Manchester City Title Chances 20152016Season start, title odds unchanged at 5% 0 points 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 8/8 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFACL | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | Average seed | West Brom vs Manchester City | -1.3-0.1+2.9 | | -3.6*+0.0+7.7 | | +2.9-0.5-5.6 | | -0.7+0.1+1.5 | | Everton vs Watford | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Newcastle United vs Southampton | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Arsenal vs West Ham | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Leicester City vs Sunderland | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Chelsea vs Swansea City | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Norwich City vs Crystal Palace | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Stoke City vs Liverpool | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Bournemouth vs Aston Villa | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 8/15 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFACL | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | Average seed | Manchester City vs Chelsea | +1.5-1.0-2.0 | | +4.5-2.7-6.0 | | -3.8+1.9+5.7 | | +0.9-0.5-1.3 | | Watford vs West Brom | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Tottenham Hotspur vs Stoke City | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Aston Villa vs Manchester United | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | West Ham vs Leicester City | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Crystal Palace vs Arsenal | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Swansea City vs Newcastle United | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Liverpool vs Bournemouth | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Southampton vs Everton | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Sunderland vs Norwich City | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Manchester City finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFACL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Championship | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 87 | -114 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 75,369 | * | 86 | | 26 | - | 8 | - | 4 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,162 | * | 85 | | 26 | - | 7 | - | 5 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,023 | * | 84 | | 26 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,668 | * | 83 | | 25 | - | 8 | - | 5 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,277 | * | 82 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,823 | * | 81 | | 24 | - | 9 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,192 | * | 80 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,041 | * | 79 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 48,586 | * | 78 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 6 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 77,222 | * | 77 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 119,596 | * | 76 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 183,709 | * | 75 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 98.8 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 277,394 | * | 74 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 98.0 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 410,061 | * | 73 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 7 | 96.9 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 596,397 | * | 72 | | 21 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 95.3 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 851,697 | * | 71 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 92.9 | | Yes | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,198,456 | * | 70 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 8 | 89.7 | | Yes | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,655,934 | * | 69 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 85.2 | | 100.0 | % | 85 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,244,053 | * | 68 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 79.1 | | 100.0 | | 79 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,999,028 | * | 67 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 71.5 | | 100.0 | | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,936,133 | * | 66 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 62.3 | | 100.0 | | 62 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,076,115 | * | 65 | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 9 | 51.6 | | 99.9 | | 52 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,446,021 | * | 64 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 40.1 | | 99.7 | | 40 | 42 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,044,158 | * | 63 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 28.7 | | 99.2 | | 29 | 42 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,875,716 | * | 62 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 10 | 18.4 | | 97.6 | | 18 | 39 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,914,814 | * | 61 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 10.3 | | 93.7 | | 10 | 31 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,152,790 | * | 60 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 4.9 | | 85.5 | | 5 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 16,519,565 | * | 59 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 11 | 1.8 | | 71.3 | | 2 | 11 | 27 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,971,299 | * | 58 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0.5 | | 51.3 | | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 21,429,313 | * | 57 | | 15 | - | 12 | - | 11 | 0.1 | | 29.8 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 23,790,660 | * | 56 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 12.9 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 25,981,784 | * | 55 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 3.8 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 27,902,844 | * | 54 | | 14 | - | 12 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 0.7 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 29,471,640 | * | 53 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 13 | No | 0.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 30,585,390 | * | 52 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 31,213,274 | * | 51 | | 13 | - | 12 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 31,338,828 | * | 50 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 30,899,677 | * | 49 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 29,944,625 | * | 48 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | | 28,520,956 | * | 47 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 | | 26,693,631 | * | 46 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8.5 | | 24,537,351 | * | 45 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 21.3 | | 22,158,466 | * | 44 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 39.7 | | 19,651,515 | * | 43 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 59.6 | | 17,103,749 | * | 42 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 34 | 31 | 11 | 76.3 | | 14,617,990 | * | 41 | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 19 | 87.8 | | 12,255,224 | * | 40 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 43 | 30 | 94.4 | | 10,084,910 | * | 39 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 43 | 97.7 | | 8,143,612 | * | 38 | | 9 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 55 | 99.1 | | 6,443,065 | * | 37 | | 8 | - | 13 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 66 | 99.7 | | 4,997,490 | * | 36 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | 99.9 | | 3,793,139 | * | 35 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 100.0 | | 2,827,735 | * | 34 | | 7 | - | 13 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 88 | 100.0 | | 2,058,822 | * | 33 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 100.0 | | 1,467,161 | * | 32 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 95 | 100.0 | | 1,025,892 | * | 31 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 700,952 | * | 30 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 465,646 | * | 29 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 303,919 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 192,725 | * | 27 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 118,970 | * | 26 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 100 | Yes | 72,337 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 42,410 | * | 24 | | 4 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 23,948 | * | 23 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 13,522 | * | 22 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 7,148 | * | 0 | -21 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 81,541 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.0 | % | 20.0 | % | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15.0 | % | 596,708,160 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |