finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
8317-0-05.7%89.1%646381010No91,836
8116-1-00.872.712250198No121
8016-0-10.948.711335341530No234
7915-2-00.137.10730362060No843
7815-1-1No20.231734311230No2,751
7714-3-0No10.419273421710No5,483*
7614-2-1No4.40416322815410No15,824
7514-1-2No1.30182332249200No35,109*
7413-3-1No0.3003142830185100No71,479*
7313-2-2No0.1001619312712300No156,074*
7213-1-3No0.0002102532227100No292,255*
7112-3-2No0.0001416303115300No541,227*
7012-2-3NoNo00172234269100No989,016*
6911-4-2NoNo000313293417300No1,644,785*
6811-3-3NoNo00162036288100No2,723,169*
6711-2-4NoNo0002113036173000No4,334,071*
6610-4-3NoNo000521382781000No6,498,700*
6510-3-4NoNo0002113235163000No9,613,763*
6410-2-5NoNo000522372681000No13,612,718*
639-4-4NoNo002133234163000No18,478,337*
629-3-5NoNo000623362581000No24,548,517*
618-5-4NoNo0002133133164000No31,260,778*
608-4-5NoNo001622342692000No38,432,238*
598-3-6NoNo0002122933185100No46,031,128*
587-5-5NoNo0016203328112000No52,956,107*
577-4-6NoNo00021127342061000No58,924,199*
567-3-7NoNo0014173330132000No63,688,946*
556-5-6NoNo00019253522710000.0%66,189,649*
546-4-7NoNo00031532321430000.066,501,010*
536-3-8NoNo00017233524810000.064,741,762*
525-5-7NoNo00031331331640000.060,573,246*
515-4-8NoNo001622352691000.154,736,609*
505-3-9NoNo0002133134174000.347,752,415*
494-5-8NoNo00162235279101.239,958,376*
484-4-9NoNo000212313417303.432,194,348*
474-3-10NoNo0016223727818.324,931,097*
463-5-9NoNo00213333515216.818,438,713*
453-4-10NoNo0016253925429.013,065,758*
443-3-11NoNo003163835943.98,843,878*
432-5-10NoNo001831431759.45,671,394*
422-4-11NoNo00423472773.23,452,418*
412-3-12NoNo00214463883.91,986,665*
401-5-11NoNo018405191.31,068,475*
391-4-12NoNo004336395.7533,642*
381-3-13NoNo02257398.1247,565*
371-2-14NoNo01178299.3103,968*
360-4-13NoNo0128899.738,568*
350-3-14NoNo079399.912,513*
340-2-15NoNo0496100.03,295
330-1-16NoNo298Yes616
320-0-17NoNo199Yes91,864
Total:0.0%0.0%000000000123681011131311974212.7%886,087,552

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship