How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Oxford United 0 Portsmouth 1 -0.4
-3.3
-0.8
Ipswich Town 0 Oxford United 0 -0.3
-1.1
No
-0.2
Wigan Athletic 1 Lincoln City 2 -0.1
-0.2
Peterborough Un 3 AFC Wimbledon 0 -0.1
-0.3
Plymouth Argyle 0 Peterborough Un 3 -0.1
-0.2
Lincoln City 2 Swindon Town 2 +0.1
+0.2
Portsmouth 0 Blackpool 1 +0.1
+0.3
Doncaster Rovers 3 Hull City 3 +0.1
+0.2
Hull City 0 Ipswich Town 1 +0.2
Crewe Alexandra 2 Accrington Stan 0 +0.3
Accrington Stan 1 Shrewsbury Town 1 +0.2
Sunderland 2 Fleetwood Town 0 -0.3
-0.1
Burton Albion 0 Sunderland 3 -0.2
-0.1
Charlton Athletic 1 Burton Albion 2 +0.2
+0.1
Fleetwood Town 1 Charlton Athletic 1 +0.1
+0.0
Swindon Town 2 Crewe Alexandra 1 *+0.1
+0.1
Rochdale 0 Plymouth Argyle 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Oxford United vs Peterborough Un+0.7-0.2-0.4
+4.2-0.7-2.9
No-0.0+0.0
+0.9-0.1-0.7
Milton Keynes D vs Oxford United-0.4-0.2+0.4
-3.0-1.1+3.3
+0.0-0.0No
-0.8-0.2+0.8
Lincoln City vs Fleetwood Town-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.1+0.4
Plymouth Argyle vs Lincoln City+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Peterborough Un vs Wigan Athletic-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.2+0.5
Ipswich Town vs Doncaster Rovers+0.2+0.2-0.2
AFC Wimbledon vs Hull City+0.5+0.2-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Hull City vs Rochdale-0.3+0.2+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Doncaster Rovers vs Portsmouth-0.0+0.2-0.1
Portsmouth vs Gillingham-0.3+0.2+0.4
Accrington Stan vs Ipswich Town-0.2+0.2+0.2
Fleetwood Town vs Accrington Stan+0.4+0.2-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Sunderland vs Swindon Town-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Crewe Alexandra vs Sunderland+0.3+0.1-0.3
Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra-0.2+0.1+0.1
Wigan Athletic vs Charlton Athletic+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Charlton Athletic vs Blackpool*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Northampton Town vs Plymouth Argyle+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Oxford United finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
9818-0-099.2%100.0%9910No448,804
9617-1-096.8100.09730No4,316
9517-0-193.699.99460No6,889
9416-2-091.899.99280No21,247
9316-1-185.599.7861400No67,279
9215-3-079.599.2792010No117,537*
9115-2-171.798.4722620No305,915
9015-1-261.296.66134400No623,735*
8914-3-151.494.05141800No1,125,165*
8814-2-240.089.5404613100No2,280,509*
8714-1-329.383.12948202000No3,900,279*
8613-3-220.075.02047285000No6,568,806*
8513-2-312.365.012413610100No11,121,454*
8412-4-26.854.673341162000No17,019,635*
8312-3-33.344.932342256100No25,990,793*
8212-2-41.436.71143833112000No38,495,245*
8111-4-30.531.0083038194000No53,555,850*
8011-3-40.127.303203728102000No73,826,727*
7911-2-50.024.9011231341740000No98,008,038*
7810-4-40.022.600622352691000No124,571,516*
7710-3-50.019.60021330331740000No155,756,961*
769-5-40.015.60016213426102000No187,589,717*
759-4-50.011.000021229331840000No218,125,115*
749-3-60.06.700016203427102000No248,444,523*
738-5-5No3.400021128341951000No272,853,719*
728-4-6No1.4000151933281220000No290,476,240*
718-3-7No0.400021027342161000No301,899,319*
707-5-6No0.1000041732301430000No302,896,225*
697-4-7No0.00001824332381000No294,899,856*
687-3-8No0.000031430311751000No279,585,008*
676-5-7No0.000016203226112000No256,002,077*
666-4-8No0.000021126322071000No227,342,201*
656-3-9No0.000015173129143000No196,137,398*
645-5-8NoNo000282333249100No163,228,267*
635-4-9NoNo0000314293217400No131,485,610*
625-3-10NoNo000162135279100No102,650,524*
614-5-9NoNo000212303617200No77,098,574*
604-4-10NoNo00015213828600No55,874,484*
594-3-11NoNo000212343812100No39,077,872*
583-5-10NoNo0016264421200No26,186,752*
573-4-11NoNo00021744315000No16,841,342*
563-3-12NoNo0019384110100No10,391,062*
552-5-11NoNo00429461820000.0%6,096,458*
542-4-12NoNo00119462860000.03,393,807*
532-3-13NoNo00114036111000.01,799,390*
521-5-12NoNo00530411940000.0893,923*
511-4-13NoNo0219402891000.1413,788*
501-3-14NoNo01113335174000.5178,571*
491-2-15NoNo0522362692001.770,665*
480-4-14NoNo02123133174105.024,481*
470-3-15NoNo06213526101011.77,635*
460-2-16NoNo02142733186024.42,043
450-1-17NoNo071538269339.0341
440-0-18NoNo0019263523664.1448,409
Total:0.2%6.0%012468101112111086532100000000.0%4,326,232,096

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship