How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
América-MG vs Portuguesa-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.2-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Portuguesa vs América-RN+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.2
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Náutico vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Ceará vs Luverdense*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0
Ponte Preta vs Oeste*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Joinville*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Oeste vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.1
Joinville vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Paraná vs Santa Cruz*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
América-RN vs Icasa*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Vila Nova vs Náutico*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Vasco vs ABC-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Portuguesa vs Vasco+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Oeste vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Oeste vs Paraná-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Náutico vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Luverdense vs Paraná-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
ABC vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
ABC vs Ceará-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Joinville vs América-RN-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Portuguesa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
84-114YesYes100No2,398*
8325-8-599.4%Yes991No179*
81-82YesYes100No862*
8024-8-699.9Yes1000No946*
7924-7-799.9Yes1000No1,455*
7823-9-699.8Yes1000No2,375*
7723-8-799.4Yes991No3,627*
7623-7-899.0Yes991No5,619*
7522-9-798.6Yes991No8,466*
7422-8-897.7Yes9820No12,434*
7322-7-996.8Yes9730No18,481*
7221-9-895.0Yes9550No25,966*
7121-8-992.4Yes9270No36,813*
7020-10-889.2Yes891000No50,641*
6920-9-984.2Yes841510No69,255*
6820-8-1078.0Yes782020No91,593*
6719-10-970.1100.0%7026300No120,781*
6619-9-1060.5100.06133600No154,891*
6519-8-1149.799.9503810100No196,122*
6418-10-1037.999.73842173000No245,554*
6318-9-1126.599.02742247100No300,856*
6217-11-1016.697.0173731123000No362,224*
6117-10-119.092.4929342061000No428,282*
6017-9-124.083.141933281331000No500,339*
5916-11-111.467.3110253122920000No572,164*
5816-10-120.446.50415282917610000No644,034*
5716-9-130.125.30161828261451000No712,972*
5615-11-120.010.000282028241341000No777,216*
5515-10-130.02.60002921282312410000No831,694*
5415-9-14No0.4000392128231241000No874,516*
5314-11-13No0.000029202823124100000.0%903,017*
5214-10-14No0.0000029202824124100000.0917,931*
5114-9-15No0.000002819272413410000.0916,050*
5013-11-14NoNo000281927251441000.1899,093*
4913-10-15NoNo000281927251441000.9865,640*
4812-12-14NoNo000281928251341004.7821,719*
4712-11-15NoNo000292029241230015.5763,076*
4612-10-16NoNo000310223023102034.4697,346*
4511-12-15NoNo0014132631206157.0626,544*
4411-11-16NoNo0001517303014276.4552,242*
4311-10-17NoNo00029243524689.2477,840*
4210-12-16NoNo00141533341395.7404,996*
4110-11-17NoNo0001827412398.5337,589*
4010-10-18NoNo000419433499.6276,903*
399-12-17NoNo00212404699.9221,362*
389-11-18NoNo00173459100.0173,717*
379-10-19NoNo00042769100.0134,065*
368-12-18NoNo0022078100.0100,582*
358-11-19NoNo011584Yes74,480*
348-10-20NoNo001090Yes54,213*
337-12-19NoNo0793Yes37,835*
327-11-20NoNo0496Yes26,355*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes17,869*
306-12-20NoNo0298Yes11,852*
296-11-21NoNo0199Yes7,502*
286-10-22NoNo0100Yes4,840*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes2,856*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,741*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes1,048*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes566*
0-23NoNo100Yes2,816*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%17,386,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship