How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 +2.7
+5.0
-0.1
+0.6
Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 -1.3
-0.9
Preston 2 Port Vale 0 -0.3
-0.5
Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 +0.2
+0.3
+0.0
Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 -0.1
-0.4
Chesterfield 1 Oldham 1 +0.1
+0.3
Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 +0.1
+0.2
Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Crewe vs Peterborough-3.5-1.5+3.2
-6.3-2.4+5.6
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-0.6-0.2+0.5
Bristol City vs Bradford-1.2+0.8+1.8
-0.6+0.5+0.9
Gillingham vs Preston+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.8+0.3-0.9
Swindon vs Rochdale-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.5+0.5+0.5
Milton Keynes D vs Fleetwood Town-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.4+0.4+0.4
Barnsley vs Notts County+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.3-0.6
Sheff Utd vs Yeovil-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.4
Colchester vs Chesterfield+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.4
Oldham vs Coventry-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Coventry vs Peterborough-3.2-1.1+3.7
-5.7-1.7+6.4
-0.6-0.1+0.6
Barnsley vs Bristol City+1.4+0.4-1.6
+0.7+0.2-0.8
Leyton Orient vs Preston+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.7+0.3-0.9
Swindon vs Colchester-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.7+0.5+0.9
Chesterfield vs Swindon+0.3+0.2-0.5
+0.3+0.3-0.7
Preston vs Fleetwood Town-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.5+0.4+0.5
Doncaster vs Milton Keynes D+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.6+0.3-0.8
Scunthorpe vs Notts County+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.6+0.2-0.6
Yeovil vs Rochdale+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.3
Walsall vs Chesterfield+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.4
Crewe vs Sheff Utd+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.4
Oldham vs Bradford-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Peterborough finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
105-125YesYes100No1,519*
10424-6-399.5%Yes1000No433*
10324-5-499.7Yes1000No722*
10224-4-599.4Yes991No1,237*
10123-6-499.0Yes991No1,975*
10023-5-598.9Yes991No3,044*
9922-7-498.0Yes982No4,784*
9822-6-597.6Yes982No7,081*
9722-5-696.6Yes973No10,600*
9621-7-595.4100.0%9550No15,274*
9521-6-693.5100.09360No21,637*
9421-5-791.199.99190No29,777*
9320-7-688.499.988110No40,969*
9220-6-784.899.7851500No55,005*
9119-8-680.399.5801910No71,206*
9019-7-775.399.1752310No91,840*
8919-6-869.198.3692920No116,460*
8818-8-762.297.36234400No144,317*
8718-7-854.795.65539600No176,002*
8618-6-946.993.04744910No210,343*
8517-8-838.689.3394713100No246,839*
8417-7-930.784.5314918200No283,284*
8316-9-823.378.42348245000No321,083*
8216-8-916.571.01745308100No358,142*
8116-7-1011.062.711393512200No391,370*
8015-9-96.954.273238184000No419,365*
7915-8-103.946.042438258100No442,100*
7815-7-112.038.92173530133000No458,273*
7714-9-100.933.11102934196100No465,905*
7614-8-110.428.806213426112000No466,130*
7514-7-120.125.503142931175100No457,878*
7413-9-110.022.5018223224102000No442,503*
7313-8-120.019.20041428291761000No419,038*
7213-7-130.015.20018213025113000No390,023*
7112-9-120.010.800041326291972000No357,274*
7012-8-13No6.60017182926144100No320,398*
6911-10-12No3.4000311232922102000No282,020*
6811-9-13No1.40015152628186100No244,373*
6711-8-14No0.50027192825134100No206,855*
6610-10-13No0.100031022292210300No173,345*
6510-9-14No0.00014142528197200No141,205*
6410-8-15No0.000161727261551000No113,652*
639-10-14NoNo00029202924124100No89,545*
629-9-15NoNo001311232921103000No69,046*
619-8-16NoNo0014142528187200No52,003*
608-10-15NoNo0016172726165100No38,527*
598-9-16NoNo002820282413410No28,165*
588-8-17NoNo001311222822103000.0%19,924*
577-10-16NoNo00141324281982000.313,853*
567-9-17NoNo0016162726166101.19,430*
557-8-18NoNo00039202824123104.16,453*
546-10-17NoNo00141224282092011.14,008*
536-9-18NoNo0261427281851023.32,522*
526-8-19NoNo028213125113038.91,543*
515-10-18NoNo14122730197056.0956*
505-9-19NoNo01720292914172.1623*
495-8-20NoNo1210273520687.1325*
484-10-19NoNo17184325691.7192*
474-9-20NoNo151131391393.593*
464-8-21NoNo15353911Yes46*
454-7-22NoNo10243828Yes29*
444-6-23NoNo102070Yes10*
433-8-22NoNo6040Yes5*
422-10-21NoNo5050Yes2
413-6-24NoNo5050Yes2*
260-0-33NoNo100Yes906
Total:12.5%40.2%121615121087543221110000000000.1%8,743,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)