Ceará Sporting Club Title Chances 2014 50/50Season start, title odds unchanged at 5% 0 points 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/24 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Série A | 100.0* | Série C | 100.0* | Average seed | Santa Cruz vs Ceará | -1.6-0.6+2.1 | | -4.5-1.6+5.7 | | +4.7+1.1-5.5 | | -0.9-0.3+1.1 | | Ceará vs Luverdense | +2.0-0.6-1.6 | | +5.7-1.6-4.5 | | -5.5+1.1+4.7 | | +1.1-0.3-0.9 | | Paraná vs Santa Cruz | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Náutico vs Atlético-GO | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2*-0.1 | | | | | | Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Luverdense vs Vila Nova | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2*-0.1 | | | | | | América-MG vs Portuguesa | *+0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | | | Joinville vs Bragantino | | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | *+0.0-0.2+0.1 | | | | Portuguesa vs América-RN | | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Atlético-GO vs Joinville | | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa | | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Bragantino vs Boa Esporte | | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Ponte Preta vs Oeste | | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/31 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Série A | 100.0* | Série C | 100.0* | Average seed | ABC vs Ceará | -1.5-0.6+2.0 | | -4.5-1.6+5.7 | | +4.7+1.1-5.5 | | -0.9-0.3+1.1 | | Oeste vs Ceará | -1.6-0.6+2.0 | | -4.5-1.6+5.7 | | +4.7+1.1-5.5 | | -0.9-0.3+1.1 | | Luverdense vs Paraná | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2*-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | Icasa vs Avaí | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | Luverdense vs América-RN | | | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | Oeste vs Paraná | | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa | | | *-0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Náutico vs Avaí | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.1 | | | | | | Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | | | | | | Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta | | | | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Ceará finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | Série | Chance will finish season at seed | Série | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | A | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | C | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 83 | -114 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,057 | * | 82 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.2 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 256 | * | 81 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 7 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 347 | * | 80 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 589 | * | 79 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 903 | * | 78 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 6 | 99.1 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,377 | * | 77 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 98.9 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,113 | * | 76 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 98.4 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,006 | * | 75 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 97.5 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,336 | * | 74 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 96.2 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,251 | * | 73 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 94.2 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,510 | * | 72 | | 21 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 92.0 | | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,777 | * | 71 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 88.5 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,875 | * | 70 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 8 | 84.1 | | Yes | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,318 | * | 69 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 78.4 | | Yes | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,863 | * | 68 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 70.4 | | 100.0 | % | 70 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35,868 | * | 67 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 61.7 | | 100.0 | | 62 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 45,748 | * | 66 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 51.1 | | 99.9 | | 51 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 56,965 | * | 65 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 40.4 | | 99.8 | | 40 | 41 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 70,444 | * | 64 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 29.6 | | 99.3 | | 30 | 42 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 85,288 | * | 63 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 19.6 | | 97.9 | | 20 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 101,921 | * | 62 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 10 | 11.6 | | 94.8 | | 12 | 33 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 120,674 | * | 61 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 5.9 | | 88.1 | | 6 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 139,926 | * | 60 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 2.4 | | 76.4 | | 2 | 14 | 30 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 159,333 | * | 59 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 11 | 0.8 | | 58.7 | | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 180,253 | * | 58 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0.2 | | 38.1 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 199,893 | * | 57 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 19.6 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 218,769 | * | 56 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 7.4 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 236,156 | * | 55 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 1.9 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 251,574 | * | 54 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 0.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 262,116 | * | 53 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 271,126 | * | 52 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 274,365 | * | 51 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 273,551 | * | 50 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 269,738 | * | 49 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.6 | | 260,344 | * | 48 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.3 | | 249,273 | * | 47 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11.3 | | 233,947 | * | 46 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26.9 | | 216,698 | * | 45 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 47.9 | | 196,441 | * | 44 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 68.1 | | 175,950 | * | 43 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 4 | 83.7 | | 154,285 | * | 42 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 35 | 29 | 9 | 92.7 | | 134,216 | * | 41 | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 37 | 16 | 97.2 | | 113,873 | * | 40 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 42 | 26 | 99.1 | | 95,324 | * | 39 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 43 | 37 | 99.7 | | 78,427 | * | 38 | | 9 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 49 | 99.9 | | 62,770 | * | 37 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 60 | 100.0 | | 50,258 | * | 36 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 70 | 100.0 | | 39,015 | * | 35 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | Yes | 30,050 | * | 34 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | Yes | 22,483 | * | 33 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | Yes | 16,660 | * | 32 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 12,043 | * | 31 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 8,545 | * | 30 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | 5,868 | * | 29 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 4,014 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 2,648 | * | 27 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 1,704 | * | 26 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 1,117 | * | 0 | -25 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 2,241 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.0 | % | 20.0 | % | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20.0 | % | 5,527,480 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |