How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFACL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal vs West Ham+1.5-1.0-2.0
+4.5-2.7-6.0
-3.8+1.9+5.7
+0.9-0.5-1.3
Chelsea vs Swansea City-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Everton vs Watford-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Newcastle United vs Southampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Stoke City vs Liverpool-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
West Brom vs Manchester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Norwich City vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Leicester City vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFACL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal-1.3-0.1+2.9
-3.6*+0.0+7.7
+2.9-0.5-5.6
-0.7+0.1+1.5
Aston Villa vs Manchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Watford vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester City vs Chelsea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Sunderland vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Stoke City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Swansea City vs Newcastle United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Liverpool vs Bournemouth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
West Ham vs Leicester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Southampton vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFACL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
87-114YesYes100No75,481*
8626-8-499.9%Yes1000No1,047*
8526-7-5YesYes100No1,979*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No3,608*
8325-8-599.9Yes1000No6,343*
8225-7-699.9Yes1000No10,876*
8124-9-599.9Yes1000No17,825*
8024-8-699.9Yes1000No29,951*
7924-7-799.8Yes1000No48,208*
7823-9-699.7Yes1000No76,662*
7723-8-799.5Yes991No119,691*
7623-7-899.2Yes9910No183,764*
7522-9-798.7Yes9910No278,549*
7422-8-898.0Yes9820No411,507*
7321-10-796.9Yes97300No596,823*
7221-9-895.3Yes9550No853,131*
7121-8-993.0Yes93700No1,199,645*
7020-10-889.6Yes901000No1,653,873*
6920-9-985.1100.0%8514100No2,246,514*
6820-8-1079.1100.07919200No2,998,953*
6719-10-971.5100.072253000No3,936,763*
6619-9-1062.2100.062326000No5,080,080*
6518-11-951.699.952381010000No6,447,553*
6418-10-1040.199.84042153000No8,044,774*
6318-9-1128.799.229422361000No9,866,381*
6217-11-1018.497.61839301120000No11,921,472*
6117-10-1110.393.710313418510000No14,150,290*
6017-9-124.985.5521332611300000No16,521,008*
5916-11-111.871.3211273120720000No18,971,119*
5816-10-120.551.31517292715510000No21,423,513*
5715-12-110.129.801820292412410000No23,790,875*
5615-11-120.012.90021022292210310000No25,975,024*
5515-10-130.03.80003112328219300000No27,906,902*
5414-12-120.00.700014122328209300000No29,465,716*
5314-11-13No0.100014122328209300000No30,586,565*
5214-10-14No0.000001412232821103000000.0%31,225,132*
5113-12-13No0.000001311222821103000000.031,335,807*
5013-11-14No0.00000131122282210300000.030,894,222*
4913-10-15NoNo0000131022282211300000.029,945,185*
4812-12-14NoNo000013112228221030000.428,524,040*
4712-11-15NoNo0000131123292192002.326,691,790*
4612-10-16NoNo000014132529207108.524,542,901*
4511-12-15NoNo000015162829165021.322,151,731*
4411-11-16NoNo00002720312711239.719,650,270*
4311-10-17NoNo0000311263421559.617,106,073*
4210-12-16NoNo0000151834311176.314,613,507*
4110-11-17NoNo000021029391987.812,260,902*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433094.410,084,769*
399-12-17NoNo000214414397.78,139,911*
389-11-18NoNo0018365599.16,436,122*
378-13-17NoNo0004306699.74,997,798*
368-12-18NoNo0002237599.93,799,767*
358-11-19NoNo0011782100.02,829,820*
347-13-18NoNo0001188100.02,059,972*
337-12-19NoNo00892100.01,467,559*
327-11-20NoNo00595100.01,025,677*
317-10-21NoNo00397100.0700,089*
306-12-20NoNo0298Yes466,330*
296-11-21NoNo0199Yes303,713*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes192,783*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes119,287*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes71,919*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes42,000*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes24,343*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes13,506*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes7,081*
213-12-23NoNo0100Yes3,916*
0-20NoNo100Yes77,773*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%596,708,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship