How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Fleetwood Town vs Portsmouth+3.4-2.3-4.7
+0.6-0.4-0.9
Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon-0.1+0.1+0.3
Chesterfield vs Oxford United+0.3*+0.0-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Plymouth Argyle vs Chesterfield+0.1+0.1-0.1
Northampton Town vs Rochdale+0.2*+0.0-0.2
Rochdale vs Accrington Stan-0.1+0.1+0.3
Plymouth Argyle vs Scunthorpe United+0.2+0.1-0.4
Oxford United vs Hartlepool United-0.5+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Newport County vs Exeter City-0.5+0.5+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Southend United vs Bury+0.3+0.2-0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cheltenham Town vs Wycombe Wanderers+0.4+0.2-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Accrington Stan vs Morecambe+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Hartlepool United vs Bristol Rovers+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Fleetwood Town finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
829-0-056.2%99.6%5637610No2,463
808-1-025.496.125442650No6,834
798-0-111.389.9113838121No11,439
787-2-06.181.3628412230No21,108
777-1-11.867.1215393580No70,240
767-0-20.450.70628451920No57,967
6-3-00.654.41831431610No36,180
756-2-10.141.90320472740No180,862
746-1-20.032.401941381010No295,313
5-4-00.034.101114237800No40,009
735-3-1No28.004294520200No261,277
6-0-30.027.300326452330No159,845
725-2-20.025.7001154234700No634,779
4-5-0No25.901184531500No28,812
715-1-3No24.6006304517200No678,540
4-4-1No24.8007334414200No233,263
704-3-2No23.4002184528600No748,894
5-0-4No22.902154331810No269,300
3-6-0No23.803214625500No13,790
694-2-3No20.5007343916200No1,187,674
3-5-1No21.201938381420No132,093
684-1-4No15.50021940308100No932,721
3-4-2No16.603224127600No526,621*
673-3-3No11.30110343815200No1,091,826
4-0-5No10.2009323917300No290,545
2-6-1No12.4011237361310No45,942
663-2-4No6.00032040287100No1,276,291
2-5-2No6.904234126600No216,660*
653-1-5No2.4019313918300No784,673
2-4-3No2.90110333815200No560,434
1-7-1No3.511235361320No8,953
642-3-4No0.9003193929910No861,713
3-0-6No0.7031738311010No198,480
1-6-2No1.104224027710No49,325*
632-2-5No0.2018283820400No784,980
1-5-3No0.2019313718300No151,946*
622-1-6No0.000214353413200No393,729
1-4-4No0.000316363211100No293,349*
611-3-5No0.0006243924610No345,792
2-0-7No0.0005213927710No83,837
0-6-3NoNo018263822500No16,816
601-2-6NoNo00111323617300No257,621
0-5-4NoNo0212333516300No38,139
591-1-7NoNo00317363211100No108,707
0-4-5NoNo0031937301010No56,739
580-3-6NoNo0017253823610No55,594
1-0-8NoNo005233825610No19,519
570-2-7NoNo0111323617300No34,661
560-1-8NoNo031836301120No12,641
550-0-9NoNo0623352681No3,496
Total:0.1%12.8%00149151818151063100000No14,572,432

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)