"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Peterborough 1 Portsmouth 2 -6.3
-6.9
-0.5
Coventry 1 Barnsley 0 +1.0
+0.9
Burton 2 Sunderland 1 +0.7
+0.7
Fleetwood Town 1 Accrington 1 +0.2
+0.3
Plymouth 0 Blackpool 1 -0.1
-0.3
Bradford City 0 Charlton 2 -0.1
-0.3
Walsall 1 Doncaster 4 *+0.1
Luton 1 Bristol Rovers 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Gillingham vs Peterborough-4.7-1.9+4.4
-6.7-2.4+6.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-0.6-0.2+0.5
Portsmouth vs Wycombe-1.4+0.7+1.6
-0.9+0.4+1.0
Barnsley vs Burton-0.6+0.3+0.6
-0.7+0.4+0.7
Doncaster vs Bradford City-0.5+0.3+0.6
-0.7+0.4+0.8
Sunderland vs Rochdale-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.6+0.3+0.5
Southend vs Fleetwood Town+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.6+0.3-0.6
Charlton vs Plymouth-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.2+0.5
Oxford Utd vs Walsall+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.2-0.5
Blackpool vs Luton-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.2
Accrington vs AFC Wimbledon-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
Bristol Rovers vs Coventry+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Peterborough finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
112-133YesYes100No405,711*
11128-8-2100.0%Yes1000No5,816*
11028-7-3100.0Yes1000No10,842*
10928-6-4100.0Yes1000No19,401*
10827-8-399.9Yes1000No34,803*
10727-7-499.9Yes1000No60,454*
10626-9-3100.0Yes1000No102,647*
10526-8-499.9Yes1000No170,382*
10426-7-599.9Yes1000No279,100*
10325-9-499.9Yes1000No444,383*
10225-8-599.8Yes1000No699,122*
10124-10-499.8Yes1000No1,076,363*
10024-9-599.7100.0%10000No1,625,346*
9924-8-699.5100.010000No2,412,720*
9823-10-599.4100.09910No3,507,995*
9723-9-699.1100.09910No5,021,766*
9623-8-798.7100.09910No7,056,728*
9522-10-698.1100.09820No9,746,643*
9422-9-797.3100.09730No13,239,973*
9321-11-696.2100.096400No17,658,505*
9221-10-794.8100.095500No23,188,561*
9121-9-892.999.993700No29,919,939*
9020-11-790.599.9909000No37,985,212*
8920-10-887.399.78712000No47,422,165*
8819-12-783.499.58316100No58,265,784*
8719-11-878.799.079201000No70,432,974*
8619-10-973.098.373252000No83,753,051*
8518-12-866.397.166304000No97,993,467*
8418-11-958.895.3593560000No112,846,376*
8318-10-1050.792.5513991000No127,866,028*
8217-12-942.188.74243132000No142,609,042*
8117-11-1033.583.534441830000No156,501,721*
8016-13-925.476.925442461000No169,020,316*
7916-12-1018.169.01841301020000No179,707,209*
7816-11-1112.060.31235341530000No187,973,315*
7715-13-107.451.47283621610000No193,561,891*
7615-12-114.142.842035271120000No196,131,694*
7515-11-122.035.1213303117510000No195,526,971*
7414-13-110.928.4182332241020000No191,840,327*
7314-12-120.322.60416292916510000No185,191,989*
7213-14-110.117.30292330231030000No175,892,701*
7113-13-120.012.301415272817610000No164,300,503*
7013-12-130.07.7002820292412410000No150,994,895*
6912-14-120.04.20014132529208200000No136,505,318*
6812-13-130.01.90001617272615510000No121,345,561*
6712-12-140.00.700002921282312410000No106,008,653*
6611-14-13No0.20001412242820920000No91,103,584*
6511-13-14No0.000001515262717720000No76,949,307*
6411-12-15No0.000002718272514510000No63,865,785*
6310-14-14No0.000003920272312410000No52,070,443*
6210-13-15No0.0000141122272110310000No41,720,670*
6110-12-16NoNo00001513242719820000No32,823,360*
609-14-15NoNo000016162526177200000.0%25,351,082*
599-13-16NoNo00002718262515510000.019,213,228*
589-12-17NoNo00003920272313410000.014,292,649*
578-14-16NoNo000131122272211310000.110,428,391*
568-13-17NoNo00014132427198200000.37,459,770*
558-12-18NoNo00001616262617610001.55,226,883*
547-14-17NoNo000281928251341004.93,591,893*
537-13-18NoNo00013112329221020012.22,415,225*
527-12-19NoNo000151526281861024.61,590,855*
516-14-18NoNo00028203026123041.01,026,135*
506-13-19NoNo00013122631206158.4645,324*
496-12-20NoNo001619312812273.9396,741*
485-14-19NoNo000312273420485.4238,253*
475-13-20NoNo0016213629892.7139,172*
465-12-21NoNo00031433361496.879,467*
454-14-20NoNo001828422198.744,459*
444-13-21NoNo00521443099.524,072*
434-12-22NoNo0214443999.912,691*
424-11-23NoNo0194049100.06,483*
413-13-22NoNo163657Yes3,190*
403-12-23NoNo042967Yes1,545*
393-11-24NoNo022375Yes708*
382-13-23NoNo02179Yes317*
372-12-24NoNo1783Yes134*
362-11-25NoNo1387Yes60*
352-10-26NoNo1388Yes24*
342-9-27NoNo1189Yes9*
332-8-28NoNo2575Yes4*
190-0-38NoNo0100Yes399,708
Total:20.4%46.1%20171411975433211110000000000.1%3,857,485,984

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship