How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Oeste+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.6-4.6
-5.6+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.5+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.6
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Vasco vs ABC*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Ceará vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ceará*-0.0+0.2-0.1
ABC vs Paraná*-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Icasa vs Vasco-0.1+0.2*-0.0
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Joinville vs Bragantino*-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.2+0.1
Náutico vs Atlético-GO-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Portuguesa vs América-RN-0.1+0.2*-0.0
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
América-MG vs Portuguesa*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Atlético-GO vs Joinville-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Paraná vs Santa Cruz-0.1+0.2*-0.0
América-RN vs Icasa-0.1+0.2*-0.1
*+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.6-1.5+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Náutico vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Icasa vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Oeste vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.1+0.2-0.1
ABC vs Ceará*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Joinville vs Vila Nova*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Luverdense vs América-RN-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Portuguesa vs Vasco*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO+0.1-0.2*+0.0
ABC vs Bragantino*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova*-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.2+0.1
Icasa vs América-MG-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Joinville vs América-RN*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Náutico vs Avaí-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO*-0.1+0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
82-114YesYes100No1,314*
8125-6-799.8%Yes1000No401*
8024-8-699.5Yes1000No623*
7924-7-799.7Yes1000No931*
7823-9-699.5Yes991No1,386*
7723-8-799.0Yes991No2,082*
7623-7-897.9Yes982No3,012*
7522-9-797.5Yes982No4,342*
7422-8-895.8Yes9640No6,169*
7322-7-994.9Yes9550No8,746*
7221-9-892.2Yes9280No11,822*
7121-8-988.8Yes891100No15,746*
7020-10-883.7Yes841510No21,354*
6920-9-977.8Yes782020No27,750*
6820-8-1070.3100.0%7026300No35,513*
6719-10-961.6100.06232600No45,532*
6619-9-1051.299.95138101000No57,272*
6519-8-1140.299.8404215200No70,164*
6418-10-1029.399.22942225100No85,339*
6318-9-1119.698.020392910200No101,737*
6217-11-1011.794.7123334175100No120,359*
6117-10-115.888.2623342592000No139,970*
6017-9-122.576.32142930176100No160,000*
5916-11-110.858.7172131251231000No180,753*
5816-10-120.238.1021124302192000No200,222*
5716-9-130.019.60141527281872000No218,240*
5615-11-120.07.300161727261551000No235,867*
5515-10-13No1.900271828251451000No251,415*
5415-9-14No0.3000281928241341000No261,357*
5314-11-13No0.0000282028241341000No269,874*
5214-10-14No0.000029202824134100No274,237*
5114-9-15NoNo000292028241241000.0%274,736*
5013-11-14NoNo0002920282412410000.1268,909*
4913-10-15NoNo0000392128231231000.6261,293*
4812-12-14NoNo0003102229231130003.2249,052*
4712-11-15NoNo0001311232921920011.3233,649*
4612-10-16NoNo00141326291971026.9216,745*
4511-12-15NoNo0016162928154047.9196,288*
4411-11-16NoNo002821322510168.5175,434*
4311-10-17NoNo000313283319483.5154,888*
4210-12-16NoNo0016203529992.7134,797*
4110-11-17NoNo0031231381697.2114,539*
4010-10-18NoNo001724422699.094,737*
399-12-17NoNo00317433799.777,998*
389-11-18NoNo00111394999.963,687*
379-10-19NoNo00063360100.050,711*
368-12-18NoNo0032770100.039,156*
358-11-19NoNo022078Yes29,963*
348-10-20NoNo011485Yes22,523*
337-12-19NoNo01089Yes16,609*
327-11-20NoNo00793Yes12,060*
317-10-21NoNo0495Yes8,560*
306-12-20NoNo0397Yes5,823*
296-11-21NoNo0298Yes4,112*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes2,627*
275-12-21NoNo199Yes1,716*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,080*
255-10-23NoNo100Yes661*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes393*
0-23NoNo100Yes1,205*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%5,527,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship