Jacob Jenkins Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Beat pete l 100.6-61.8, playoff odds up 2.3 to 43.3%
5-5-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed) | 100.0* | Odds of being in Last Place Bowl | 100.0* | Average seed |
| pete l 61.8 Jacob Jenkins 100.6 | +14.9 | +0.2 | -4.2 | +0.7 | ||||
| Chris Anderson 126.3 chris sink 105.1 | -5.6 | -0.9 | -0.1 | |||||
| Nathan Burchfiel 91.5 Stephen Gombita 97.9 | -4.5 | +0.1 | -0.1 | |||||
| Dustin Helle 113.1 Anthony Halley 80.4 | +0.7 | +0.1 | ||||||
| Dan Anderson, R 84.1 Tom Taylor 89.9 | -0.6 | +0.1 | +0.2 | -0.1 | ||||
| Bradford Gregg 112.1 Ryan Manion 127.6 | +0.6 | -0.1 | -1.0 | +0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Week of 11/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed) | 100.0* | Odds of being in Last Place Bowl | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tom Taylor vs Jacob Jenkins | -17.6-8.1+17.6 | NoNo+0.4 | +0.4NoNo | -0.7-0.1+0.7 | ||||
| Anthony Halley vs Chris Anderson | +9.0-9.2-8.9 | +0.1-0.2-0.1 | +0.2*+0.2-0.2 | +0.2-0.2-0.2 | ||||
| chris sink vs Stephen Gombita | +3.6*+0.3-3.6 | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Nathan Burchfiel vs pete l | +2.3*+0.1-2.3 | +0.0-0.4-0.0 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Ryan Manion vs Dustin Helle | +0.6*+0.8-0.6 | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | -0.3-0.3+0.3 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Dan Anderson, R vs Bradford Gregg | +0.4*+1.0-0.4 | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Jacob Jenkins finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Odds of being in Last Place Bowl | Count | |||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 98.7 | % | 3.1 | % | 0 | 3 | 20 | 36 | 31 | 8 | 1 | No | 1,525,000 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 89.3 | No | 1 | 13 | 39 | 36 | 11 | No | 9,119 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 70.8 | No | 0 | 4 | 25 | 41 | 29 | No | 4,560,990 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 59.1 | No | 9 | 14 | 36 | 41 | No | 22 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 19.9 | No | 1 | 19 | 80 | No | 18,311 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 12.0 | No | 0 | 12 | 65 | 20 | 3 | 0 | No | 4,563,526 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | No | 94 | 6 | No | 18 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | No | 29 | 46 | 22 | 3 | No | 9,174 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | No | 4 | 28 | 43 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 3.1 | % | 1,524,584 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 43.3 | % | 0.4 | % | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 36 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | % | 12,210,744 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:52 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
