Lincoln City Title Chances 2016-2017Beat Carlisle United 4-1, title odds up 2.2 to 3.9% 5 points 1-2-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Lincoln City 4 Carlisle United 1 | +0.6 | | +1.9 | | -3.0 | | +1.0 | | Cheltenham Town 3 Exeter City 4 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | +0.4 | | | | Port Vale 0 Crewe Alexandra 1 | | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Yeovil Town 2 Coventry City 0 | | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | Newport County 4 Chesterfield 1 | | | -0.1 | | *-0.1 | | | | Colchester United 5 Forest Green Ro 1 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Lincoln City vs Luton Town | +1.3-0.7-1.5 | | +3.2-1.7-4.0 | | -1.7+0.7+2.3 | | +1.0-0.5-1.3 | | Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.3 | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Exeter City vs Newport County | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | | | | | Chesterfield vs Coventry City | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Port Vale vs Notts County | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Morecambe vs Accrington Stan | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | | | Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | Swindon Town vs Barnet | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | | | Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | Cambridge United vs Colchester United | | | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Lincoln City finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | League | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | One | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Conference | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | -131 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,161 | * | 100 | | 29 | - | 8 | - | 5 | 99.7 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 931 | * | 99 | | 29 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,664 | * | 98 | | 29 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,801 | * | 97 | | 28 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,626 | * | 96 | | 28 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,476 | * | 95 | | 28 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,762 | * | 94 | | 27 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.5 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,580 | * | 93 | | 27 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,488 | * | 92 | | 26 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 98.9 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 43,364 | * | 91 | | 26 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 98.5 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 64,800 | * | 90 | | 26 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 97.6 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 95,755 | * | 89 | | 25 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 96.6 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 138,067 | * | 88 | | 25 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 95.1 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 197,235 | * | 87 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 93.1 | | 100.0 | % | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 277,704 | * | 86 | | 24 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 90.3 | | 100.0 | | 90 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 384,770 | * | 85 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 86.7 | | 100.0 | | 87 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 523,472 | * | 84 | | 23 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 82.0 | | 100.0 | | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 703,414 | * | 83 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 76.1 | | 99.9 | | 76 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 932,249 | * | 82 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 68.9 | | 99.7 | | 69 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,215,778 | * | 81 | | 22 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 60.6 | | 99.4 | | 61 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,562,746 | * | 80 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 51.3 | | 98.7 | | 51 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,979,689 | * | 79 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 41.3 | | 97.1 | | 41 | 41 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,473,180 | * | 78 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 31.4 | | 94.1 | | 31 | 42 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,044,810 | * | 77 | | 21 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 22.0 | | 88.9 | | 22 | 40 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,692,780 | * | 76 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 14.1 | | 80.5 | | 14 | 34 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,420,723 | * | 75 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 8.1 | | 68.5 | | 8 | 27 | 34 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,217,629 | * | 74 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 4.0 | | 53.2 | | 4 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,066,230 | * | 73 | | 19 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 1.7 | | 36.6 | | 2 | 10 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,952,520 | * | 72 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.6 | | 21.5 | | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,854,613 | * | 71 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 0.1 | | 10.3 | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,752,834 | * | 70 | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 3.8 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 27 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,611,013 | * | 69 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 1.0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,411,987 | * | 68 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 15 | 0.0 | | 0.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 11,112,397 | * | 67 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 11,699,503 | * | 66 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 12,135,623 | * | 65 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 12,427,279 | * | 64 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 12,511,616 | * | 63 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 12,428,874 | * | 62 | | 15 | - | 12 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 12,164,889 | * | 61 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 11,750,758 | * | 60 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 11,168,851 | * | 59 | | 14 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 10,473,952 | * | 58 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 9,673,398 | * | 57 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 8,798,250 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | | 7,883,838 | * | 55 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3.3 | | 6,955,621 | * | 54 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 8.4 | | 6,047,641 | * | 53 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 17.3 | | 5,174,967 | * | 52 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 6 | 29.6 | | 4,358,360 | * | 51 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 33 | 32 | 12 | 44.0 | | 3,615,542 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 39 | 20 | 58.3 | | 2,950,190 | * | 49 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 42 | 29 | 71.0 | | 2,366,467 | * | 48 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 40 | 81.1 | | 1,874,385 | * | 47 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 51 | 88.4 | | 1,455,687 | * | 46 | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 61 | 93.2 | | 1,111,672 | * | 45 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 70 | 96.2 | | 835,211 | * | 44 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 98.0 | | 614,615 | * | 43 | | 9 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 99.0 | | 446,621 | * | 42 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 88 | 99.5 | | 318,781 | * | 41 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 99.8 | | 222,356 | * | 40 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 94 | 99.9 | | 152,400 | * | 39 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | | 102,316 | * | 38 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | | 67,607 | * | 37 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | | 44,044 | * | 36 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 27,590 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 17,152 | * | 34 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 10,361 | * | 33 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 6,188 | * | 32 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,671 | * | 31 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,089 | * | 29 | -30 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 1,851 | * | 28 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 296 | * | 5 | -27 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 27,256 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3.9 | % | 12.6 | % | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5.7 | % | 268,897,376 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |