"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOTieAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 9/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Clinched100.0*Average seed
Jacob vs Fowler-46.4-6.3-6.2-15.9InInIn
-38.0-37.5-37.5-35.1+21.2+21.2+48.8
-2.7-1.2-1.2-1.4+1.5+1.5+2.7
Burch vs Unlap+0.5-5.0-5.0+3.4+0.6+0.5+0.5
-1.0-1.5-1.5+11.4+2.9+2.9-1.1
-0.0-0.2-0.2+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.0
Miller vs Hallmark+0.5-5.0-4.9+3.4+0.5+0.5+0.6
-1.0-1.6-1.5+11.4+2.8+2.8-1.0
-0.0-0.2-0.2+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.0
Mark vs Weldon+0.5-5.0-5.0+3.4+0.5+0.6+0.5
-1.1-1.5-1.6+11.4+2.8+2.9-1.0
-0.0-0.2-0.2+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.0
Fincher vs Tyler+0.5-4.9-4.9+3.4+0.5+0.5+0.6
-1.1-1.5-1.5+11.4+2.9+2.9-1.0
-0.0-0.2-0.2+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Fowler finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-TplayoffsClinched12345678910Count
0.50-0-146.6%3.0%003182519151372,441,366
01-0-0In79.6171921222023,217,985
0-1-026.70.20004232018181823,213,789
Total:62.5%38.1%89101112121099948,873,140
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs