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Portsmouth Title Chances
Beat Oxford United 1-0, title odds up 2 to 4.7%
51 points 15-6-8
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 2/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Portsmouth 0 Blackpool 1 | -3.0 | -7.0 | -0.7 | |||||
| Oxford United 0 Portsmouth 1 | +1.6 | +6.2 | No | +0.8 | ||||
| Wigan Athletic 1 Lincoln City 2 | -0.8 | -0.8 | -0.0 | |||||
| Peterborough Un 3 AFC Wimbledon 0 | -0.6 | -0.8 | -0.0 | |||||
| Lincoln City 2 Swindon Town 2 | +0.4 | +0.5 | ||||||
| Plymouth Argyle 0 Peterborough Un 3 | -0.4 | -0.8 | ||||||
| Doncaster Rovers 3 Hull City 3 | +0.3 | +0.6 | ||||||
| Hull City 0 Ipswich Town 1 | +0.1 | +0.4 | ||||||
| Accrington Stan 1 Shrewsbury Town 1 | +0.1 | +0.3 | +0.0 | |||||
| Crewe Alexandra 2 Accrington Stan 0 | +0.5 | +0.0 | ||||||
| Sunderland 2 Fleetwood Town 0 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||||||
| Ipswich Town 0 Oxford United 0 | +0.2 | |||||||
| Burton Albion 0 Sunderland 3 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||||||
| Charlton Athletic 1 Burton Albion 2 | +0.2 | +0.1 | ||||||
| Swindon Town 2 Crewe Alexandra 1 | +0.1 | |||||||
| Fleetwood Town 1 Charlton Athletic 1 | *+0.1 | |||||||
| Rochdale 0 Plymouth Argyle 0 | *+0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 2/27 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Doncaster Rovers vs Portsmouth | -1.3-0.5+1.9 | -5.2-1.1+7.0 | +0.0NoNo | -0.7-0.1+0.8 | ||||
| Portsmouth vs Gillingham | +1.3-0.7-1.4 | +4.9-2.3-5.6 | NoNo+0.0 | +0.6-0.2-0.8 | ||||
| Plymouth Argyle vs Lincoln City | +0.7+0.2-0.5 | +0.7+0.3-0.6 | ||||||
| Lincoln City vs Fleetwood Town | -0.5+0.3+0.7 | -0.6+0.4+1.0 | ||||||
| Peterborough Un vs Wigan Athletic | -0.3+0.3+0.6 | -0.6+0.6+1.2 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Oxford United vs Peterborough Un | +0.4+0.2-0.4 | +0.5+0.4-0.6 | ||||||
| Ipswich Town vs Doncaster Rovers | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | +0.4+0.3-0.5 | ||||||
| Hull City vs Rochdale | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | -0.5+0.4+0.9 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| AFC Wimbledon vs Hull City | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | +0.8+0.4-0.5 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Accrington Stan vs Ipswich Town | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | |||||||
| Fleetwood Town vs Accrington Stan | +0.5+0.2-0.5 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Crewe Alexandra vs Sunderland | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Sunderland vs Swindon Town | -0.4+0.3+0.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Milton Keynes D vs Oxford United | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | |||||||
| Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | |||||||
| Wigan Athletic vs Charlton Athletic | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | |||||||
| Charlton Athletic vs Blackpool | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | |||||||
| Northampton Town vs Plymouth Argyle | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Portsmouth finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 102 | 17 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 456,329 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 100 | 16 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.4 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 70,025 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 99 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 98.8 | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | No | 95,261 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 98 | 15 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.2 | 100.0 | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 281,450 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 97 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 96.4 | 100.0 | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 772,568 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 96 | 14 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 94.4 | 100.0 | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,235,743 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 95 | 14 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 91.3 | 99.9 | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,908,856 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 94 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 86.6 | 99.7 | 87 | 13 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,214,300 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 93 | 13 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 81.1 | 99.4 | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 8,607,354 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 92 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 73.7 | 98.7 | 74 | 25 | 2 | 0 | No | 15,515,153 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 91 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 65.1 | 97.4 | 65 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 23,639,228 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 90 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 55.7 | 95.4 | 56 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 35,963,153 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 89 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 45.2 | 92.1 | 45 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 53,969,033 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 88 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 35.0 | 87.3 | 35 | 48 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 73,697,753 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 87 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 25.5 | 80.9 | 26 | 49 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 100,512,816 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 86 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 17.2 | 72.8 | 17 | 46 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 131,708,442 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 85 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 10.7 | 63.6 | 11 | 41 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 163,023,695 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 84 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 6.0 | 53.9 | 6 | 33 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 199,388,816 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 83 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 3.0 | 44.8 | 3 | 23 | 46 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 233,542,818 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 82 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 1.3 | 37.2 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 262,587,814 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 81 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.5 | 31.6 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 38 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 289,452,204 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.2 | 28.0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 306,231,073 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 79 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 25.7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 36 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 313,152,788 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 23.9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 312,343,131 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 21.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 299,730,968 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 278,582,129 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 251,749,397 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 74 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 9.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 219,160,816 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 73 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 184,726,641 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 72 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 151,018,106 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 71 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 118,822,667 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 70 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 90,422,122 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 69 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 66,521,183 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 68 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 47,020,609 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 67 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 32,029,203 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 66 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 21,014,549 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 13,189,964 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,934,036 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 4,566,163 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 2,497,612 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 36 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,295,176 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 38 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 637,032 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 293,542 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 44 | 23 | 3 | 0 | No | 125,750 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 50,349 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 42 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 18,064 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 24 | 44 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,738 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 39 | 33 | 10 | 2 | 0 | No | 1,636 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 53 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 27 | 45 | 18 | 4 | 1 | No | 400 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 52 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 16 | No | No | 2 | 29 | 34 | 26 | 10 | No | 62 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 51 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | % | 448,379 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 4.7 | % | 30.5 | % | 5 | 11 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 4,326,232,096 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Friday, 2021-2-26 3:11 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
