Oxford United Title Chances
Lost to Portsmouth 0-1, title odds down 0.4 to 0.2%
44 points 13-5-10
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 2/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Oxford United 0 Portsmouth 1 | -0.4 | -3.3 | -0.8 | |||||
| Ipswich Town 0 Oxford United 0 | -0.3 | -1.1 | No | -0.2 | ||||
| Wigan Athletic 1 Lincoln City 2 | -0.1 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Peterborough Un 3 AFC Wimbledon 0 | -0.1 | -0.3 | ||||||
| Plymouth Argyle 0 Peterborough Un 3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Lincoln City 2 Swindon Town 2 | +0.1 | +0.2 | ||||||
| Portsmouth 0 Blackpool 1 | +0.1 | +0.3 | ||||||
| Doncaster Rovers 3 Hull City 3 | +0.1 | +0.2 | ||||||
| Hull City 0 Ipswich Town 1 | +0.2 | |||||||
| Crewe Alexandra 2 Accrington Stan 0 | +0.3 | |||||||
| Accrington Stan 1 Shrewsbury Town 1 | +0.2 | |||||||
| Sunderland 2 Fleetwood Town 0 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||||||
| Burton Albion 0 Sunderland 3 | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||||||
| Charlton Athletic 1 Burton Albion 2 | +0.2 | +0.1 | ||||||
| Fleetwood Town 1 Charlton Athletic 1 | +0.1 | +0.0 | ||||||
| Swindon Town 2 Crewe Alexandra 1 | *+0.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| Rochdale 0 Plymouth Argyle 0 | +0.0 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 2/27 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Oxford United vs Peterborough Un | +0.7-0.2-0.4 | +4.2-0.7-2.9 | No-0.0+0.0 | +0.9-0.1-0.7 | ||||
| Milton Keynes D vs Oxford United | -0.4-0.2+0.4 | -3.0-1.1+3.3 | +0.0-0.0No | -0.8-0.2+0.8 | ||||
| Lincoln City vs Fleetwood Town | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | -0.2+0.1+0.4 | ||||||
| Plymouth Argyle vs Lincoln City | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||||
| Peterborough Un vs Wigan Athletic | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | -0.2+0.2+0.5 | ||||||
| Ipswich Town vs Doncaster Rovers | +0.2+0.2-0.2 | |||||||
| AFC Wimbledon vs Hull City | +0.5+0.2-0.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | ||||||
| Hull City vs Rochdale | -0.3+0.2+0.5 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Doncaster Rovers vs Portsmouth | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | |||||||
| Portsmouth vs Gillingham | -0.3+0.2+0.4 | |||||||
| Accrington Stan vs Ipswich Town | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | |||||||
| Fleetwood Town vs Accrington Stan | +0.4+0.2-0.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | ||||||
| Sunderland vs Swindon Town | -0.3+0.2+0.4 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Crewe Alexandra vs Sunderland | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | |||||||
| Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | |||||||
| Wigan Athletic vs Charlton Athletic | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Charlton Athletic vs Blackpool | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | |||||||
| Northampton Town vs Plymouth Argyle | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Oxford United finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 98 | 18 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.2 | % | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | No | 448,804 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 96 | 17 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 96.8 | 100.0 | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 4,316 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 95 | 17 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 93.6 | 99.9 | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 6,889 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 94 | 16 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 91.8 | 99.9 | 92 | 8 | 0 | No | 21,247 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 93 | 16 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 85.5 | 99.7 | 86 | 14 | 0 | 0 | No | 67,279 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 92 | 15 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 79.5 | 99.2 | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | No | 117,537 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 91 | 15 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 71.7 | 98.4 | 72 | 26 | 2 | 0 | No | 305,915 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 90 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 61.2 | 96.6 | 61 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 623,735 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 89 | 14 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 51.4 | 94.0 | 51 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,125,165 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 88 | 14 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 40.0 | 89.5 | 40 | 46 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,280,509 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 87 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 29.3 | 83.1 | 29 | 48 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,900,279 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 86 | 13 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 20.0 | 75.0 | 20 | 47 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 6,568,806 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 85 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 12.3 | 65.0 | 12 | 41 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 11,121,454 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 84 | 12 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 6.8 | 54.6 | 7 | 33 | 41 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 17,019,635 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 83 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 3.3 | 44.9 | 3 | 23 | 42 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 25,990,793 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 82 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 1.4 | 36.7 | 1 | 14 | 38 | 33 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 38,495,245 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 81 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.5 | 31.0 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 53,555,850 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.1 | 27.3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 37 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 73,826,727 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 79 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 24.9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 98,008,038 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 124,571,516 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 155,756,961 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 187,589,717 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 218,125,115 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 74 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 248,444,523 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 73 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 3.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 272,853,719 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 72 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 290,476,240 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 71 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 301,899,319 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 70 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 302,896,225 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 69 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 294,899,856 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 68 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 279,585,008 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 67 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 256,002,077 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 66 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 227,342,201 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 65 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 196,137,398 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 64 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 163,228,267 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 131,485,610 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 102,650,524 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 36 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 77,098,574 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 38 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 55,874,484 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 39,077,872 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 44 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 26,186,752 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 16,841,342 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 10,391,062 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 46 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 6,096,458 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 46 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 3,393,807 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 53 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 11 | 40 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1,799,390 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 52 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 41 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 893,923 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 51 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 19 | 40 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 413,788 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 178,571 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 70,665 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5.0 | 24,481 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 11.7 | 7,635 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 14 | 27 | 33 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 24.4 | 2,043 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 39.0 | 341 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 64.1 | 448,409 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.2 | % | 6.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 4,326,232,096 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Friday, 2021-2-26 3:11 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
