How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Joinville vs Bragantino+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.8-1.6-4.5
-5.5+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Atlético-GO vs Joinville-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Vasco vs ABC-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Paraná vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Luverdense vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Oeste vs Avaí-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Santa Cruz vs Ceará*-0.1+0.2-0.1
ABC vs Paraná*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Icasa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.1-0.2+0.1
Portuguesa vs América-RN-0.1+0.2*-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
América-MG vs Portuguesa*-0.0+0.2-0.1
América-RN vs Icasa-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Vila Nova vs Náutico-0.1+0.2*-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Joinville vs Vila Nova+2.1-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.5+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Joinville vs América-RN+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.5-4.5
-5.5+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.1
ABC vs Ceará-0.1+0.2*-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Icasa vs Avaí*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Luverdense vs América-RN-0.1+0.2*-0.0
ABC vs Bragantino*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Icasa vs América-MG*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Oeste vs Ceará*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO*-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Joinville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
81-114YesYes100No1,701*
8024-8-699.5%Yes1000No619*
7924-7-799.5Yes1000No883*
7823-9-699.5Yes1000No1,443*
7723-8-799.3Yes991No2,033*
7623-7-898.3Yes9820No2,967*
7522-9-797.8Yes9820No4,366*
7422-8-896.3Yes9640No6,231*
7322-7-994.4Yes9450No8,627*
7221-9-892.0Yes9280No11,777*
7121-8-988.4Yes881100No16,046*
7020-10-883.7Yes841510No21,314*
6920-9-977.8Yes782020No27,572*
6820-8-1070.5100.0%7026300No35,902*
6719-10-961.9100.06232600No45,473*
6619-9-1051.499.9513810100No56,746*
6519-8-1140.799.8414215300No69,683*
6418-10-1029.699.3304222510No85,762*
6318-9-1119.598.020392910200No102,534*
6217-11-1011.794.8123334174100No120,832*
6117-10-115.888.06233425102000No139,255*
6017-9-122.576.231429311751000No159,956*
5916-11-110.858.717213025123100No180,624*
5816-10-120.238.3021125302192000No199,815*
5716-9-130.019.501414272818720000No218,484*
5615-11-120.07.400161727261551000No236,224*
5515-10-13No1.800271928251451000No251,085*
5415-9-14No0.300281928241341000No262,726*
5314-11-13No0.00002920282413410000.0%270,385*
5214-10-14No0.000002920282412410000.0273,574*
5114-9-15NoNo0002920282412410000.0273,790*
5013-11-14NoNo000292028241241000.1269,223*
4913-10-15NoNo0000292128231231000.6260,636*
4812-12-14NoNo0003102229231130003.2248,789*
4712-11-15NoNo001311232921920011.1234,741*
4612-10-16NoNo00141326291971026.9216,473*
4511-12-15NoNo00016172928154048.0196,206*
4411-11-16NoNo0002822322510168.2176,321*
4311-10-17NoNo000313283319483.3154,764*
4210-12-16NoNo00016203529992.7134,508*
4110-11-17NoNo0031231371697.1113,951*
4010-10-18NoNo001724422699.195,119*
399-12-17NoNo00317423899.778,437*
389-11-18NoNo00111394999.963,393*
379-10-19NoNo0063360100.050,235*
368-12-18NoNo032770Yes39,471*
358-11-19NoNo022078Yes29,768*
348-10-20NoNo011585Yes22,538*
337-12-19NoNo001090Yes16,493*
327-11-20NoNo00793Yes12,150*
317-10-21NoNo0495Yes8,379*
306-12-20NoNo397Yes5,878*
296-11-21NoNo298Yes3,929*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes2,579*
275-12-21NoNo199Yes1,732*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,031*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes665*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes424*
0-23NoNo100Yes1,218*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%5,527,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship