How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Plymouth Argyle 4 Lincoln City 3 -9.6
-6.9
-0.3
Peterborough Un 2 Wigan Athletic 1 -2.9
-0.8
-0.0
Ipswich Town 2 Doncaster Rovers 1 +1.3
+1.1
AFC Wimbledon 0 Hull City 3 -0.8
-0.9
-0.0
Portsmouth 1 Gillingham 1 +0.3
+0.4
Fleetwood Town 1 Accrington Stan 1 +0.2
+0.3
Crewe Alexandra 2 Sunderland 2 +0.1
+0.2
Milton Keynes D 1 Oxford United 1 +0.1
+0.2
Charlton Athletic 0 Blackpool 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Lincoln City vs Fleetwood Town+4.9-3.7-7.5
+6.3-4.3-9.9
+0.3-0.2-0.5
Oxford United vs Peterborough Un+4.8+1.7-4.0
+0.9+0.4-0.8
Hull City vs Rochdale-0.4+0.3+0.6
-1.2+1.0+1.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Doncaster Rovers vs Portsmouth-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.1+1.0-0.5
Sunderland vs Swindon Town-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.7+0.5+1.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Accrington Stan vs Ipswich Town*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.4-0.3
Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Ipswich Town vs Lincoln City-6.5-2.4+6.6
-8.9-2.2+8.4
-0.5-0.1+0.4
Lincoln City vs Crewe Alexandra+5.5-3.3-7.1
+6.9-3.5-9.3
+0.4-0.2-0.5
Burton Albion vs Peterborough Un+5.7+2.7-3.1
+1.4+0.6-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Peterborough Un vs Hull City-3.7+1.9+4.0
+0.4+0.6-1.0
Crewe Alexandra vs Doncaster Rovers+0.5+0.2-0.5
+1.2+0.6-1.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Doncaster Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle-0.5+0.3+0.5
-1.2+0.6+1.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Hull City vs Bristol Rovers-0.4+0.3+0.6
-1.2+1.0+1.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Northampton Town vs Portsmouth+0.5+0.3-0.3
+1.6+0.9-1.0
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Portsmouth vs Sunderland-0.3+0.3+0.2
-0.8+0.9+0.3
Sunderland vs Rochdale-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.6+0.6+1.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Gillingham vs Ipswich Town+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5+0.3-0.6
Accrington Stan vs Swindon Town-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.4
Bristol Rovers vs Accrington Stan+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.3
Milton Keynes D vs Blackpool+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
Blackpool vs AFC Wimbledon-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.4
Swindon Town vs Oxford United+0.2+0.1-0.2
Oxford United vs Charlton Athletic-0.2+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lincoln City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
10516-0-0100.0%Yes1000No75,421
10315-1-0100.0Yes1000No39,803
10215-0-199.8Yes1000No51,088
10114-2-099.8Yes1000No144,262
10014-1-199.3Yes991No372,503
9913-3-098.8Yes991No564,671*
9813-2-197.9100.0%9820No1,258,435
9713-1-296.3100.09640No2,119,511*
9612-3-194.4100.09460No3,308,203*
9512-2-291.2100.091900No5,617,712*
9412-1-387.3100.087130No8,050,252*
9311-3-282.4100.0821800No11,523,855*
9211-2-375.999.9762400No16,258,354*
9110-4-268.699.6693100No20,837,985*
9010-3-360.299.16039100No26,657,062*
8910-2-450.998.15147300No32,733,724*
889-4-341.396.141545000No37,913,626*
879-3-431.892.832599000No43,335,644*
869-2-521.586.82161161000No24,342,824
8-5-324.288.42460141000No23,059,885*
858-4-415.280.31559233000No49,676,212*
848-3-59.171.0952317100No50,989,182*
837-5-45.261.354338122000No26,455,185
8-2-64.559.454138132000No23,699,515*
827-4-52.349.823141215100No47,569,814*
817-3-60.940.51203929102000No43,958,420*
806-5-50.333.401132341841000No38,996,661*
796-4-60.128.505223526102000No33,408,891*
786-3-70.025.102132932185100No27,804,479*
775-5-60.022.0016203227112000No22,197,637*
765-4-70.018.2002112632206100No17,113,374*
755-3-80.013.40015173129143000No12,766,777*
744-5-7No8.300292333249100No9,130,974*
734-4-8No4.200031328311851000No6,284,902*
724-3-9No1.700016193228122000No4,167,828*
713-5-8No0.500021025332271000No2,641,167*
703-4-9No0.10004153031164000No1,603,034*
693-3-10No0.00016203326112000No930,507*
682-5-9No0.0002102633217100No512,923*
672-4-10NoNo00416303015400No267,894*
662-3-11NoNo0001722332610200No132,324*
651-5-10NoNo00212273320610No61,358*
641-4-11NoNo01517323013300No26,300*
631-3-12NoNo019243524600No10,483*
621-2-13NoNo031432341520No3,830*
610-4-12NoNo1625392540No1,191*
600-3-13NoNo1215343991No352*
590-2-14NoNo42944194No77
580-1-15NoNo101080No10
570-0-16NoNo01733441410No70,343
Total:21.4%64.1%213318117431100000000000No678,746,464

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship