SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

You could

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Paraná vs Santa Cruz+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.5+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
ABC vs Paraná-1.5-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Luverdense vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Ceará vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1*-0.0
*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Náutico vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Joinville vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Portuguesa vs América-RN-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ceará*-0.0+0.2-0.1
América-MG vs Portuguesa*-0.0+0.2-0.1
América-RN vs Icasa*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Atlético-GO vs Joinville-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.1+0.2-0.1
Vasco vs ABC*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Vila Nova vs Náutico-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Icasa vs Vasco-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG-0.1+0.2*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Oeste vs Paraná-1.6-0.6+2.1
-4.5-1.6+5.8
+4.7+1.1-5.6
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Luverdense vs Paraná-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.8
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Náutico vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.1
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta*+0.0+0.1-0.0
ABC vs Ceará*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Icasa vs Avaí*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Joinville vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Vasco*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta*-0.1+0.2-0.1
ABC vs Bragantino*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Icasa vs América-MG*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO-0.1+0.2*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Paraná finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
80-114YesYes100No2,353*
7924-7-799.4%Yes991No877*
7823-9-699.4Yes991No1,447*
7723-8-799.0Yes991No2,031*
7623-7-898.4Yes982No3,095*
7522-9-797.8Yes9820No4,245*
7422-8-896.2Yes9640No6,231*
7322-7-994.5Yes9450No8,570*
7221-9-892.2Yes9280No12,011*
7121-8-988.4Yes881100No15,932*
7020-10-883.8100.0%8415100No21,290*
6920-9-978.0100.07820200No27,817*
6820-8-1069.9100.07027300No35,863*
6719-10-961.4100.06132600No45,369*
6619-9-1051.499.9513710100No57,243*
6519-8-1140.399.8404215300No70,320*
6418-10-1029.799.33043225100No85,918*
6318-9-1119.898.020402910200No102,084*
6217-11-1011.794.7123333175100No121,083*
6117-10-115.988.3623342592000No139,770*
6017-9-122.576.33142930175100No160,013*
5916-11-110.858.8172031251231000No180,442*
5816-10-120.238.1021124302192000No200,604*
5716-9-130.019.50141527281872000No219,212*
5615-11-120.07.2001617272615510000No235,942*
5515-10-13No1.900271928251451000No251,285*
5415-9-14No0.3000281928241341000No262,176*
5314-11-13No0.0000292028241341000No270,565*
5214-10-14No0.00002920282412410000.0%274,405*
5114-9-15NoNo0002920282412410000.0274,198*
5013-11-14NoNo000292028241241000.1269,810*
4913-10-15NoNo000292128231231000.6259,387*
4812-12-14NoNo0003102229231130003.2247,898*
4712-11-15NoNo001311232921920011.2233,822*
4612-10-16NoNo000141326291971026.9215,227*
4511-12-15NoNo00016172928154047.9196,179*
4411-11-16NoNo0002822322510168.1175,142*
4311-10-17NoNo000313283319483.6154,397*
4210-12-16NoNo0016203529992.8134,435*
4110-11-17NoNo0031231371697.2114,157*
4010-10-18NoNo001624422699.195,656*
399-12-17NoNo00317423799.778,200*
389-11-18NoNo00111394999.963,479*
379-10-19NoNo0063360100.050,214*
368-12-18NoNo0032770100.039,473*
358-11-19NoNo022078Yes29,982*
348-10-20NoNo011585Yes22,488*
337-12-19NoNo001089Yes16,881*
327-11-20NoNo0793Yes12,073*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes8,592*
306-12-20NoNo0397Yes5,797*
296-11-21NoNo0298Yes3,934*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes2,695*
275-12-21NoNo199Yes1,738*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,124*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes642*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes423*
0-23NoNo100Yes1,244*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%5,527,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2015-2-17 6:15 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)