Cincinatti Reds Playoff Chances 2019Lost to Angels 221-253, playoff odds down 2.9 to 2.7% 6-7-0 .462 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Angels 253 Reds 221 | -2.6 | | -0.3 | | Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 | +1.5 | | +0.2 | | Twins 332 Rockies 327 | +1.1 | | +0.1 | | Astros 266 Cubs 329 | -0.6 | | -0.1 | | Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 | +0.1 | | | | Tigers 180 Giants 233 | -0.1 | | -0.0 | | Braves 268.5 Rays 207.5 | | | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 7/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Indians vs Reds | -2.2-1.8+0.5 | | -0.8-0.4+0.2 | | Tigers vs Cubs | +1.2+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | Blue Jays vs Rockies | +0.6-0.2-0.4 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | Red Sox vs Giants | +0.1*-0.1-0.6 | | +0.0-0.0-0.2 | | Yankees vs Diamondbacks | +0.4*-0.1-0.1 | | +0.2-0.0-0.0 | | Rays vs Dodgers | +0.2+0.2-0.1 | | | | Rangers vs Phillies | +0.1*+0.0-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | Braves vs Mariners | | | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 84.7 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 15 | 1 | | | | | | | 36,859 | | 12 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 55.4 | | | | 0 | 55 | 40 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 13,350 | | 12 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 32.4 | | | | | 32 | 46 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 406,696 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 31.5 | | | | | 32 | 47 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 1,977 | | 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 4.8 | | | | | 5 | 33 | 44 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | 109,635 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 5.4 | | | | | 5 | 33 | 46 | 13 | 2 | | | | | 147 | | 11 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1.1 | | | | | 1 | 14 | 37 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | 1,458,403 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 1.3 | | | | | 1 | 15 | 37 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | 11,594 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | 25 | 50 | 25 | | | | | 8 | | 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 9 | 0 | | | 285,470 | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | 1 | 11 | 41 | 39 | 8 | 0 | | | 588 | | 10 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 41 | 31 | 5 | | | 2,227,204 | | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 42 | 30 | 4 | | | 20,911 | | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | 5 | 42 | 47 | 5 | | | 19 | | 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 28 | 53 | 16 | | | 309,239 | | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 28 | 52 | 15 | | | 756 | | 9 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 47 | | | 1,559,755 | | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 46 | 43 | | | 15,490 | | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | 17 | 42 | 42 | | | 12 | | 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 30 | 68 | | | 145,380 | | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | 2 | 32 | 66 | | | 316 | | 8 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 86 | 0 | | 491,750 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 86 | 0 | | 4,353 | | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | 3 | | 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 0 | | 28,810 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | | | 47 | | 7 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 0 | | 69,918 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | | 423 | | 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 0 | | 2,049 | | 6 | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 99 | 1 | | 4,550 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.7 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 24 | 21 | 0 | | 7,205,712 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 6/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Angels 253 Reds 221 | +0.5 | | Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 | -0.2 | | Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 | +0.1 | | Twins 332 Rockies 327 | -0.1 | | Tigers 180 Giants 233 | +0.0 | | Rangers 290 Brewers 266 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 7/7 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Indians vs Reds | +1.2+1.1-0.3 | | Astros vs Mets | +0.0-0.2-0.2 | | Rangers vs Phillies | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | | Red Sox vs Giants | -0.0-0.0+0.2 | | Yankees vs Diamondbacks | -0.1-0.2+0.0 | | Braves vs Mariners | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | | Blue Jays vs Rockies | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | | Tigers vs Cubs | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 46 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 51 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 30 | 4 | 26 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 0 | 31 | | 3 | 13 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 5 | | | 1 | 7 | 14 | 37 | 25 | 11 | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 1 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 50 | 38 | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 34 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 46 | 13 | 1 | | | | | | | 10 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 45 | 16 | 0 | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 47 | 47 | 5 | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 45 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 35 | 53 | 7 | | | | | | | 9 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 44 | 23 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 31 | 56 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 58 | 42 | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 60 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 54 | 38 | 1 | | | | | | 8 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 63 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 54 | 39 | 2 | | | | | | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 67 | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 53 | 41 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 74 | 13 | | | | | | 7 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 52 | 42 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 59 | 25 | 2 | | | | | 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 14 | 54 | 31 | 2 | | | | | 6 | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | |
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