SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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4 a.m.

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
América-MG vs Portuguesa-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.6-1.6+5.8
+4.7+1.1-5.6
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Portuguesa vs América-RN+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.5+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Atlético-GO vs Joinville-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Náutico vs Atlético-GO*+0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Oeste vs Avaí-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Icasa vs Vasco-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Vila Nova vs Náutico*-0.0+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Portuguesa vs Vasco+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.8-1.6-4.5
-5.6+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta+2.0-0.6-1.5
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.6+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Oeste vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1*-0.0
ABC vs Ceará*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Oeste vs Paraná*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Náutico vs América-MG*-0.0+0.2-0.1
ABC vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Luverdense vs Paraná-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Náutico vs Avaí-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Luverdense vs América-RN*-0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Icasa vs Avaí+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Portuguesa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
82-114YesYes100No1,282*
8125-6-799.7%Yes1000No378*
8024-8-699.3Yes991No592*
7924-7-799.8Yes1000No892*
7823-9-699.4Yes991No1,406*
7723-8-799.1Yes9910No2,094*
7623-7-898.4Yes982No2,982*
7522-9-797.8Yes9820No4,394*
7422-8-895.9Yes9640No6,047*
7322-7-994.8Yes9550No8,615*
7221-9-891.9Yes9280No11,660*
7121-8-989.1Yes891000No15,923*
7020-10-883.8Yes841510No21,112*
6920-9-977.8Yes782020No27,639*
6820-8-1070.5100.0%7026300No35,541*
6719-10-961.7100.062326000No45,712*
6619-9-1051.199.9513810100No57,060*
6519-8-1140.699.84141152000No69,980*
6418-10-1029.599.32943225100No85,647*
6318-9-1119.798.020392910200No102,084*
6217-11-1011.594.8123334175100No119,740*
6117-10-115.988.262334259200No140,010*
6017-9-122.476.22143030175100No159,943*
5916-11-110.859.0172131251231000No180,048*
5816-10-120.238.2021125302192000No200,054*
5716-9-130.019.501414272818720000No219,322*
5615-11-120.07.300161727261551000No236,513*
5515-10-13No1.800271828251451000No250,858*
5415-9-14No0.3000281928241341000No262,183*
5314-11-13No0.0000282028241341000No270,474*
5214-10-14No0.00002920282412410000.0%274,263*
5114-9-15No0.000002920282412410000.0273,673*
5013-11-14NoNo000292028241241000.1269,405*
4913-10-15NoNo000392128231231000.6261,482*
4812-12-14NoNo000310222923113003.2248,339*
4712-11-15NoNo001311232921920011.3232,905*
4612-10-16NoNo00141326291971026.9216,601*
4511-12-15NoNo00016172928154047.7196,304*
4411-11-16NoNo0002821322510168.3175,910*
4311-10-17NoNo000313283319483.5154,939*
4210-12-16NoNo0016203529992.8134,120*
4110-11-17NoNo00031331371697.1114,223*
4010-10-18NoNo001624422699.095,805*
399-12-17NoNo000317423799.778,943*
389-11-18NoNo00111394999.963,636*
379-10-19NoNo00063360100.050,576*
368-12-18NoNo0032770100.039,097*
358-11-19NoNo022078Yes30,107*
348-10-20NoNo011585Yes22,485*
337-12-19NoNo001090Yes16,657*
327-11-20NoNo0793Yes11,942*
317-10-21NoNo0595Yes8,262*
306-12-20NoNo0397Yes5,981*
296-11-21NoNo298Yes3,958*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes2,590*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes1,679*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,125*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes652*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes400*
0-23NoNo100Yes1,236*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%5,527,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2015-2-17 6:15 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)