América Futebol Clube-MG Title Chances 2014 50/50Season start, title odds unchanged at 5% 0 points 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 5/24 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Série A | 100.0* | Série C | 100.0* | Average seed | | América-MG vs Portuguesa | +2.0-0.6-1.6 | | +5.7-1.6-4.5 | | -5.5+1.1+4.7 | | +1.1-0.3-0.9 | | | Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG | -1.5-0.6+2.0 | | -4.5-1.6+5.7 | | +4.7+1.1-5.5 | | -0.9-0.3+1.1 | | | Icasa vs Vasco | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | | Santa Cruz vs Ceará | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | | Oeste vs Avaí | | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | | ABC vs Paraná | | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | | América-RN vs Icasa | | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | | Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa | | | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | | | | | | | Bragantino vs Boa Esporte | | | | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Vasco vs ABC | | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | | Vila Nova vs Náutico | | | | | *+0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | | Paraná vs Santa Cruz | | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 5/31 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Série A | 100.0* | Série C | 100.0* | Average seed | | Náutico vs América-MG | -1.6-0.6+2.0 | | -4.5-1.5+5.7 | | +4.7+1.1-5.5 | | -0.9-0.3+1.1 | | | Icasa vs América-MG | -1.5-0.6+2.0 | | -4.5-1.6+5.7 | | +4.7+1.1-5.5 | | -0.9-0.3+1.1 | | | Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | | | | | | | | | ABC vs Ceará | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | | *+0.0-0.2+0.1 | | | | | Joinville vs Vila Nova | | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | | Luverdense vs América-RN | | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | | Oeste vs Paraná | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | | Portuguesa vs Vasco | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | | Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa | | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | | Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta | | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | | ABC vs Bragantino | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | | | | | | | Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova | | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | | Joinville vs América-RN | | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | | Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO | | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | *+0.0-0.2+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the América-MG finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | Série | Chance will finish season at seed | Série | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | A | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | C | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 81 | -114 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,662 | * | | 80 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.8 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 617 | * | | 79 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 928 | * | | 78 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 6 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,407 | * | | 77 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.0 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,045 | * | | 76 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 98.4 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,948 | * | | 75 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 97.5 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,288 | * | | 74 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 96.2 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,141 | * | | 73 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 7 | 94.3 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,330 | * | | 72 | | 21 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 92.3 | | Yes | 92 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,721 | * | | 71 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 88.1 | | Yes | 88 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,708 | * | | 70 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 8 | 83.5 | | Yes | 84 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,127 | * | | 69 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 78.0 | | 100.0 | % | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,716 | * | | 68 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 70.0 | | 100.0 | | 70 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35,964 | * | | 67 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 61.3 | | 100.0 | | 61 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 45,178 | * | | 66 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 51.3 | | 99.9 | | 51 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 57,008 | * | | 65 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 40.6 | | 99.8 | | 41 | 42 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 70,579 | * | | 64 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 29.3 | | 99.3 | | 29 | 43 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 85,186 | * | | 63 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 19.6 | | 97.9 | | 20 | 40 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 102,003 | * | | 62 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 10 | 11.6 | | 94.8 | | 12 | 32 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 120,510 | * | | 61 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 5.9 | | 88.1 | | 6 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 139,115 | * | | 60 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 2.6 | | 76.2 | | 3 | 14 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 159,720 | * | | 59 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 11 | 0.8 | | 58.7 | | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 180,479 | * | | 58 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0.2 | | 38.2 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 200,303 | * | | 57 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 19.5 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 219,032 | * | | 56 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 7.2 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 235,717 | * | | 55 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 1.8 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 251,425 | * | | 54 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 0.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 262,189 | * | | 53 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 270,390 | * | | 52 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 273,668 | * | | 51 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 273,688 | * | | 50 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 269,213 | * | | 49 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.6 | | 260,429 | * | | 48 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2 | | 250,280 | * | | 47 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11.2 | | 234,456 | * | | 46 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26.9 | | 215,912 | * | | 45 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 47.7 | | 196,646 | * | | 44 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 68.2 | | 175,630 | * | | 43 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 4 | 83.4 | | 154,323 | * | | 42 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 35 | 29 | 9 | 92.7 | | 134,793 | * | | 41 | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 37 | 16 | 97.2 | | 114,097 | * | | 40 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 42 | 26 | 99.1 | | 95,605 | * | | 39 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 37 | 99.7 | | 78,276 | * | | 38 | | 9 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 49 | 99.9 | | 63,603 | * | | 37 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 60 | 100.0 | | 50,606 | * | | 36 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 70 | 100.0 | | 39,528 | * | | 35 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 100.0 | | 30,158 | * | | 34 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | Yes | 22,478 | * | | 33 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | Yes | 16,749 | * | | 32 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 12,067 | * | | 31 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 8,367 | * | | 30 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 5,766 | * | | 29 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 3,878 | * | | 28 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 2,739 | * | | 27 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,740 | * | | 26 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,063 | * | | 25 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 648 | * | | 0 | -24 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 1,638 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.0 | % | 20.0 | % | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20.0 | % | 5,527,480 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |