SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Gracias

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFACL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea vs Swansea City+1.5-1.0-2.0
+4.5-2.7-6.0
-3.8+1.9+5.7
+0.9-0.5-1.3
Newcastle United vs Southampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Stoke City vs Liverpool-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
West Brom vs Manchester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Everton vs Watford-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Arsenal vs West Ham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Norwich City vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Leicester City vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFACL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City vs Chelsea-1.3-0.1+2.9
-3.6*+0.0+7.7
+2.9-0.5-5.6
-0.7+0.1+1.5
West Ham vs Leicester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Southampton vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Liverpool vs Bournemouth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Swansea City vs Newcastle United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Sunderland vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Aston Villa vs Manchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Stoke City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Watford vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chelsea finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFACL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
86-114YesYes100No76,615*
8526-7-5100.0%Yes1000No2,004*
8426-6-6YesYes100No3,545*
8325-8-5100.0Yes1000No6,229*
8225-7-699.9Yes1000No10,942*
8124-9-599.9Yes1000No17,963*
8024-8-699.9Yes1000No29,947*
7924-7-799.8Yes1000No48,563*
7823-9-699.7Yes1000No76,433*
7723-8-799.5Yes1000No119,889*
7623-7-899.2Yes9910No184,536*
7522-9-798.8Yes9910No277,966*
7422-8-898.0Yes9820No411,525*
7321-10-796.9Yes97300No596,482*
7221-9-895.3Yes95500No852,854*
7121-8-992.9Yes93700No1,198,364*
7020-10-889.6Yes901000No1,655,100*
6920-9-985.1100.0%8514100No2,245,975*
6820-8-1079.1100.07919200No2,998,691*
6719-10-971.5100.072253000No3,938,855*
6619-9-1062.3100.062326000No5,081,636*
6518-11-951.699.95238101000No6,445,747*
6418-10-1040.199.84042153000No8,038,453*
6318-9-1128.799.229422361000No9,879,687*
6217-11-1018.497.61839301120000No11,914,833*
6117-10-1110.393.710313418510000No14,146,948*
6017-9-124.985.552133261130000No16,511,102*
5916-11-111.871.3211273120720000No18,976,227*
5816-10-120.551.31517292815510000No21,430,744*
5715-12-110.129.801820292412410000No23,790,226*
5615-11-120.012.90021022292210310000No25,984,888*
5515-10-130.03.80003112328219300000No27,893,252*
5414-12-120.00.700014122328209300000No29,462,641*
5314-11-13No0.100014122328209300000No30,592,553*
5214-10-14No0.000001412232821103000000.0%31,222,075*
5113-12-13No0.000001311222821103000000.031,328,689*
5013-11-14NoNo000131122282210310000.030,899,951*
4913-10-15NoNo0000131022282211300000.029,945,455*
4812-12-14NoNo000013112228221030000.428,523,004*
4712-11-15NoNo0000131123292192002.326,690,354*
4612-10-16NoNo000014132529207108.524,535,968*
4511-12-15NoNo000015162829165021.322,153,079*
4411-11-16NoNo000002720312711239.819,653,205*
4311-10-17NoNo0000311263421559.617,095,896*
4210-12-16NoNo000151834311176.314,614,711*
4110-11-17NoNo00021029391987.812,260,351*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433094.410,091,864*
399-12-17NoNo000214414397.78,144,546*
389-11-18NoNo0018365599.16,443,038*
378-13-17NoNo0004306699.74,996,590*
368-12-18NoNo002237599.93,797,643*
358-11-19NoNo0011782100.02,827,691*
347-13-18NoNo001288100.02,060,783*
337-12-19NoNo00892100.01,471,907*
327-11-20NoNo00595100.01,026,513*
317-10-21NoNo00397100.0699,294*
306-12-20NoNo00298100.0468,161*
296-11-21NoNo0199Yes303,220*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes193,242*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes119,160*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes72,071*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes42,255*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes24,002*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes13,290*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes7,170*
213-12-23NoNo0100Yes3,735*
0-20NoNo100Yes77,832*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%596,708,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Friday, 2023-12-29 4:28 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)