Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.006 to 96.2%

118 points 32-4-5 25-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Minnesota vs Ottawa	-2.8-0.4-0.3-0.4+1.8+2.7		-0.6-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.7
Philadelphia vs NY Islanders	+1.0+0.5+0.5+0.4-0.2-1.2
Carolina vs Columbus	-0.8-0.3+0.5+0.4+0.4+0.6
Nashville vs Toronto	+0.6+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.6		+0.2+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2
Tampa Bay vs Detroit	-0.4*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2+0.3
Boston vs Dallas	-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.2		-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Montreal vs Florida			-0.2-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:										Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

139	7	-	0	-	0	0		-	0	In		No		98		2													3,885
138	6	-	1	-	0	0		-	0	In		No		96		4													4,258
137	6	-	0	-	0	0		-	1	In		No		93		7													14,748	*
136	6	-	0	-	0	1		-	0	In		No		88		12		0											38,794	*
135	5	-	1	-	0	1		-	0	In		No		80		20		0											48,271	*
134	5	-	0	-	0	1		-	1	In		No		71		29		0											49,992
	5	-	0	-	1	1		-	0	In		No		71		28		0											50,819	*
133	5	-	0	-	0	2		-	0	In		No		58		40		1		0									78,221
	4	-	1	-	0	1		-	1	In		No		59		40		1		0									82,063	*
132	4	-	1	-	0	2		-	0	In		No		45		51		4		0									62,175
	4	-	0	-	1	1		-	1	In		No		45		51		4		0									41,029
	4	-	0	-	0	1		-	2	In		No		45		51		3		0									80,586	*
131	4	-	0	-	0	2		-	1	In		No		33		59		8		0									126,119
	4	-	0	-	1	2		-	0	In		No		33		59		8		0									63,875
	3	-	1	-	1	1		-	1	In		No		33		59		8		0									90,655	*
130	4	-	0	-	0	3		-	0	In		No		20		62		18		1									130,531
	3	-	1	-	0	2		-	1	In		No		20		62		16		1									79,912
	3	-	1	-	1	2		-	0	In		No		20		62		17		1									71,502	*
	3	-	0	-	1	1		-	2	In		No		20		62		16		1									50,235	*
129	3	-	1	-	0	3		-	0	100.0	%	No		11		59		28		3	0								83,779
	3	-	0	-	1	2		-	1	100.0		No		11		59		28		3	0								82,573
	3	-	0	-	0	2		-	2	100.0		No		11		59		27		3	0								114,303	*
	2	-	2	-	0	2		-	1	In		No		11		59		27		3									48,824	*
128	3	-	0	-	0	3		-	1	100.0		No		5		49		40		6	0								167,432
	3	-	0	-	1	3		-	0	100.0		No		6		49		39		6	0								85,359
	2	-	1	-	1	2		-	1	100.0		No		6		50		39		6	0								77,796	*
	2	-	2	-	0	3		-	0	100.0		No		5		49		39		7	0								59,950	*
127	3	-	0	-	0	4		-	0	99.8		No		2		34		51		13	0								130,167
	2	-	1	-	0	3		-	1	99.9		No		2		35		50		13	0								79,224
	2	-	0	-	1	2		-	2	99.8		No		2		35		49		15	0								66,988	*
	2	-	1	-	1	3		-	0	99.8		No		2		35		49		14	0	0							86,630	*
126	2	-	0	-	1	3		-	1	99.1		No		1		23		53		23	1	0							82,179
	2	-	0	-	0	3		-	2	99.1		No		1		22		53		23	1	0							106,581	*
	2	-	1	-	0	4		-	0	99.3		No		1		23		54		22	1								61,804
	2	-	0	-	2	3		-	0	99.2		No		1		23		53		23	1								48,440	*
125	2	-	0	-	0	4		-	1	97.5		No		0		12		52		33	3	0							125,779
	2	-	0	-	1	4		-	0	97.6		No		0		12		52		33	2	0							63,644
	1	-	1	-	1	3		-	1	97.8		No		0		12		52		33	2	0							51,262	*
	1	-	1	-	0	3		-	2	97.4		No		0		11		50		35	3	0							43,221	*
124	2	-	0	-	0	5		-	0	93.3		No		0		5		45		43	7	0							78,167
	1	-	1	-	0	4		-	1	94.1		No		0		5		44		45	6	0							71,264	*
	1	-	0	-	1	3		-	2	92.0		No		0		5		39		48	8	0	0						57,794	*
123	1	-	0	-	1	4		-	1	83.2		No				2		32		49	16	1	0						81,863	*
	1	-	1	-	0	5		-	0	85.0		No				2		33		50	14	1	0						51,721	*
122	1	-	0	-	0	5		-	1	71.8		No				1		23		48	25	3	0						50,326
	1	-	0	-	1	5		-	0	72.3		No				0		22		49	25	3	0						49,605	*
121	1	-	0	-	0	6		-	0	54.0		No				0		13		41	38	8	0						53,046	*
120	0	-	0	-	1	5		-	1	34.9		No						7		28	46	17	2						22,690	*
119	0	-	0	-	0	6		-	1	21.4		No						4		18	47	27	5						12,634	*
118	0	-	0	-	0	7		-	0	9.8		No						1		8	41	39	10						4,025

Total:										96.2	%	No		17		36		29		14	3	1	0						3,366,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Ottawa	+1.2+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.5-1.3
Boston vs Dallas	+0.4+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.4
Nashville vs Toronto	-0.3-0.1-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.4
Montreal vs Florida	+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3

What If

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:										Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

139	7	-	0	-	0	0		-	0			62	36			2
138	6	-	1	-	0	0		-	0			47	49			4	0
137	6	-	0	-	0	0		-	1			28	65			6	1
136	6	-	0	-	0	1		-	0			18	70			9	3			0
135	5	-	1	-	0	1		-	0			8	72			12	8			0
134	5	-	0	-	0	1		-	1			3	68			11	17			0	0
	5	-	0	-	1	1		-	0			3	69			12	17			0	0
133	5	-	0	-	0	2		-	0			1	58			10	30			1	0			0
	4	-	1	-	0	1		-	1			1	58			10	30			1	0			0
132	4	-	1	-	0	2		-	0			0	45			7	45			3	0			0
	4	-	0	-	1	1		-	1			0	45			5	47			3	1			0
	4	-	0	-	0	1		-	2			0	45			5	46			3	1			0
131	4	-	0	-	0	2		-	1			0	33			2	57			5	3			0
	4	-	0	-	1	2		-	0			0	33			2	56			5	3			0
	3	-	1	-	1	1		-	1			0	33			2	57			5	2			0
130	4	-	0	-	0	3		-	0			0	20			1	61			10	8			1	0
	3	-	1	-	0	2		-	1				20			1	61			9	8			1	0
	3	-	1	-	1	2		-	0			0	20			1	61			8	8			1
129	3	-	1	-	0	3		-	0				11			0	59			11	16			3	0	0
	3	-	0	-	1	2		-	1				11			0	58			9	19			3	0	0
	3	-	0	-	0	2		-	2				11			0	59			9	19			3	0	0
	2	-	2	-	0	2		-	1				11			0	59			10	17			2	0
128	3	-	0	-	0	3		-	1				5			0	49			8	32			6	0	0
	3	-	0	-	1	3		-	0				6			0	49			8	31			6	0	0
	2	-	1	-	1	2		-	1				6			0	50			8	31			6	0	0
	2	-	2	-	0	3		-	0				5			0	49			8	31			7	0	0
127	3	-	0	-	0	4		-	0				2				34			7	44			12	1	0
	2	-	1	-	0	3		-	1				2				35			7	43			12	1	0
	2	-	0	-	1	2		-	2				2				35			5	43			14	1	0
	2	-	1	-	1	3		-	0				2				35			6	43			13	1	0	0
126	2	-	0	-	1	3		-	1				1				23			2	50			19	4	1	0
	2	-	0	-	0	3		-	2				1				22			3	50			20	4	1	0
	2	-	1	-	0	4		-	0				1				23			5	50			19	3	1
	2	-	0	-	2	3		-	0				1				23			2	50			19	4	1
125	2	-	0	-	0	4		-	1				0				12			1	51			23	9	3	0
	2	-	0	-	1	4		-	0				0				12			1	51			23	10	2	0
	1	-	1	-	1	3		-	1				0				12			1	51			24	9	2	0
	1	-	1	-	0	3		-	2				0				11			1	49			25	10	3	0
124	2	-	0	-	0	5		-	0				0				5			1	44			26	18	7	0
	1	-	1	-	0	4		-	1				0				5			1	44			26	18	6	0
	1	-	0	-	1	3		-	2				0				5			0	39			28	20	8	0	0
123	1	-	0	-	1	4		-	1								2			0	32			21	28	16	1	0
	1	-	0	-	0	4		-	2								2			0	32			21	28	16	1	0
	1	-	1	-	0	5		-	0								2			0	33			22	28	14	1	0
122	1	-	0	-	0	5		-	1								1				23			14	34	25	3	0
	1	-	0	-	1	5		-	0								0				22			15	35	25	3	0
121	1	-	0	-	0	6		-	0								0				13			8	33	38	8	0
120	0	-	0	-	1	5		-	1												7			3	25	46	18	2
119	0	-	0	-	0	6		-	1												4			1	17	46	27	5
118	0	-	0	-	0	7		-	0												1			0	8	40	39	11	0

Total:												1	16			2	34			4	25			9	5	3	1	0	0