"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Tom Taylor Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Beat Dan Anderson, R 89.9-84.1, playoff odds up 0.5 to 1.2%
3-7-0 .300
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Odds of being in Last Place Bowl | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dan Anderson, R 84.1 Tom Taylor 89.9 | +0.7 | -15.3 | +0.5 | |||
| Nathan Burchfiel 91.5 Stephen Gombita 97.9 | -0.3 | |||||
| Dustin Helle 113.1 Anthony Halley 80.4 | +0.2 | +0.4 | -0.0 | |||
| pete l 61.8 Jacob Jenkins 100.6 | +0.2 | +1.4 | -0.1 | |||
| Bradford Gregg 112.1 Ryan Manion 127.6 | +0.2 | -2.6 | +0.1 | |||
| Chris Anderson 126.3 chris sink 105.1 | -0.1 | -5.5 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Odds of being in Last Place Bowl | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tom Taylor vs Jacob Jenkins | +1.2OutOut | -19.7-3.0+19.8 | +0.8-0.1-0.8 | |||
| chris sink vs Stephen Gombita | +1.0-1.0-1.0 | +4.7+5.7-4.7 | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | |||
| Dan Anderson, R vs Bradford Gregg | +0.2*+0.3-0.2 | -4.5-5.5+4.5 | +0.2+0.2-0.2 | |||
| Anthony Halley vs Chris Anderson | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | +4.2-5.4-4.2 | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | |||
| Ryan Manion vs Dustin Helle | -5.1+4.4+5.1 | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Tom Taylor finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Odds of being in Last Place Bowl | Count | |||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 9.8 | % | No | 10 | 68 | 18 | 4 | 0 | No | 1,523,849 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | No | 28 | 47 | 22 | 3 | No | 9,190 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Out | No | 5 | 23 | 38 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 8.9 | % | 4,564,100 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | No | 28 | 50 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 11.1 | 18 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | No | 4 | 23 | 46 | 23 | 4 | 27.0 | 18,210 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 8 | 27 | 41 | 24 | 65.0 | 4,560,882 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | No | 36 | 14 | 50 | 64.3 | 14 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | No | 6 | 37 | 57 | 93.7 | 9,122 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 22 | 77 | 99.0 | 1,525,359 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1.2 | % | No | 1 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 40.1 | % | 12,210,744 | |||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:52 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
