How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth 0 Leyton Orient 1 -1.7
-8.9
-0.8
Northampton 2 York 0 -0.5
-0.5
Carlisle 2 Accrington 0 +0.1
+1.1
Wycombe 0 Luton 1 +0.2
+0.1
Mansfield 2 Morecambe 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Oxford Utd vs Mansfield-0.1+0.1+0.2
-1.1+0.8+1.6
Dag & Red vs Wycombe+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth vs Bristol Rovers+0.5-0.4-0.7
+4.8-3.4-7.2
NoNo+0.0
+0.6-0.3-0.9
Leyton Orient vs Northampton+0.3+0.0-0.4
+0.2+0.1-0.3
Oxford Utd vs Northampton+0.1+0.1-0.3
-1.0+0.7+1.4
Morecambe vs Oxford Utd+0.1+0.0-0.2
+1.4+0.4-1.6
Plymouth vs Mansfield-0.1+0.1+0.1
-1.1+0.8+1.6
Plymouth vs Notts County-0.1+0.1+0.2
-1.1+1.0+2.1
Accrington vs Carlisle-0.7+0.6+0.9
Accrington vs Crawley-0.7+0.7+1.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Newport vs Carlisle+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Wimbledon vs Luton-0.1+0.1+0.1
Wycombe vs Exeter-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Portsmouth finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
9918-0-097.6%Yes982No1,809
9717-1-095.2Yes955No186
9617-0-187.7Yes88120No211
9516-2-086.8Yes8713No886
9416-1-181.7Yes82180No2,045
9315-3-075.2Yes75241No3,721*
9215-2-167.2100.0%673120No8,717
9115-1-256.999.9573940No15,044*
9014-3-148.699.8494470No27,345*
8914-2-239.199.439491110No48,292*
8813-4-129.598.629521710No75,875*
8713-3-221.397.121522430No119,354*
8613-2-314.094.0144832600No177,444*
8512-4-28.789.1942391010No251,003*
8412-3-34.982.15344416100No349,186*
8311-5-22.572.33254524300No458,288*
8211-4-31.260.51174333600No584,703*
8111-3-40.547.5010374012100No725,893*
8010-5-30.234.205294419300No859,330*
7910-4-40.022.5032044286000No988,799*
7810-3-50.013.20112393611100No1,103,911*
779-5-40.06.70063040194000No1,183,701*
769-4-50.03.00032040288100No1,238,432*
759-3-6No1.101123335153000No1,251,020*
748-5-5No0.300624372481000No1,221,364*
738-4-6No0.1002143232154000No1,158,385*
727-6-5No0.0001723342592000No1,062,534*
717-5-6No0.0002132931186100No947,036*
707-4-7NoNo016193127133000No813,048*
696-6-6NoNo002102431228200No677,355*
686-5-7NoNo0004152830175100No546,663*
676-4-8NoNo0017193127123000No425,798*
665-6-7NoNo002102432228100No320,531*
655-5-8NoNo0014142931174100No233,841*
645-4-9NoNo001720322711200No163,898*
634-6-8NoNo000210263320610No111,429*
624-5-9NoNo01416323014300No71,800*
614-4-10NoNo018253423710No45,402*
603-6-9NoNo00314313315300No27,185*
593-5-10NoNo017223625810No15,576*
583-4-11NoNo021331331730No8,685*
572-6-10NoNo16213825810No4,540*
562-5-11NoNo021232351720No2,192*
552-4-12NoNo1722362680No1,089*
541-6-11NoNo21536321220No475*
531-5-12NoNo52444243No177*
521-4-13NoNo319383011No74*
510-6-12NoNo4432925No28*
501-2-15NoNo625381913No16*
491-1-16NoNo100No2*
450-0-18NoNo211333715217.2%1,794
Total:1.1%16.2%151016171411864321100000000000.0%17,336,112

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship