How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Náutico vs Atlético-GO-1.6-0.7+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Atlético-GO vs Joinville+2.0-0.6-1.5
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.5+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG-0.1+0.1*-0.0
*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Santa Cruz vs Ceará-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.1
América-MG vs Portuguesa*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Luverdense vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
ABC vs Paraná-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta*-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Oeste vs Avaí-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Icasa vs Vasco*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Joinville vs Bragantino*-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Portuguesa vs América-RN-0.1+0.2*-0.1
América-RN vs Icasa-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Ceará vs Luverdense*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Oeste*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Vasco vs ABC*-0.1+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.6
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Portuguesa vs Vasco-0.0+0.1*-0.0
ABC vs Ceará*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Joinville vs Vila Nova*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Oeste vs Paraná-0.1+0.2*-0.1
ABC vs Bragantino*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Joinville vs América-RN*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Luverdense vs Paraná-0.1+0.2*-0.0
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Icasa vs Avaí-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlético-GO finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
82-114YesYes100No1,310*
8124-9-599.7%Yes1000No396*
8024-8-699.5Yes1000No615*
7924-7-799.7Yes1000No927*
7823-9-699.1Yes991No1,360*
7723-8-798.6Yes991No2,121*
7623-7-898.4Yes982No3,009*
7522-9-797.4Yes973No4,296*
7422-8-895.8Yes9640No5,916*
7322-7-994.3Yes9460No8,583*
7221-9-891.9Yes9280No11,840*
7121-8-989.0Yes89110No15,979*
7020-10-884.2Yes841510No21,337*
6920-9-977.9Yes782020No27,692*
6820-8-1070.1100.0%7026300No36,117*
6719-10-961.5100.061326000No45,466*
6619-9-1051.799.9523810100No56,631*
6519-8-1140.599.8414215300No70,099*
6418-10-1029.699.33042225100No85,013*
6318-9-1119.798.0203929102000No102,076*
6217-11-1011.494.71133341751000No119,915*
6117-10-115.988.16233425102000No139,710*
6017-9-122.576.12142930176100No159,900*
5916-11-110.858.917213125123100No180,775*
5816-10-120.238.2021124302192000No198,971*
5716-9-130.019.50141426281872000No217,897*
5615-11-120.07.300161727261551000No236,105*
5515-10-130.01.90002718282514510000No250,656*
5415-9-14No0.3000281928241341000No262,397*
5314-11-13No0.0000292028241341000No270,497*
5214-10-14No0.00002920282412410000.0%274,027*
5114-9-15NoNo000292028241241000.0274,351*
5013-11-14NoNo000292028241241000.1269,743*
4913-10-15NoNo000292128231231000.6261,143*
4812-12-14NoNo000310222923113003.3249,651*
4712-11-15NoNo0001311232921920011.3234,404*
4612-10-16NoNo000141326291971026.8217,154*
4511-12-15NoNo00016172828154047.9196,206*
4411-11-16NoNo0002822322510168.1175,693*
4311-10-17NoNo000313283319483.6154,358*
4210-12-16NoNo0016213529892.6133,601*
4110-11-17NoNo00031231381697.2113,633*
4010-10-18NoNo001624422699.095,656*
399-12-17NoNo00317423799.778,361*
389-11-18NoNo00110394999.963,367*
379-10-19NoNo0063361100.050,923*
368-12-18NoNo0032770100.039,437*
358-11-19NoNo0022078100.030,261*
348-10-20NoNo011584Yes22,877*
337-12-19NoNo001089Yes16,686*
327-11-20NoNo00793Yes12,234*
317-10-21NoNo0595Yes8,539*
306-12-20NoNo0397Yes5,884*
296-11-21NoNo298Yes4,106*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes2,575*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes1,685*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,083*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes655*
0-24NoNo100Yes1,581*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%5,527,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship