Holy capitalism Batman, we’re in the Wall Street Journal |
Los Angeles Dodgers Playoff Chances 2019
Lost to Royals 294-328.5, playoff odds down 5.6 to 73.7%
9-4-0 .692
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 | -5.3 | -0.3 | ||
| Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 | +3.6 | +0.1 | ||
| Twins 332 Rockies 327 | +2.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Astros 266 Cubs 329 | -1.7 | |||
| Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 | -0.4 | |||
| Angels 253 Reds 221 | +0.1 | |||
| Nationals 292 Yankees 248 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 7/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Rays vs Dodgers | -15.6-1.8+4.5 | -0.7-0.1+0.2 | ||
| Blue Jays vs Rockies | +4.4+3.1-3.1 | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Tigers vs Cubs | +3.9+2.7-0.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | ||
| Yankees vs Diamondbacks | +2.8+2.2-0.7 | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Red Sox vs Giants | +0.3-1.0-1.3 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Rangers vs Phillies | +0.6+0.6-0.6 | |||
| Nationals vs Angels | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Dodgers finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 16 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 16 | 84 | 131,397 | |||||||||||||
| 15 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 5 | 95 | 1 | 33,224 | |||||||||||
| 15 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 3 | 90 | 6 | 0 | 699,756 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 3 | 94 | 3 | 3,545 | |||||||||||||
| 14 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 149,572 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 1 | 87 | 12 | 1 | 231 | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.8 | % | 0 | 64 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1,567,806 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 0 | 69 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 13,333 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 83 | 17 | 6 | ||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.5 | 0 | 43 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 275,160 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.0 | 40 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 598 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 89.6 | 0 | 19 | 50 | 21 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1,886,357 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 93.2 | 0 | 21 | 53 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 19,340 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 13 | 81 | 6 | 16 | |||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 79.1 | 6 | 53 | 20 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 261,410 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 78.5 | 6 | 52 | 21 | 19 | 3 | 642 | |||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 36.7 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 39 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1,318,843 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 41.0 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 39 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 13,476 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 42.9 | 14 | 29 | 43 | 14 | 7 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 16.5 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 32 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 134,741 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 18.5 | 15 | 4 | 27 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 313 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 2.7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 529,846 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 2.4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 4,504 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 25 | 25 | 50 | 4 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 35,268 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 13 | 50 | 24 | 13 | 46 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 44 | 20 | 1 | 111,637 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 3 | 26 | 48 | 21 | 1 | 578 | |||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 5 | 31 | 52 | 12 | 3,769 | |||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 21 | 60 | 18 | 10,287 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 73.7 | % | 1 | 34 | 29 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7,205,712 | |||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 | +0.6 | |
| Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 | -0.1 | |
| Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 | -0.1 | |
| Astros 266 Cubs 329 | +0.1 | |
| Twins 332 Rockies 327 | -0.1 | |
| Angels 253 Reds 221 | +0.1 | |
| Nationals 292 Yankees 248 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 7/7 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Rays vs Dodgers | +1.2+0.9-0.4 | |
| Blue Jays vs Rockies | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| Tigers vs Cubs | -0.2-0.2+0.0 | |
| Nationals vs Angels | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | |
| Royals vs Pirates | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Yankees vs Diamondbacks | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | |
| Red Sox vs Giants | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | |
| 16 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 22 | 57 | 18 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 45 | 28 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 44 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 37 | 8 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 8 | 44 | 41 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 45 | 12 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 17 | 50 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 47 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 51 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 43 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 55 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 6 | 94 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 50 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 3 | 75 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 19 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 2 | 20 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 43 | 57 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 27 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 26 | 25 | 14 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 41 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 19 | 5 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 25 | 75 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 9 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 39 | 25 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 40 | 29 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:12 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
