How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
América-RN vs Icasa-1.6-0.7+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.8
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Icasa vs Vasco+2.0-0.6-1.5
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.6+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Portuguesa vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Oeste*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Vila Nova vs Náutico*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.2+0.1
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta-0.1+0.3-0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.2-0.1
América-MG vs Portuguesa+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Joinville*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.2-0.1
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte*+0.0-0.2+0.1
Paraná vs Santa Cruz-0.1+0.2*-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Vasco vs ABC*-0.0+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Icasa vs América-MG+2.1-0.6-1.6
+5.8-1.6-4.5
-5.6+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Icasa vs Avaí+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.6+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Portuguesa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
ABC vs Ceará-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Luverdense vs América-RN*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.1+0.2*-0.0
ABC vs Bragantino-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Joinville vs América-RN*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Luverdense vs Paraná*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Náutico vs Avaí-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Oeste vs Paraná*-0.0+0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Icasa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
82-114YesYes100No1,302*
8124-9-599.5%Yes991No372*
8024-8-699.5Yes991No598*
7924-7-799.6Yes1000No939*
7823-9-699.6Yes1000No1,345*
7723-8-798.7Yes991No2,060*
7623-7-898.5Yes982No2,998*
7522-9-797.5Yes9820No4,303*
7422-8-896.5Yes9730No6,119*
7322-7-994.8Yes9550No8,487*
7221-9-892.0Yes9280No11,719*
7121-8-988.8Yes891100No16,065*
7020-10-883.9Yes841510No21,166*
6920-9-978.2Yes782020No27,490*
6820-8-1070.6100.0%7126300No35,702*
6719-10-961.8100.06232600No45,381*
6619-9-1051.199.951381010No56,901*
6519-8-1140.399.8404215300No70,368*
6418-10-1029.599.32943225100No85,671*
6318-9-1119.697.920392910200No102,378*
6217-11-1011.594.7123234175100No120,524*
6117-10-115.888.06233425102000No140,198*
6017-9-122.476.521429311751000No159,427*
5916-11-110.858.7172031251231000No180,384*
5816-10-120.238.20211253021920000No200,327*
5716-9-130.019.60141526281872000No219,145*
5615-11-120.07.400161727261551000No236,262*
5515-10-130.01.70002718282514510000No251,800*
5415-9-14No0.3000281928241341000No262,098*
5314-11-13No0.000028202824134100No269,884*
5214-10-14No0.000002920282412410000.0%273,288*
5114-9-15NoNo000292028241241000.0273,591*
5013-11-14NoNo000292028241241000.1269,341*
4913-10-15NoNo000292128231231000.6260,884*
4812-12-14NoNo00003102229231130003.2248,330*
4712-11-15NoNo001311232921920011.3233,347*
4612-10-16NoNo000141326291971026.9216,212*
4511-12-15NoNo00016172928154047.9196,755*
4411-11-16NoNo0002821322510168.3175,849*
4311-10-17NoNo000313283319483.7155,238*
4210-12-16NoNo0016203529992.7134,470*
4110-11-17NoNo0031231381697.2114,034*
4010-10-18NoNo001624422699.095,746*
399-12-17NoNo00317423799.778,597*
389-11-18NoNo00111385099.963,545*
379-10-19NoNo00063360100.050,440*
368-12-18NoNo032670Yes39,405*
358-11-19NoNo022078Yes29,925*
348-10-20NoNo011584Yes22,607*
337-12-19NoNo001089Yes16,494*
327-11-20NoNo0793Yes12,055*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes8,465*
306-12-20NoNo0397Yes5,825*
296-11-21NoNo298Yes3,919*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes2,601*
276-9-23NoNo0100Yes1,620*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,117*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes703*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes428*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes236*
0-22NoNo100Yes1,000*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%5,527,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship