How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Santa Cruz vs Ceará-1.6-0.6+2.1
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Ceará vs Luverdense+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.5+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Paraná vs Santa Cruz*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Náutico vs Atlético-GO-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Luverdense vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.1
América-MG vs Portuguesa*+0.0+0.1-0.0
Joinville vs Bragantino*-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.2+0.1
Portuguesa vs América-RN*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Atlético-GO vs Joinville*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.1+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
ABC vs Ceará-1.5-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Oeste vs Ceará-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Luverdense vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Icasa vs Avaí-0.1+0.2*-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Luverdense vs América-RN-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Oeste vs Paraná*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Náutico vs Avaí-0.1+0.2*-0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ceará finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
83-114YesYes100No1,057*
8225-7-699.2%Yes991No256*
8125-6-7YesYes100No347*
8024-8-699.7Yes1000No589*
7924-7-799.7Yes1000No903*
7823-9-699.1Yes991No1,377*
7723-8-798.9Yes991No2,113*
7623-7-898.4Yes982No3,006*
7522-9-797.5Yes9820No4,336*
7422-8-896.2Yes9640No6,251*
7322-7-994.2Yes9460No8,510*
7221-9-892.0Yes9280No11,777*
7121-8-988.5Yes891100No15,875*
7020-10-884.1Yes841510No21,318*
6920-9-978.4Yes782020No27,863*
6820-8-1070.4100.0%7026300No35,868*
6719-10-961.7100.062326000No45,748*
6619-9-1051.199.9513810100No56,965*
6519-8-1140.499.8404115300No70,444*
6418-10-1029.699.33042225100No85,288*
6318-9-1119.697.920392910200No101,921*
6217-11-1011.694.8123334174100No120,674*
6117-10-115.988.162334251020000No139,926*
6017-9-122.476.42143030175100No159,333*
5916-11-110.858.7172031251231000No180,253*
5816-10-120.238.1021124302192000No199,893*
5716-9-130.019.60141526281872000No218,769*
5615-11-120.07.400161727261551000No236,156*
5515-10-130.01.9000271828251451000No251,574*
5415-9-14No0.3000281928241341000No262,116*
5314-11-13No0.0000282028241341000No271,126*
5214-10-14No0.000029202824124100000.0%274,365*
5114-9-15NoNo000292028241241000.0273,551*
5013-11-14NoNo00002920282412410000.1269,738*
4913-10-15NoNo000292128241231000.6260,344*
4812-12-14NoNo00003102229231130003.3249,273*
4712-11-15NoNo001311232921920011.3233,947*
4612-10-16NoNo000141326291971026.9216,698*
4511-12-15NoNo00016162928154047.9196,441*
4411-11-16NoNo0002822312510168.1175,950*
4311-10-17NoNo000313283319483.7154,285*
4210-12-16NoNo0016203529992.7134,216*
4110-11-17NoNo0021231371697.2113,873*
4010-10-18NoNo001724422699.195,324*
399-12-17NoNo00317433799.778,427*
389-11-18NoNo00111394999.962,770*
379-10-19NoNo0063360100.050,258*
368-12-18NoNo0032770100.039,015*
358-11-19NoNo022078Yes30,050*
348-10-20NoNo011584Yes22,483*
337-12-19NoNo001089Yes16,660*
327-11-20NoNo0793Yes12,043*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes8,545*
306-12-20NoNo397Yes5,868*
296-11-21NoNo199Yes4,014*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes2,648*
275-12-21NoNo199Yes1,704*
265-11-22NoNo199Yes1,117*
0-25NoNo100Yes2,241*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%5,527,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship