Santa Cruz Futebol Clube Title Chances 2014 50/50Season start, title odds unchanged at 5% 0 points 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/24 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Série A | 100.0* | Série C | 100.0* | Average seed | Santa Cruz vs Ceará | +2.0-0.6-1.6 | | +5.7-1.6-4.6 | | -5.5+1.0+4.7 | | +1.1-0.3-0.9 | | Paraná vs Santa Cruz | -1.6-0.6+2.0 | | -4.5-1.6+5.7 | | +4.7+1.1-5.5 | | -0.9-0.3+1.1 | | Luverdense vs Vila Nova | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | América-MG vs Portuguesa | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | | | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta | -0.0+0.1*+0.0 | | -0.1+0.2*-0.1 | | | | | | ABC vs Paraná | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.1 | | | | | | Icasa vs Vasco | | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Joinville vs Bragantino | | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Náutico vs Atlético-GO | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.1 | | *+0.0-0.2+0.1 | | | | Portuguesa vs América-RN | | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG | | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | América-RN vs Icasa | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.1 | | | | | | Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.1 | | *+0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | Ceará vs Luverdense | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | Vila Nova vs Náutico | | | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/31 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Série A | 100.0* | Série C | 100.0* | Average seed | Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO | +2.1-0.6-1.6 | | +5.7-1.6-4.5 | | -5.5+1.1+4.7 | | +1.1-0.3-0.9 | | Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta | +2.0-0.6-1.6 | | +5.7-1.5-4.5 | | -5.5+1.0+4.7 | | +1.1-0.3-0.9 | | Náutico vs América-MG | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Oeste vs Paraná | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Luverdense vs Paraná | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | | | | | | | | Luverdense vs América-RN | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | | | | *-0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | | | | | | | | ABC vs Ceará | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | | | | | | Joinville vs Vila Nova | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.1 | | | | | | Portuguesa vs Vasco | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.1 | | | | | | ABC vs Bragantino | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.1 | | | | | | Icasa vs América-MG | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.1 | | | | | | Náutico vs Avaí | | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco | | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Santa Cruz finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | Série | Chance will finish season at seed | Série | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | A | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | C | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 85 | -114 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 810 | * | 84 | | 26 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 98.8 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 84 | * | 83 | | 25 | - | 8 | - | 5 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 148 | * | 82 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 255 | * | 81 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 374 | * | 80 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 607 | * | 79 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 941 | * | 78 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 6 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,350 | * | 77 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 98.9 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,106 | * | 76 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 98.4 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,969 | * | 75 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 97.7 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,292 | * | 74 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 96.4 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,062 | * | 73 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 94.5 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,701 | * | 72 | | 21 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 91.6 | | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,795 | * | 71 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 88.5 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,919 | * | 70 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 8 | 84.1 | | Yes | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,192 | * | 69 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 77.9 | | Yes | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,205 | * | 68 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 70.7 | | 100.0 | % | 71 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35,931 | * | 67 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 61.8 | | 100.0 | | 62 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 45,426 | * | 66 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 51.4 | | 99.9 | | 51 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 56,990 | * | 65 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 40.3 | | 99.8 | | 40 | 41 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 70,472 | * | 64 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 29.7 | | 99.3 | | 30 | 42 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 85,440 | * | 63 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 19.8 | | 98.0 | | 20 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 101,881 | * | 62 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 10 | 11.7 | | 94.7 | | 12 | 32 | 34 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 119,982 | * | 61 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 5.9 | | 88.1 | | 6 | 24 | 34 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 139,639 | * | 60 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 2.5 | | 76.4 | | 2 | 14 | 30 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 160,314 | * | 59 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 11 | 0.8 | | 58.6 | | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 180,593 | * | 58 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0.2 | | 38.2 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 200,661 | * | 57 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 19.5 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 218,287 | * | 56 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 7.3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 235,837 | * | 55 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 1.9 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 250,677 | * | 54 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 0.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 260,955 | * | 53 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 270,268 | * | 52 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 274,461 | * | 51 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 274,056 | * | 50 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 269,093 | * | 49 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.6 | | 261,285 | * | 48 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.3 | | 249,476 | * | 47 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11.3 | | 232,964 | * | 46 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26.8 | | 217,265 | * | 45 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 47.7 | | 196,521 | * | 44 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 68.3 | | 176,021 | * | 43 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 4 | 83.5 | | 154,526 | * | 42 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 35 | 29 | 9 | 92.6 | | 134,346 | * | 41 | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 37 | 16 | 97.2 | | 114,167 | * | 40 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 42 | 26 | 99.1 | | 95,231 | * | 39 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 37 | 99.7 | | 78,621 | * | 38 | | 9 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 49 | 99.9 | | 63,216 | * | 37 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 60 | 100.0 | | 50,569 | * | 36 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 70 | 100.0 | | 39,186 | * | 35 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | Yes | 30,165 | * | 34 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | Yes | 22,375 | * | 33 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | Yes | 16,747 | * | 32 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 12,125 | * | 31 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 8,483 | * | 30 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 5,888 | * | 29 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 3,907 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 2,611 | * | 27 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 1,684 | * | 26 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,049 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 684 | * | 0 | -24 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 1,595 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.0 | % | 20.0 | % | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20.0 | % | 5,527,480 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |