West Ham United Title Chances 20152016

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/8	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFACL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Arsenal vs West Ham	-1.3-0.1+2.9		-3.6+0.0+7.7		+2.9-0.5-5.6		-0.7+0.1+1.5
Chelsea vs Swansea City	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.2-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Everton vs Watford	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.2-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Norwich City vs Crystal Palace	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Leicester City vs Sunderland	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Newcastle United vs Southampton	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Stoke City vs Liverpool	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0
West Brom vs Manchester City	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/15	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFACL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
West Ham vs Leicester City	+1.5-1.0-2.0		+4.5-2.7-6.0		-3.8+1.9+5.7		+0.9-0.5-1.3
Aston Villa vs Manchester United	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Sunderland vs Norwich City	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.2-0.1		+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Liverpool vs Bournemouth	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.2-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Swansea City vs Newcastle United	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester City vs Chelsea	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.2-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Watford vs West Brom	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.2-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Stoke City	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Southampton vs Everton	-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.0-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the West Ham finish out the regular season. Explain

100

If finish:

Chance

Chance will finish season at seed

wins title

UEFACL

Championship

Count

-114

Yes

100

81,999

100.0

Yes

100

6,393

99.9

Yes

100

10,928

99.9

Yes

100

18,054

99.8

Yes

100

29,894

99.8

Yes

100

48,141

99.7

Yes

100

77,164

99.5

Yes

100

120,051

99.2

Yes

185,027

98.8

Yes

277,217

98.0

Yes

410,931

96.9

Yes

596,990

95.3

Yes

853,273

92.9

Yes

1,197,155

89.6

100.0

1,655,853

85.2

100.0

2,245,092

79.1

100.0

2,999,773

71.5

100.0

3,933,592

62.2

100.0

5,084,735

51.6

99.9

6,446,311

40.1

99.7

8,041,344

28.6

99.2

9,873,920

18.4

97.6

11,919,484

10.3

93.7

14,150,109

4.9

85.5

16,520,334

1.8

71.3

18,966,226

0.5

51.3

21,426,485

0.1

29.8

23,793,541

0.0

12.9

25,980,761

0.0

3.8

27,906,680

0.0

0.7

29,461,587

0.1

0.0

30,597,267

0.0

31,225,307

0.0

31,328,187

0.0

30,899,586

0.0

29,948,294

0.4

28,519,203

2.3

26,692,629

8.5

24,530,509

21.3

22,155,230

39.7

19,650,120

59.6

17,104,157

76.3

14,619,411

87.8

12,254,981

94.4

10,082,073

97.7

8,138,816

99.1

6,443,538

99.7

4,999,712

99.9

3,797,418

100.0

2,826,339

100.0

2,062,055

100.0

1,468,231

100.0

1,026,071

Yes

699,348

Yes

465,710

Yes

302,639

Yes

192,692

100

Yes

119,089

100

Yes

71,772

100

Yes

42,072

100

Yes

24,661

100

Yes

13,419

-22

100

Yes

10,882

100

Yes

1,849

100

Yes

898

100

Yes

424

-17

100

Yes

74,527

Total:

5.0

20.0

15.0

596,708,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship