How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth 0 Blackpool 1 -3.0
-7.0
-0.7
Oxford United 0 Portsmouth 1 +1.6
+6.2
No
+0.8
Wigan Athletic 1 Lincoln City 2 -0.8
-0.8
-0.0
Peterborough Un 3 AFC Wimbledon 0 -0.6
-0.8
-0.0
Lincoln City 2 Swindon Town 2 +0.4
+0.5
Plymouth Argyle 0 Peterborough Un 3 -0.4
-0.8
Doncaster Rovers 3 Hull City 3 +0.3
+0.6
Hull City 0 Ipswich Town 1 +0.1
+0.4
Accrington Stan 1 Shrewsbury Town 1 +0.1
+0.3
+0.0
Crewe Alexandra 2 Accrington Stan 0 +0.5
+0.0
Sunderland 2 Fleetwood Town 0 -0.4
-0.1
Ipswich Town 0 Oxford United 0 +0.2
Burton Albion 0 Sunderland 3 -0.3
-0.0
Charlton Athletic 1 Burton Albion 2 +0.2
+0.1
Swindon Town 2 Crewe Alexandra 1 +0.1
Fleetwood Town 1 Charlton Athletic 1 *+0.1
Rochdale 0 Plymouth Argyle 0 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Doncaster Rovers vs Portsmouth-1.3-0.5+1.9
-5.2-1.1+7.0
+0.0NoNo
-0.7-0.1+0.8
Portsmouth vs Gillingham+1.3-0.7-1.4
+4.9-2.3-5.6
NoNo+0.0
+0.6-0.2-0.8
Plymouth Argyle vs Lincoln City+0.7+0.2-0.5
+0.7+0.3-0.6
Lincoln City vs Fleetwood Town-0.5+0.3+0.7
-0.6+0.4+1.0
Peterborough Un vs Wigan Athletic-0.3+0.3+0.6
-0.6+0.6+1.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Oxford United vs Peterborough Un+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.5+0.4-0.6
Ipswich Town vs Doncaster Rovers+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4+0.3-0.5
Hull City vs Rochdale-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.4+0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
AFC Wimbledon vs Hull City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.8+0.4-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Accrington Stan vs Ipswich Town-0.3+0.2+0.2
Fleetwood Town vs Accrington Stan+0.5+0.2-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Crewe Alexandra vs Sunderland+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sunderland vs Swindon Town-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Milton Keynes D vs Oxford United+0.3+0.1-0.3
Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra-0.2+0.1+0.2
Wigan Athletic vs Charlton Athletic+0.2+0.1-0.1
Charlton Athletic vs Blackpool*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Northampton Town vs Plymouth Argyle+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Portsmouth finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
10217-0-099.9%Yes1000No456,329
10016-1-099.4Yes991No70,025
9916-0-198.8100.0%9910No95,261
9815-2-098.2100.09820No281,450
9715-1-196.4100.09640No772,568
9614-3-094.4100.094600No1,235,743*
9514-2-191.399.991900No2,908,856
9414-1-286.699.7871300No5,214,300*
9313-3-181.199.4811810No8,607,354*
9213-2-273.798.7742520No15,515,153*
9113-1-365.197.46532300No23,639,228*
9012-3-255.795.45638600No35,963,153*
8912-2-345.292.1454410000No53,969,033*
8811-4-235.087.3354816100No73,697,753*
8711-3-325.580.92649232000No100,512,816*
8611-2-417.272.81746315000No131,708,442*
8510-4-310.763.611413991000No163,023,695*
8410-3-46.053.963344152000No199,388,816*
8310-2-53.044.832346234000No233,542,818*
829-4-41.337.2115423291000No262,587,814*
819-3-50.531.6083538163000No289,452,204*
808-5-40.228.00425402461000No306,231,073*
798-4-50.025.702163632122000No313,152,788*
788-3-60.023.901828362151000No312,343,131*
777-5-50.021.70041835291120000No299,730,968*
767-4-60.018.50011028342061000No278,582,129*
757-3-70.014.200041833291220000No251,749,397*
746-5-60.09.500021026342161000No219,160,816*
736-4-7No5.400041732301430000No184,726,641*
726-3-8No2.500018243323810000No151,018,106*
715-5-7No0.9000031429311751000No118,822,667*
705-4-8No0.3000162032261120000No90,422,122*
695-3-9No0.1000021126322171000No66,521,183*
684-5-8No0.000014163029154100No47,020,609*
674-4-9No0.0000018223225102000No32,029,203*
664-3-10No0.00003122631207100No21,014,549*
653-5-9NoNo0001517302914300No13,189,964*
643-4-10NoNo000292332249100No7,934,036*
633-3-11NoNo000314293218400No4,566,163*
622-5-10NoNo00162034281010No2,497,612*
612-4-11NoNo000211293618300No1,295,176*
602-3-12NoNo0015203829700No637,032*
591-5-11NoNo0021133391410No293,542*
581-4-12NoNo01524442330No125,750*
571-3-13NoNo002154234710No50,349*
561-2-14NoNo01734421420No18,064*
550-4-13NoNo03244424400No5,738*
540-3-14NoNo011539331020No1,636*
530-2-15NoNo0627451841No400
520-1-16NoNo229342610No62
510-0-17NoNo01929352051000.8%448,379
Total:4.7%30.5%511171715129643110000000000000.0%4,326,232,096

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship