Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 2019

Beat Astros 329-266, playoff odds up 20.9 to 53.2%

8-5-0 .615

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

15		7	-	0	-	0	In		1	0	0	98									152,610
14	.5	6	-	0	-	1	In		1	0	0	99									40,177
14		6	-	1	-	0	99.6	%	0	0	0	99	0								896,832
		5	-	0	-	2	99.6		0	0	0	99	0								4,389
13	.5	5	-	1	-	1	98.7		0	0	0	99	1								188,394
		4	-	0	-	3	98.0					98	2								250
13		5	-	2	-	0	86.2		0	0	0	86	13	0	0						1,931,791
		4	-	1	-	2	88.2				0	88	12	0							16,018
		3	-	0	-	4	88.9					89	11								9
12	.5	4	-	2	-	1	71.9			0	0	72	26	2	0						318,854
		3	-	1	-	3	71.6					72	27	1	0						701
12		4	-	3	-	0	30.2					30	46	20	3	0	0				1,982,809
		3	-	2	-	2	34.7					35	46	18	2	0					20,393
		2	-	1	-	4	21.4					21	64	14							14
11	.5	3	-	3	-	1	11.4					11	42	37	10	1	0				246,229
		2	-	2	-	3	11.8					12	40	38	10	0					654
11		3	-	4	-	0	1.4					1	13	35	37	13	1	0			1,020,864
		2	-	3	-	2	1.8					2	14	37	35	10	1	0			10,887
		1	-	2	-	4	Out						30	40	20		10				10
10	.5	2	-	4	-	1	0.0					0	2	19	43	30	6	0			88,010
		1	-	3	-	3	Out						3	19	46	28	5				217
10		2	-	5	-	0	0.0					0	0	4	23	44	27	3			245,933
		1	-	4	-	2	Out						0	4	25	44	25	2			2,447
		0	-	3	-	4	Out											100			1
9	.5	1	-	5	-	1	Out							0	5	31	52	12			12,733
		0	-	4	-	3	Out									36	50	14			28
9		1	-	6	-	0	Out							0	1	19	57	23			22,388
		0	-	5	-	2	Out								1	15	59	26			157
8	.5	0	-	6	-	1	Out									2	42	56			578
8		0	-	7	-	0	Out								0	1	35	63			1,335

Total:							53.2	%	0	0	0	53	21	12	8	4	1	0			7,205,712

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

15		7	-	0	-	0	0	1	15	41	35	9	1	0
14	.5	6	-	0	-	1		0	0	6	27	42	23	2
14		6	-	1	-	0		0	0	5	26	41	24	3	0	0
		5	-	0	-	2				0	3	20	49	28	0	0
13	.5	5	-	1	-	1			0	0	2	17	48	31	1	0	0
		4	-	0	-	3					0	0	30	68	0	1	0
13		5	-	2	-	0			0	0	2	14	40	31	9	5	0	0
		4	-	1	-	2						1	21	66	3	7	1	0	0
		3	-	0	-	4								89		11
12	.5	4	-	2	-	1					0	1	16	55	7	17	4	0	0
		3	-	1	-	3							2	69	0	12	12	4	1	0
12		4	-	3	-	0					0	0	6	24	17	42	10	1	0	0
		3	-	2	-	2							1	34	2	21	27	12	2	0	0
		2	-	1	-	4								21			7	43	21	7
11	.5	3	-	3	-	1							0	11	2	28	36	18	4	0	0	0
		2	-	2	-	3								12		1	11	24	31	15	5	1
11		3	-	4	-	0							0	1	2	29	39	22	6	1	0	0
		2	-	3	-	2								2		1	10	28	34	19	5	1
		1	-	2	-	4														20	70	10
10	.5	2	-	4	-	1								0	0	1	8	26	35	22	7	1	0
		1	-	3	-	3												2	8	29	37	20	5
10		2	-	5	-	0								0	0	1	6	23	35	26	9	1	0
		1	-	4	-	2											0	1	5	24	39	27	5	0
		0	-	3	-	4																	100
9	.5	1	-	5	-	1											0	0	5	21	40	28	6	0
		0	-	4	-	3														4	7	50	39
9		1	-	6	-	0											0	0	4	20	39	30	6	0
		0	-	5	-	2														2	10	39	43	7
8	.5	0	-	6	-	1														0	10	36	48	6
8		0	-	7	-	0														0	3	27	59	11

Total:							0	0	0	2	5	10	17	19	8	19	10	5	3	1	1	0	0	0