How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Plymouth Argyle vs Chesterfield+0.0NoNo
+0.6-0.2-0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.1
+1.0-0.1-0.8
Chesterfield vs Oxford United+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Plymouth Argyle vs Scunthorpe United+0.0NoNo
+0.4-0.3-0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.1
+0.8-0.4-1.0
Rochdale vs Accrington Stan+0.1-0.0-0.2
Fleetwood Town vs Portsmouth-0.1+0.0+0.1
Oxford United vs Hartlepool United-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Newport County vs Exeter City-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Southend United vs Bury+0.0+0.0-0.1
Hartlepool United vs Bristol Rovers+0.0+0.0-0.1
Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Plymouth Argyle finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
7511-0-02.1%71.3%217433260No1,648
7310-1-00.142.80222452650No1,190
7210-0-1No32.50103839121No2,102
719-2-0No27.40326432430No4,594
709-1-1No25.31123938910No15,406
699-0-2No24.20526452130No22,802*
688-2-1No22.3011341331010No49,895
678-1-2No18.0005274022500No97,286*
667-3-1No13.00215363313200No140,818*
657-2-2No7.1005233726810No248,618*
647-1-3No2.701102836204000No249,655
6-4-1No3.400212313517300No120,326
636-3-2No1.00041735311110No393,907*
7-0-4No0.700314343413200No97,990
626-2-3No0.2016243825600No605,339
5-5-1No0.3018273822500No102,073
616-1-4No0.000111323716200No471,055
5-4-2No0.000213343514200No403,583*
605-3-3No0.00042039297100No829,512
6-0-5No0.0004203929710No204,117*
595-2-4NoNo0019303918300No959,591
4-5-2No0.000110323916200No276,003*
584-4-3NoNo0032041287100No702,723
5-1-5NoNo0031840308100No608,758*
574-3-4NoNo0183139183000No1,072,953
5-0-6NoNo017283921400No147,633
3-6-2NoNo019333816300No124,275*
564-2-5NoNo00216363212200No972,955
3-5-3NoNo00318383010100No382,608*
553-4-4NoNo0062538236100No711,008
4-1-6NoNo0052338257100No518,690*
543-3-5NoNo00111303518400No847,585
2-6-3NoNo0213323416300No125,342
4-0-7NoNo019283620500No102,329*
533-2-6NoNo00315333214300No626,634
2-5-4NoNo00317343012200No284,903*
522-4-5NoNo00521352710200No413,595
3-1-7NoNo00419352911200No284,551*
512-3-6NoNo00172435248100No402,382
1-6-4NoNo0018243523710000.0%108,539*
502-2-7NoNo001925352271000.0249,058
1-5-5NoNo0011027342161000.0108,612*
491-4-6NoNo002112834205100.0222,300*
481-3-7NoNo00313313316300.2130,250*
471-2-8NoNo0031534341311.571,754*
461-1-9NoNo00320422966.033,436*
450-3-8NoNo01934421413.913,639*
440-2-9NoNo0219483231.65,294
430-1-10NoNo012474140.51,419
420-0-11NoNo4395756.91,697
Total:0.0%0.6%0000012358121515129753211000.1%14,572,432

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)