How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFACL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
West Brom vs Manchester City-1.3-0.1+2.9
-3.6*+0.0+7.7
+2.9-0.5-5.6
-0.7+0.1+1.5
Everton vs Watford-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Newcastle United vs Southampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Arsenal vs West Ham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Leicester City vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Chelsea vs Swansea City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Norwich City vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Stoke City vs Liverpool-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFACL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City vs Chelsea+1.5-1.0-2.0
+4.5-2.7-6.0
-3.8+1.9+5.7
+0.9-0.5-1.3
Watford vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Stoke City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Aston Villa vs Manchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
West Ham vs Leicester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Swansea City vs Newcastle United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Liverpool vs Bournemouth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Southampton vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Sunderland vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFACL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
87-114YesYes100No75,369*
8626-8-499.9%Yes1000No1,162*
8526-7-5YesYes100No2,023*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No3,668*
8325-8-5100.0Yes1000No6,277*
8225-7-699.9Yes1000No10,823*
8124-9-599.9Yes1000No18,192*
8024-8-699.9Yes1000No30,041*
7924-7-799.8Yes1000No48,586*
7823-9-699.7Yes1000No77,222*
7723-8-799.5Yes9910No119,596*
7623-7-899.2Yes9910No183,709*
7522-9-798.8Yes9910No277,394*
7422-8-898.0Yes9820No410,061*
7321-10-796.9Yes97300No596,397*
7221-9-895.3Yes95500No851,697*
7121-8-992.9Yes93700No1,198,456*
7020-10-889.7Yes901000No1,655,934*
6920-9-985.2100.0%8514100No2,244,053*
6820-8-1079.1100.07919200No2,999,028*
6719-10-971.5100.072253000No3,936,133*
6619-9-1062.3100.0623260000No5,076,115*
6518-11-951.699.95238101000No6,446,021*
6418-10-1040.199.74042153000No8,044,158*
6318-9-1128.799.229422361000No9,875,716*
6217-11-1018.497.61839301120000No11,914,814*
6117-10-1110.393.710313418510000No14,152,790*
6017-9-124.985.5521332611300000No16,519,565*
5916-11-111.871.3211273120720000No18,971,299*
5816-10-120.551.315172928155100000No21,429,313*
5715-12-110.129.801820292412410000No23,790,660*
5615-11-120.012.900210222922103100000No25,981,784*
5515-10-130.03.800031123282193000000No27,902,844*
5414-12-120.00.7000141223282093000000No29,471,640*
5314-11-13No0.10001412232820930000000.0%30,585,390*
5214-10-14No0.00001412232821103000000.031,213,274*
5113-12-13No0.000001311222821103000000.031,338,828*
5013-11-14No0.00000131122282210300000.030,899,677*
4913-10-15No0.000000131022282211300000.029,944,625*
4812-12-14NoNo000013112228221030000.428,520,956*
4712-11-15NoNo0000131123292192002.326,693,631*
4612-10-16NoNo000014132529207108.524,537,351*
4511-12-15NoNo000015162829165021.322,158,466*
4411-11-16NoNo00002720312711239.719,651,515*
4311-10-17NoNo0000311263421559.617,103,749*
4210-12-16NoNo000151834311176.314,617,990*
4110-11-17NoNo000021029391987.812,255,224*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433094.410,084,910*
399-12-17NoNo000214414397.78,143,612*
389-11-18NoNo0018365599.16,443,065*
378-13-17NoNo0004306699.74,997,490*
368-12-18NoNo002237599.93,793,139*
358-11-19NoNo00011782100.02,827,735*
347-13-18NoNo0001188100.02,058,822*
337-12-19NoNo00892100.01,467,161*
327-11-20NoNo00595100.01,025,892*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes700,952*
306-12-20NoNo0298Yes465,646*
296-11-21NoNo0199Yes303,919*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes192,725*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes118,970*
265-11-22NoNo00100Yes72,337*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes42,410*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes23,948*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes13,522*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes7,148*
0-21NoNo100Yes81,541*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%596,708,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship