How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Portuguesa vs América-RN-1.6-0.6+2.1
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.6
-0.9-0.3+1.1
América-RN vs Icasa+2.1-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.6+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Náutico vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Ceará vs Luverdense*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Luverdense vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.1
ABC vs Paraná-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Joinville vs Bragantino-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Atlético-GO vs Joinville-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Oeste*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Vila Nova vs Náutico-0.1+0.2*-0.0
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Vasco vs ABC+0.1-0.2*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Joinville vs América-RN-1.6-0.6+2.1
-4.5-1.6+5.8
+4.7+1.1-5.6
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Luverdense vs América-RN-1.6-0.6+2.1
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Joinville vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Oeste vs Ceará-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Náutico vs América-MG-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Ceará*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Icasa vs Avaí*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.2-0.1
ABC vs Bragantino*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Icasa vs América-MG-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs Avaí-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta-0.1+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the América-RN finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
82-114YesYes100No1,299*
8125-6-799.8%Yes1000No409*
8024-8-699.8Yes1000No616*
7924-7-799.7Yes1000No907*
7823-9-699.3Yes991No1,402*
7723-8-799.1Yes991No2,123*
7623-7-898.9Yes991No2,960*
7522-9-797.4Yes973No4,399*
7422-8-896.4Yes964No6,063*
7322-7-994.4Yes9460No8,601*
7221-9-892.1Yes9280No11,794*
7121-8-988.6Yes891100No15,962*
7020-10-884.2Yes841510No21,360*
6920-9-978.2Yes782020No27,513*
6820-8-1070.6100.0%7126300No35,874*
6719-10-961.1100.061336000No45,977*
6619-9-1051.599.9513810100No57,025*
6519-8-1140.299.8404215200No70,484*
6418-10-1029.899.33042225100No85,170*
6318-9-1119.798.0203929102000No101,873*
6217-11-1011.594.8123334174100No120,732*
6117-10-115.988.162334259200No139,542*
6017-9-122.476.22142930176100No159,289*
5916-11-110.858.717203125123100No180,880*
5816-10-120.238.10211243021920000No200,608*
5716-9-130.019.60141526281872000No218,552*
5615-11-120.07.300161727261551000No236,383*
5515-10-130.01.9000271828251451000No251,473*
5415-9-14No0.30002819282413410000No262,123*
5314-11-13No0.0000282028241341000No269,800*
5214-10-14No0.000029202824124100No273,349*
5114-9-15NoNo0002920282412410000.0%273,152*
5013-11-14NoNo000292028241241000.1269,111*
4913-10-15NoNo000292128231231000.6261,219*
4812-12-14NoNo0003102129231130003.3248,243*
4712-11-15NoNo0001311232921920011.3233,836*
4612-10-16NoNo00141326291971027.0216,828*
4511-12-15NoNo00016172928154047.9195,959*
4411-11-16NoNo0002821322510168.2175,484*
4311-10-17NoNo00313283319483.5155,199*
4210-12-16NoNo0016203529992.7134,500*
4110-11-17NoNo0031231371697.1114,410*
4010-10-18NoNo001624422699.095,571*
399-12-17NoNo00317423899.778,211*
389-11-18NoNo0111394999.963,542*
379-10-19NoNo00063360100.050,531*
368-12-18NoNo0032770100.039,286*
358-11-19NoNo012178Yes30,152*
348-10-20NoNo011585Yes22,704*
337-12-19NoNo001089Yes16,689*
327-11-20NoNo0793Yes12,060*
317-10-21NoNo0595Yes8,482*
306-12-20NoNo0397Yes5,949*
296-11-21NoNo298Yes3,975*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes2,683*
275-12-21NoNo199Yes1,699*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,139*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes691*
0-24NoNo100Yes1,633*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%5,527,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship