How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Fleetwood Town 3 Doncaster 1 +0.3
+1.5
-1.8
+0.8
Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 -0.1
Preston 2 Port Vale 0 -0.1
-0.1
Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 -0.1
-0.1
Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 +0.1
Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 +0.1
Chesterfield 1 Oldham 1 +0.1
Scunthorpe 1 Colchester 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Milton Keynes D vs Fleetwood Town-0.4-0.1+0.8
-2.0-0.2+3.9
+0.6-0.1-1.0
-0.6+0.0+1.2
Bristol City vs Bradford-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Crewe vs Peterborough+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Gillingham vs Preston+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Swindon vs Rochdale-0.1+0.1+0.1
Barnsley vs Notts County+0.1+0.1-0.2
Colchester vs Chesterfield+0.1*+0.0-0.2
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Sheff Utd vs Yeovil-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Oldham vs Coventry-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Preston vs Fleetwood Town-0.4-0.1+0.8
-2.0-0.1+4.0
+0.6-0.1-1.0
-0.6+0.0+1.2
Barnsley vs Bristol City+0.2+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Coventry vs Peterborough+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Leyton Orient vs Preston+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Chesterfield vs Swindon+0.0*+0.0-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.2
Swindon vs Colchester-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Doncaster vs Milton Keynes D+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Scunthorpe vs Notts County+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Walsall vs Chesterfield+0.1*+0.0-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Yeovil vs Rochdale+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Crewe vs Sheff Utd+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Oldham vs Bradford-0.1+0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fleetwood Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
100-118YesYes100No937*
9925-5-395.7%Yes964No23*
9825-4-4YesYes100No69*
9724-6-396.9Yes973No97*
9624-5-493.9Yes946No164*
9524-4-591.8Yes928No305*
9423-6-490.3Yes9010No557*
9323-5-587.699.8%88120No940*
9222-7-483.499.7831600No1,445*
9122-6-579.799.680200No2,325*
9022-5-674.098.8742420No3,549*
8921-7-567.898.1683030No5,259*
8821-6-662.097.0623440No7,997*
8721-5-753.895.2544060No11,639*
8620-7-645.192.145441010No17,035*
8520-6-737.388.1374714200No23,551*
8419-8-629.082.529482030No32,212*
8319-7-721.976.1224626610No43,889*
8219-6-815.168.115423110100No57,893*
8118-8-710.060.010373615300No75,693*
8018-7-86.151.36293821510No96,373*
7918-6-93.243.2321362710200No120,768*
7817-8-81.636.52143332154000No148,924*
7717-7-90.731.31825342281000No179,682*
7617-6-100.327.404183228133000No215,165*
7516-8-90.124.3021126322071000No250,771*
7416-7-100.021.3016193127133100No288,253*
7315-9-90.017.8003122530208200No326,555*
7215-8-100.013.70016183027144100No360,890*
7115-7-11No9.30031124302192000No394,725*
7014-9-10No5.600151628281651000No422,007*
6914-8-11No2.700029212924113000No444,166*
6814-7-12No1.100141326291972000No457,481*
6713-9-11No0.40016182826144100No465,604*
6613-8-12No0.10002102229231030000No465,443*
6513-7-13No0.000141426291871000No454,483*
6412-9-12No0.0000161828261451000No439,785*
6312-8-13NoNo0029222923113000No415,363*
6212-7-14NoNo00141325292082000No386,049*
6111-9-13NoNo00161627271661000No352,576*
6011-8-14NoNo0002820282413410000.0%316,051*
5910-10-13NoNo0003112328211030000.0278,058*
5810-9-14NoNo0001514252818720000.0239,613*
5710-8-15NoNo0001717272615510000.1202,597*
569-10-14NoNo000292128231241000.7168,562*
559-9-15NoNo01412242820920002.3137,730*
549-8-16NoNo00161627271661006.9109,665*
538-10-15NoNo00282029241230015.986,381*
528-9-16NoNo0141225292081029.166,364*
518-8-17NoNo00016172928144046.249,985*
507-10-16NoNo0003102432238162.936,430*
497-9-17NoNo001517303014277.626,117*
487-8-18NoNo00210253623588.318,705*
476-10-17NoNo0151836311094.612,664*
466-9-18NoNo0021132381697.58,456*
456-8-19NoNo01626432498.95,662*
445-10-18NoNo0317443599.73,568*
435-9-19NoNo0114414499.92,198*
425-8-20NoNo173953Yes1,347*
415-7-21NoNo53263Yes794*
404-9-20NoNo022771Yes450*
394-8-21NoNo12277Yes261*
384-7-22NoNo21187Yes131*
373-9-21NoNo1486Yes83*
363-8-22NoNo694Yes34*
353-7-23NoNo1288Yes17*
342-9-22NoNo1783Yes6*
332-8-23NoNo1783Yes6
19-32NoNo100Yes911*
Total:1.0%9.1%1345678888776544322111001.9%8,743,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)