Associacao Portuguesa de Desportos Title Chances 2014Season start, title odds unchanged at 5% 0 points 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/24 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Série A | 100.0* | Série C | 100.0* | Average seed | América-MG vs Portuguesa | -1.2-0.1+3.0 | | -3.4-0.1+8.1 | | +3.2-0.5-7.1 | | -0.7+0.0+1.5 | | Portuguesa vs América-RN | +1.5-1.1-2.0 | | +4.3-3.2-6.2 | | -4.5+2.9+6.9 | | +0.9-0.6-1.3 | | Náutico vs Atlético-GO | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Santa Cruz vs Ceará | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Luverdense vs Vila Nova | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | Ceará vs Luverdense | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*-0.0 | | | | Ponte Preta vs Oeste | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Icasa vs Vasco | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Atlético-GO vs Joinville | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Oeste vs Avaí | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.1 | | | | Joinville vs Bragantino | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | Paraná vs Santa Cruz | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Bragantino vs Boa Esporte | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | América-RN vs Icasa | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Vila Nova vs Náutico | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | ABC vs Paraná | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | Vasco vs ABC | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/31 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Série A | 100.0* | Série C | 100.0* | Average seed | Portuguesa vs Vasco | +1.5-1.1-2.0 | | +4.3-3.2-6.1 | | -4.5+2.9+6.9 | | +0.9-0.6-1.3 | | Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta | +1.5-1.1-2.0 | | +4.3-3.2-6.1 | | -4.5+2.9+6.9 | | +0.9-0.6-1.3 | | Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Oeste vs Ceará | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Oeste vs Paraná | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Icasa vs Avaí | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | Náutico vs Avaí | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Luverdense vs Paraná | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Joinville vs Vila Nova | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Icasa vs América-MG | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Náutico vs América-MG | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Luverdense vs América-RN | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | ABC vs Bragantino | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | ABC vs Ceará | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | Joinville vs América-RN | | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco | | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Portuguesa finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | Série | Chance will finish season at seed | Série | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | A | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | C | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 84 | -114 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,398 | * | 83 | | 25 | - | 8 | - | 5 | 99.4 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 179 | * | 81 | -82 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 862 | * | 80 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 946 | * | 79 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,455 | * | 78 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 6 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,375 | * | 77 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,627 | * | 76 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 99.0 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,619 | * | 75 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 98.6 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,466 | * | 74 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 97.7 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,434 | * | 73 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 96.8 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,481 | * | 72 | | 21 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 95.0 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,966 | * | 71 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 92.4 | | Yes | 92 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 36,813 | * | 70 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 8 | 89.2 | | Yes | 89 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 50,641 | * | 69 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 84.2 | | Yes | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 69,255 | * | 68 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 78.0 | | Yes | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 91,593 | * | 67 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 70.1 | | 100.0 | % | 70 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 120,781 | * | 66 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 60.5 | | 100.0 | | 61 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 154,891 | * | 65 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 49.7 | | 99.9 | | 50 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 196,122 | * | 64 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 37.9 | | 99.7 | | 38 | 42 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 245,554 | * | 63 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 26.5 | | 99.0 | | 27 | 42 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 300,856 | * | 62 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 10 | 16.6 | | 97.0 | | 17 | 37 | 31 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 362,224 | * | 61 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 9.0 | | 92.4 | | 9 | 29 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 428,282 | * | 60 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 4.0 | | 83.1 | | 4 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 500,339 | * | 59 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 11 | 1.4 | | 67.3 | | 1 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 572,164 | * | 58 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0.4 | | 46.5 | | 0 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 644,034 | * | 57 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.1 | | 25.3 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 712,972 | * | 56 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 10.0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 777,216 | * | 55 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 2.6 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 831,694 | * | 54 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 0.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 874,516 | * | 53 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 903,017 | * | 52 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 917,931 | * | 51 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 916,050 | * | 50 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 899,093 | * | 49 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.9 | | 865,640 | * | 48 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.7 | | 821,719 | * | 47 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15.5 | | 763,076 | * | 46 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 34.4 | | 697,346 | * | 45 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 57.0 | | 626,544 | * | 44 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 76.4 | | 552,242 | * | 43 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 89.2 | | 477,840 | * | 42 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 34 | 13 | 95.7 | | 404,996 | * | 41 | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 41 | 23 | 98.5 | | 337,589 | * | 40 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 43 | 34 | 99.6 | | 276,903 | * | 39 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 46 | 99.9 | | 221,362 | * | 38 | | 9 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 59 | 100.0 | | 173,717 | * | 37 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 69 | 100.0 | | 134,065 | * | 36 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 100.0 | | 100,582 | * | 35 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | Yes | 74,480 | * | 34 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | Yes | 54,213 | * | 33 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 37,835 | * | 32 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 26,355 | * | 31 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 17,869 | * | 30 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 11,852 | * | 29 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 7,502 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 4,840 | * | 27 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,856 | * | 26 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,741 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,048 | * | 24 | | 4 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 566 | * | 0 | -23 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 2,816 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.0 | % | 20.0 | % | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20.0 | % | 17,386,440 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |