"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 +2.3
+5.4
-0.3
+0.9
Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2 -0.5
-0.3
Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 +0.1
+0.3
Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 +0.2
Oldham 2 Walsall 1 -0.1
Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 *+0.1
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 -3.5
-6.3
+0.1
-0.6
Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 +2.7
+5.0
-0.1
+0.6
Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 -1.3
-0.8
Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 +0.9
+0.4
Gillingham 0 Preston 1 -0.4
-0.9
Swindon 2 Rochdale 3 +0.4
+0.5
Preston 2 Port Vale 0 -0.3
-0.5
Milton Keynes D 2 Fleetwood Town 1 -0.2
-0.4
Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 -0.2
-0.5
Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 +0.2
+0.3
Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 +0.1
+0.3
Chesterfield 1 Oldham 1 +0.1
+0.2
Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 *+0.1
*+0.2
Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 -0.1
-0.3
Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 *-0.1
-0.3
Oldham 4 Coventry 1 *-0.1
-0.2
Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 +0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Peterborough finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
100-111YesYes100No60,331*
9923-3-299.8%Yes1000No513*
9823-2-399.3Yes991No1,151*
9722-4-298.9Yes991No2,352*
9622-3-398.1Yes982No4,691*
9521-5-296.6100.0%9730No9,117*
9421-4-395.5100.09540No17,043*
9321-3-493.399.99370No30,781*
9220-5-389.999.8901000No54,186*
9120-4-485.899.5861410No92,692*
9019-6-380.699.0811810No154,676*
8919-5-474.098.27424200No252,185*
8819-4-566.496.76629400No399,962*
8718-6-457.694.45835710No616,843*
8618-5-548.291.0484011100No932,334*
8518-4-638.686.2394316200No1,370,859*
8417-6-529.379.82944225000No1,969,489*
8317-5-620.971.92142288100No2,767,783*
8216-7-513.963.0143734132000No3,803,894*
8116-6-68.553.993037205100No5,107,237*
8016-5-74.845.2522362691000No6,720,607*
7915-7-62.437.92153332153000No8,639,621*
7815-6-71.132.21926352261000No10,871,787*
7715-5-80.428.105193329122000No13,392,748*
7614-7-70.125.2021128331951000No16,140,307*
7514-6-80.022.5016213326102000No19,048,180*
7414-5-90.019.40031329321851000No22,018,440*
7313-7-80.015.70017223325102000No24,910,141*
7213-6-90.011.400031329311751000No27,597,222*
7112-8-80.07.3000172132251020000No29,962,182*
7012-7-9No4.000031328311861000No31,822,706*
6912-6-10No1.9000162032261230000No33,115,904*
6811-8-9No0.700031126312071000No33,738,008*
6711-7-10No0.2000151730281441000No33,642,316*
6611-6-11No0.0000292331231020000No32,850,147*
6510-8-10No0.0000141427291861000No31,418,566*
6410-7-11No0.0000171929261441000No29,381,092*
6310-6-12No0.000002102329221030000No26,892,852*
629-8-11No0.0000141326281972000000.0%24,081,987*
619-7-12NoNo0000161728271551000No21,098,215*
609-6-13NoNo0002820292412410000.018,065,076*
598-8-12NoNo00003112329219200000.015,118,971*
588-7-13NoNo0001514262818710000.012,376,635*
578-6-14NoNo0001717282615510000.19,889,500*
567-8-13NoNo000292129241130000.47,713,095*
557-7-14NoNo0001412252920820001.75,875,111*
547-6-15NoNo000151628281651005.34,364,576*
536-8-14NoNo000282131251120012.93,155,783*
526-7-15NoNo00131327311961025.42,224,644*
516-6-16NoNo0016193228122041.71,529,500*
505-8-15NoNo0003112733205059.11,021,029*
495-7-16NoNo0001619342910174.4662,804*
485-6-17NoNo000212303618285.8417,779*
474-8-16NoNo0016233926593.0254,448*
464-7-17NoNo0031537351096.9150,803*
454-6-18NoNo01932431698.986,794*
443-8-17NoNo00525472399.647,371*
433-7-18NoNo0217473399.925,475*
423-6-19NoNo01124542100.013,018*
412-8-18NoNo073953Yes6,489*
402-7-19NoNo053461Yes3,008*
392-6-20NoNo32968Yes1,397*
382-5-21NoNo12277Yes554*
371-7-20NoNo1981Yes244*
361-6-21NoNo12376Yes84*
351-5-22NoNo1387Yes38*
340-7-21NoNo1388Yes16*
32-33NoNo100Yes5*
270-0-28NoNo0100Yes59,902
Total:0.9%8.7%12357891099875443221100000.7%578,055,296

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship