How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 +4.6
+0.6
Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 +0.8
+0.2
Nationals 292 Yankees 248 -0.7
-0.0
Twins 332 Rockies 327 +0.6
Astros 266 Cubs 329 -0.5
-0.1
Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 +0.2
Angels 253 Reds 221 +0.1
+0.1
Braves 268.5 Rays 207.5 -0.1
Tigers 180 Giants 233 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers vs Phillies-7.5-1.8+8.2
-0.6+0.0+0.6
Tigers vs Cubs+5.5+0.4-0.4
+0.2+0.0-0.0
Blue Jays vs Rockies+1.7+0.9-1.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Nationals vs Angels-1.3+0.3+1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Rays vs Dodgers+1.2*+0.2-0.4
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Yankees vs Diamondbacks+0.7*-0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.0-0.0
Red Sox vs Giants+0.1*-0.3-0.6
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Indians vs Reds+0.3*+0.2-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Braves vs Mariners-0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
147-0-099.1%062730187,602
13.56-0-193.64019356023,762
136-1-082.401116551710553,982
5-0-286.21419531402,751
12.55-1-154.3317344240126,885
4-0-350.031136455174
125-2-028.1052349212001,437,309
4-1-229.8062449192011,824
3-0-450.05025254
11.54-2-16.703435451210265,811
3-1-37.4353643121579
114-3-01.60115403211101,947,615
3-2-21.40115423191019,555
2-1-4Out2448191021
10.53-3-10.100118433170279,804
2-2-30.4021643308697
103-4-00.0000523412641,478,282
2-3-2Out05234127414,735
1-2-4Out5017336
9.52-4-10.0005295016153,813
1-3-3Out04255615322
92-5-0Out01124641615,755
1-4-2Out11044445,146
0-3-4Out50504
8.51-5-1Out02297040,734
0-4-3Out326865
81-6-0Out001188125,044
0-5-2Out01090594
7.50-6-1Out4963,819
70-7-0Out09909,018
Total:15.2%023111719161411707,205,712
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/30100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 -0.9
Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 -0.1
Angels 253 Reds 221 -0.1
Braves 268.5 Rays 207.5 +0.1
Twins 332 Rockies 327 -0.0
Tigers 180 Giants 233 +0.0
Rangers 290 Brewers 266 +0.0
Nationals 292 Yankees 248 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/7100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers vs Phillies+0.9+0.5-1.0
Tigers vs Cubs-0.2-0.1+0.0
Red Sox vs Giants-0.0-0.0+0.2
Blue Jays vs Rockies-0.1-0.1+0.1
Yankees vs Diamondbacks-0.2-0.1+0.0
Astros vs Mets+0.0-0.1-0.1
Indians vs Reds-0.1-0.1+0.0
Rays vs Dodgers-0.1-0.1+0.0
Braves vs Mariners+0.0-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
147-0-004244424310
13.56-0-101124437330
136-1-0001836379810
5-0-20014722830
12.55-1-10084652414200
4-0-35016201761
125-2-000325835245000
4-1-2029092823920
3-0-4502525
11.54-2-1007111333114300
3-1-3705213024930
114-3-0020103234174100
3-2-210051932271230
2-1-4553357
10.53-3-1000416313016400
2-2-30152137306
103-4-0000313283119500
2-3-200418363390
1-2-4175033
9.52-4-10003143438120
1-3-32642456
92-5-0002103141160
1-4-20534528
0-3-42575
8.51-5-1004305780
0-4-355145
81-6-0003256390
0-5-2554401
7.50-6-103564010
70-7-00254431
Total:000141021116151210863000