How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Luverdense vs Vila Nova+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.8-1.6-4.6
-5.6+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Ceará vs Luverdense-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Náutico vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Oeste vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Portuguesa vs América-RN-0.0+0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ceará-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG*-0.1+0.2-0.1
América-MG vs Portuguesa-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Atlético-GO vs Joinville-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Paraná vs Santa Cruz-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Vasco vs ABC-0.1+0.2*-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Luverdense vs Paraná+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.5-4.6
-5.5+1.0+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Luverdense vs América-RN+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.5+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Náutico vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.1-0.2+0.1
ABC vs Ceará-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova*+0.0+0.1-0.0
Icasa vs Avaí-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Oeste vs Paraná*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.1+0.2*-0.1
ABC vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Icasa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Joinville vs América-RN+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Oeste vs Ceará*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco*-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Luverdense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
85-114YesYes100No822*
8426-6-699.0%Yes991No98*
82-83YesYes100No387*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No361*
8024-8-699.7Yes1000No635*
7924-7-799.5Yes1000No873*
7823-9-699.5Yes991No1,378*
7723-8-799.2Yes991No2,020*
7623-7-898.4Yes982No3,065*
7522-9-797.2Yes973No4,399*
7422-8-896.3Yes9640No6,155*
7322-7-994.7Yes9550No8,510*
7221-9-892.2Yes9280No11,672*
7121-8-988.7Yes891100No15,962*
7020-10-883.9100.0%8415100No20,896*
6920-9-977.8Yes782020No27,721*
6820-8-1070.8Yes712630No35,771*
6719-10-961.8100.06232600No45,461*
6619-9-1051.299.951381010No56,619*
6519-8-1140.599.8414115300No70,219*
6418-10-1029.599.33042225100No85,646*
6318-9-1119.797.920392910200No102,212*
6217-11-1011.494.8113334174100No120,484*
6117-10-115.988.1623342592000No139,776*
6017-9-122.576.331429301761000No158,817*
5916-11-110.859.017213125123100No180,737*
5816-10-120.238.2021125302192000No200,548*
5716-9-130.019.50141527281872000No219,318*
5615-11-120.07.300161727261551000No236,180*
5515-10-130.01.9000271828251451000No250,922*
5415-9-14No0.3000281928241341000No262,357*
5314-11-13No0.0000282028241341000No270,025*
5214-10-14No0.00002920282413410000.0%274,511*
5114-9-15NoNo000292028241241000.0274,168*
5013-11-14NoNo000292028241241000.1269,562*
4913-10-15NoNo000292128231231000.6261,475*
4812-12-14NoNo000310222923113003.1249,688*
4712-11-15NoNo0001311232921920011.3233,482*
4612-10-16NoNo000141326291971026.9215,831*
4511-12-15NoNo00016172928154047.7196,380*
4411-11-16NoNo00002821322510168.2175,243*
4311-10-17NoNo000313283319483.6155,220*
4210-12-16NoNo00016203529992.7133,976*
4110-11-17NoNo0021231381697.3113,981*
4010-10-18NoNo001725422699.095,402*
399-12-17NoNo00317423799.777,891*
389-11-18NoNo00111394999.963,745*
379-10-19NoNo0063360100.050,511*
368-12-18NoNo0032770100.039,320*
358-11-19NoNo0022078100.030,139*
348-10-20NoNo011584Yes22,565*
337-12-19NoNo001089Yes16,454*
327-11-20NoNo0793Yes11,913*
317-10-21NoNo0595Yes8,373*
306-12-20NoNo0397Yes5,907*
296-11-21NoNo298Yes3,992*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes2,659*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes1,696*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,064*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes652*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes441*
0-23NoNo100Yes1,193*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%5,527,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship