How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFACL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Newcastle United vs Southampton+1.5-1.0-2.0
+4.5-2.7-6.0
-3.8+1.9+5.7
+0.9-0.5-1.3
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Leicester City vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Norwich City vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Arsenal vs West Ham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Everton vs Watford-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Stoke City vs Liverpool-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
West Brom vs Manchester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Chelsea vs Swansea City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFACL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Swansea City vs Newcastle United-1.3-0.1+2.9
-3.6+0.0+7.7
+2.9-0.5-5.6
-0.7+0.1+1.5
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester City vs Chelsea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Liverpool vs Bournemouth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Sunderland vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Stoke City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Watford vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Southampton vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Aston Villa vs Manchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
West Ham vs Leicester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Newcastle United finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFACL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
86-114YesYes100No76,533*
8526-7-599.9%Yes1000No1,927*
8426-6-6YesYes100No3,630*
8325-8-599.9Yes1000No6,296*
8225-7-6100.0Yes1000No10,751*
8124-9-599.9Yes1000No18,300*
8024-8-699.9Yes1000No29,761*
7924-7-799.9Yes1000No48,497*
7823-9-699.7Yes1000No76,843*
7723-8-799.5Yes9910No120,302*
7623-7-899.2Yes99100No184,873*
7522-9-798.8Yes9910No276,600*
7422-8-898.1Yes9820No410,700*
7321-10-796.9Yes97300No596,735*
7221-9-895.3Yes95500No853,646*
7121-8-992.9Yes93700No1,200,379*
7020-10-889.6100.0%9010000No1,655,600*
6920-9-985.1100.08514100No2,249,820*
6820-8-1079.1100.07919200No2,999,554*
6719-10-971.5100.072253000No3,936,043*
6619-9-1062.3100.062326000No5,083,473*
6518-11-951.599.95238101000No6,445,264*
6418-10-1040.199.840421530000No8,044,795*
6318-9-1128.699.229422361000No9,871,540*
6217-11-1018.497.618393011200000No11,917,189*
6117-10-1110.493.710313418510000No14,153,762*
6017-9-124.985.5521332611300000No16,521,832*
5916-11-111.871.3211273120720000No18,971,174*
5816-10-120.551.315172928155100000No21,422,562*
5715-12-110.129.801820292412410000No23,795,233*
5615-11-120.012.90021022292210310000No25,993,809*
5515-10-130.03.800031123282193000000No27,894,660*
5414-12-120.00.7000141223282093000000No29,474,541*
5314-11-130.00.1000014122328209300000No30,586,267*
5214-10-14No0.000001412232821103000000.0%31,219,624*
5113-12-13No0.000001311222821103000000.031,329,755*
5013-11-14No0.00000131122282210300000.030,892,800*
4913-10-15NoNo0000131022282211300000.029,940,226*
4812-12-14NoNo000013112228221030000.428,520,796*
4712-11-15NoNo0000131123292192002.326,694,391*
4612-10-16NoNo000014132529207108.524,533,634*
4511-12-15NoNo000015162829165021.322,153,535*
4411-11-16NoNo00002720312711239.819,648,318*
4311-10-17NoNo0000311263421559.617,104,626*
4210-12-16NoNo000151834311176.314,615,175*
4110-11-17NoNo000021029391987.812,258,688*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433094.410,088,726*
399-12-17NoNo000214414397.78,134,265*
389-11-18NoNo00018365599.16,442,611*
378-13-17NoNo0004306699.74,996,645*
368-12-18NoNo002237599.93,798,958*
358-11-19NoNo0011782100.02,827,466*
347-13-18NoNo0001288100.02,061,125*
337-12-19NoNo00892100.01,469,011*
327-11-20NoNo00595100.01,025,002*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes698,556*
306-12-20NoNo0298Yes465,980*
296-11-21NoNo0199Yes302,767*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes192,667*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes119,506*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes72,201*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes42,182*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes24,021*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes13,184*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes7,182*
0-21NoNo100Yes81,646*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%596,708,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship