SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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4 a.m.

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFACL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Leicester City vs Sunderland+1.5-1.0-2.0
+4.5-2.7-6.0
-3.8+1.9+5.7
+0.9-0.5-1.3
Arsenal vs West Ham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
West Brom vs Manchester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Everton vs Watford-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Chelsea vs Swansea City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Stoke City vs Liverpool-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Newcastle United vs Southampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Norwich City vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFACL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
West Ham vs Leicester City-1.3-0.1+2.9
-3.6*+0.0+7.7
+2.9-0.5-5.6
-0.7+0.1+1.5
Southampton vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Sunderland vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Liverpool vs Bournemouth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester City vs Chelsea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Stoke City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Watford vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Aston Villa vs Manchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Swansea City vs Newcastle United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Leicester City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFACL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
86-114YesYes100No76,504*
8526-7-599.9%Yes1000No1,993*
8426-6-6YesYes100No3,594*
8325-8-5100.0Yes1000No6,221*
8225-7-699.9Yes1000No10,773*
8124-9-599.9Yes1000No18,148*
8024-8-699.9Yes1000No29,692*
7924-7-799.8Yes1000No48,338*
7823-9-699.7Yes10000No76,857*
7723-8-799.5Yes1000No121,039*
7623-7-899.2Yes9910No184,145*
7522-9-798.7Yes9910No277,811*
7422-8-898.0Yes9820No409,776*
7321-10-796.9Yes97300No597,662*
7221-9-895.3Yes95500No853,613*
7121-8-992.9Yes93700No1,197,908*
7020-10-889.6Yes901000No1,653,894*
6920-9-985.1100.0%8514100No2,246,574*
6820-8-1079.1100.07919200No2,996,740*
6719-10-971.5100.072253000No3,937,077*
6619-9-1062.2100.062326000No5,083,633*
6518-11-951.699.95238101000No6,443,698*
6418-10-1040.199.840421530000No8,042,956*
6318-9-1128.699.229422361000No9,872,399*
6217-11-1018.497.61839301120000No11,921,815*
6117-10-1110.393.710313418510000No14,152,093*
6017-9-124.985.552133261130000No16,517,430*
5916-11-111.871.3211273120720000No18,963,579*
5816-10-120.551.31517292715510000No21,428,411*
5715-12-110.129.8018202924124100000No23,790,818*
5615-11-120.012.900210222922103100000No25,983,888*
5515-10-130.03.80003112328219300000No27,898,503*
5414-12-120.00.700014122328209300000No29,463,046*
5314-11-13No0.10001412232820930000000.0%30,590,582*
5214-10-14No0.000001412232821103000000.031,221,533*
5113-12-13No0.00001311222821103000000.031,323,462*
5013-11-14No0.00000131122282210300000.030,898,374*
4913-10-15NoNo0000131022282211300000.029,950,958*
4812-12-14NoNo000013112228221030000.428,526,182*
4712-11-15NoNo00000131123292192002.326,690,019*
4612-10-16NoNo000014132529207108.524,541,152*
4511-12-15NoNo000015162829164021.322,161,636*
4411-11-16NoNo000002720312711239.719,649,133*
4311-10-17NoNo0000311263421559.617,099,226*
4210-12-16NoNo0000151834311176.314,620,501*
4110-11-17NoNo00021029391987.812,259,230*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433094.410,086,119*
399-12-17NoNo000214414397.78,146,170*
389-11-18NoNo00018365599.16,442,157*
378-13-17NoNo0004306699.74,992,981*
368-12-18NoNo0002237599.93,797,130*
358-11-19NoNo0011682100.02,823,814*
347-13-18NoNo0001188100.02,061,968*
337-12-19NoNo00892100.01,470,427*
327-11-20NoNo00595100.01,025,894*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes697,794*
306-12-20NoNo0298Yes465,320*
296-11-21NoNo0199Yes303,115*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes193,159*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes118,875*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes71,979*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes42,392*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes24,169*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes13,274*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes7,196*
213-12-23NoNo0100Yes3,811*
0-20NoNo100Yes77,800*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%596,708,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Friday, 2023-12-29 4:28 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)