Lincoln City Title Chances
Lost to Plymouth Argyle 3-4, title odds down 14 to 21.4%
57 points 17-6-7
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 2/27 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Plymouth Argyle 4 Lincoln City 3 | -9.6 | -6.9 | -0.3 | |||
| Peterborough Un 2 Wigan Athletic 1 | -2.9 | -0.8 | -0.0 | |||
| Ipswich Town 2 Doncaster Rovers 1 | +1.3 | +1.1 | ||||
| AFC Wimbledon 0 Hull City 3 | -0.8 | -0.9 | -0.0 | |||
| Portsmouth 1 Gillingham 1 | +0.3 | +0.4 | ||||
| Fleetwood Town 1 Accrington Stan 1 | +0.2 | +0.3 | ||||
| Crewe Alexandra 2 Sunderland 2 | +0.1 | +0.2 | ||||
| Milton Keynes D 1 Oxford United 1 | +0.1 | +0.2 | ||||
| Charlton Athletic 0 Blackpool 3 | -0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Lincoln City vs Fleetwood Town | +4.9-3.7-7.5 | +6.3-4.3-9.9 | +0.3-0.2-0.5 | |||
| Oxford United vs Peterborough Un | +4.8+1.7-4.0 | +0.9+0.4-0.8 | ||||
| Hull City vs Rochdale | -0.4+0.3+0.6 | -1.2+1.0+1.9 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Doncaster Rovers vs Portsmouth | -0.1+0.4-0.1 | -0.1+1.0-0.5 | ||||
| Sunderland vs Swindon Town | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | -0.7+0.5+1.0 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Accrington Stan vs Ipswich Town | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | +0.1+0.4-0.3 | ||||
| Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/6 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ipswich Town vs Lincoln City | -6.5-2.4+6.6 | -8.9-2.2+8.4 | -0.5-0.1+0.4 | |||
| Lincoln City vs Crewe Alexandra | +5.5-3.3-7.1 | +6.9-3.5-9.3 | +0.4-0.2-0.5 | |||
| Burton Albion vs Peterborough Un | +5.7+2.7-3.1 | +1.4+0.6-0.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||
| Peterborough Un vs Hull City | -3.7+1.9+4.0 | +0.4+0.6-1.0 | ||||
| Crewe Alexandra vs Doncaster Rovers | +0.5+0.2-0.5 | +1.2+0.6-1.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Doncaster Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle | -0.5+0.3+0.5 | -1.2+0.6+1.3 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Hull City vs Bristol Rovers | -0.4+0.3+0.6 | -1.2+1.0+1.9 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Northampton Town vs Portsmouth | +0.5+0.3-0.3 | +1.6+0.9-1.0 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||
| Portsmouth vs Sunderland | -0.3+0.3+0.2 | -0.8+0.9+0.3 | ||||
| Sunderland vs Rochdale | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | -0.6+0.6+1.0 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Gillingham vs Ipswich Town | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | +0.5+0.3-0.6 | ||||
| Accrington Stan vs Swindon Town | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.3+0.3+0.4 | ||||
| Bristol Rovers vs Accrington Stan | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | +0.4+0.2-0.3 | ||||
| Milton Keynes D vs Blackpool | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | +0.3+0.2-0.4 | ||||
| Blackpool vs AFC Wimbledon | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.3+0.2+0.4 | ||||
| Swindon Town vs Oxford United | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | |||||
| Oxford United vs Charlton Athletic | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Lincoln City finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 105 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 75,421 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 103 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100.0 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 39,803 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 102 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.8 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 51,088 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 101 | 14 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.8 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 144,262 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 100 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.3 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 372,503 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 99 | 13 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 98.8 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 564,671 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 98 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 97.9 | 100.0 | % | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 1,258,435 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 97 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 96.3 | 100.0 | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 2,119,511 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 96 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 94.4 | 100.0 | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 3,308,203 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 95 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 91.2 | 100.0 | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,617,712 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 94 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 87.3 | 100.0 | 87 | 13 | 0 | No | 8,050,252 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 93 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 82.4 | 100.0 | 82 | 18 | 0 | 0 | No | 11,523,855 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 92 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 75.9 | 99.9 | 76 | 24 | 0 | 0 | No | 16,258,354 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 91 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 68.6 | 99.6 | 69 | 31 | 0 | 0 | No | 20,837,985 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 90 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 60.2 | 99.1 | 60 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 26,657,062 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 89 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 50.9 | 98.1 | 51 | 47 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 32,733,724 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 88 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 41.3 | 96.1 | 41 | 54 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 37,913,626 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 87 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 31.8 | 92.8 | 32 | 59 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 43,335,644 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 86 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 21.5 | 86.8 | 21 | 61 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 24,342,824 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 24.2 | 88.4 | 24 | 60 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 23,059,885 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 85 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 15.2 | 80.3 | 15 | 59 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 49,676,212 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 84 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 9.1 | 71.0 | 9 | 52 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 50,989,182 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 83 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 5.2 | 61.3 | 5 | 43 | 38 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 26,455,185 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 4.5 | 59.4 | 5 | 41 | 38 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 23,699,515 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 82 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 2.3 | 49.8 | 2 | 31 | 41 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 47,569,814 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 81 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.9 | 40.5 | 1 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 43,958,420 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 0.3 | 33.4 | 0 | 11 | 32 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 38,996,661 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 79 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.1 | 28.5 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 33,408,891 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 25.1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 27,804,479 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 22,197,637 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 17,113,374 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 12,766,777 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | 8.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 9,130,974 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 6,284,902 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 72 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 4,167,828 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 71 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,641,167 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 70 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,603,034 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 930,507 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 512,923 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 267,894 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 132,324 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 61,358 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 26,300 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 10,483 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 34 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 3,830 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | 1 | 6 | 25 | 39 | 25 | 4 | 0 | No | 1,191 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | 1 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 39 | 9 | 1 | No | 352 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 14 | No | No | 4 | 29 | 44 | 19 | 4 | No | 77 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 15 | No | No | 10 | 10 | 80 | No | 10 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 70,343 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 21.4 | % | 64.1 | % | 21 | 33 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 678,746,464 | ||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2021-2-28 12:02 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
