"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOTieAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 9/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Clinched100.0*Average seed
Mark vs WeldonInInIn-10.9-41.3-41.3-41.4
+45.0+48.3+48.3-38.9-41.8-41.8-41.8
+2.7+3.0+3.0-1.4-2.6-2.6-2.6
Fincher vs Tyler+0.4-4.1-4.2+3.3+0.5+0.5+0.4
-0.7-1.1-1.2+7.1+2.3+2.4-0.7
-0.0-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.0
Miller vs Hallmark+0.4-4.1-4.1+3.3+0.4+0.4+0.4
-0.7-1.1-1.2+7.1+2.3+2.3-0.7
-0.0-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.0
Burch vs Unlap+0.4-4.1-4.1+3.2+0.4+0.5+0.4
-0.7-1.1-1.2+7.0+2.3+2.4-0.7
-0.0-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.0
Jacob vs Fowler+0.4-4.0-4.1+3.2+0.4+0.4+0.4
-0.7-1.1-1.1+7.0+2.3+2.2-0.7
-0.0-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Mark finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-TplayoffsClinched12345678910Count
0.50-0-146.6%3.0%0003182519151272,442,633
00-1-016.20.10002141921222323,216,838
1-0-0In87.8252321191223,213,669
Total:57.5%41.9%1211109881011111148,873,140
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs