SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

What might
today bring

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFACL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Norwich City vs Crystal Palace-1.3-0.1+2.9
-3.6*+0.0+7.7
+2.9-0.5-5.6
-0.7+0.1+1.5
Leicester City vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Arsenal vs West Ham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Newcastle United vs Southampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Chelsea vs Swansea City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
West Brom vs Manchester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Everton vs Watford-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Stoke City vs Liverpool-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFACL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal+1.5-1.0-2.0
+4.5-2.7-6.0
-3.8+1.9+5.7
+0.9-0.5-1.3
Southampton vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Stoke City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Sunderland vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Watford vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
West Ham vs Leicester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Swansea City vs Newcastle United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Liverpool vs Bournemouth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Aston Villa vs Manchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester City vs Chelsea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Crystal Palace finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFACL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
84-114YesYes100No82,131*
8325-8-599.9%Yes1000No6,280*
8225-7-699.9Yes1000No10,832*
8124-9-599.9Yes1000No18,091*
8024-8-699.9Yes1000No29,848*
7924-7-799.8Yes1000No48,031*
7823-9-699.7Yes1000No76,653*
7723-8-799.5Yes10000No119,858*
7623-7-899.2Yes9910No184,966*
7522-9-798.7Yes9910No277,137*
7422-8-898.0Yes9820No410,701*
7321-10-796.9Yes9730No597,615*
7221-9-895.3Yes95500No853,393*
7121-8-993.0Yes93700No1,199,257*
7020-10-889.6Yes901000No1,658,092*
6920-9-985.1100.0%8514100No2,248,400*
6820-8-1079.1100.07919200No2,994,991*
6719-10-971.5100.072253000No3,933,751*
6619-9-1062.2100.0623260000No5,078,476*
6518-11-951.699.95238101000No6,449,838*
6418-10-1040.199.840421530000No8,042,296*
6318-9-1128.799.229422361000No9,875,313*
6217-11-1018.497.61839301120000No11,918,729*
6117-10-1110.393.710313418510000No14,152,023*
6017-9-124.985.5521332611300000No16,513,299*
5916-11-111.871.32112731207200000No18,961,099*
5816-10-120.551.31517292815510000No21,426,934*
5715-12-110.129.8018202924124100000No23,794,895*
5615-11-120.012.900210222922103100000No25,985,716*
5515-10-130.03.80003112328219300000No27,898,442*
5414-12-120.00.700014122328209300000No29,471,396*
5314-11-13No0.100014122328209300000No30,585,453*
5214-10-14No0.000001412232821103000000.0%31,220,607*
5113-12-13No0.000001311222821103000000.031,319,035*
5013-11-14No0.00000131122282210300000.030,895,617*
4913-10-15NoNo0000131022282211300000.029,944,552*
4812-12-14NoNo000013112228221030000.428,516,488*
4712-11-15NoNo0000131123292192002.326,688,416*
4612-10-16NoNo000014132529207108.524,552,064*
4511-12-15NoNo000015162829165021.322,165,317*
4411-11-16NoNo0002720312711239.719,644,594*
4311-10-17NoNo00000311263421559.617,104,347*
4210-12-16NoNo000151834311176.314,621,229*
4110-11-17NoNo000021029391987.812,257,630*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433094.410,085,329*
399-12-17NoNo0000214414397.78,145,636*
389-11-18NoNo0018365599.16,441,730*
378-13-17NoNo0004306699.74,995,349*
368-12-18NoNo002237599.93,799,775*
358-11-19NoNo0011682100.02,825,875*
347-13-18NoNo001288100.02,061,530*
337-12-19NoNo00892100.01,470,030*
327-11-20NoNo00595100.01,026,553*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes699,264*
306-12-20NoNo0298Yes467,021*
296-11-21NoNo0199Yes303,196*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes192,888*
275-12-21NoNo00100Yes119,378*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes72,301*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes42,244*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes24,197*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes13,420*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes7,038*
213-12-23NoNo0100Yes3,723*
203-11-24NoNo0100Yes1,911*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes953*
0-18NoNo100Yes74,987*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%596,708,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Friday, 2023-12-29 4:28 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)