SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Gracias

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFACL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa-1.3-0.1+2.9
-3.6*+0.0+7.7
+2.9-0.5-5.6
-0.7+0.1+1.5
Chelsea vs Swansea City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Stoke City vs Liverpool-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
West Brom vs Manchester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Everton vs Watford-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Newcastle United vs Southampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Arsenal vs West Ham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Norwich City vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Leicester City vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFACL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Aston Villa vs Manchester United+1.5-1.0-2.0
+4.5-2.7-6.0
-3.8+1.9+5.7
+0.9-0.5-1.3
Watford vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Sunderland vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
West Ham vs Leicester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester City vs Chelsea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Liverpool vs Bournemouth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Swansea City vs Newcastle United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Stoke City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Southampton vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Aston Villa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFACL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
85-114YesYes100No78,556*
8426-6-6100.0%Yes1000No3,533*
8325-8-599.9Yes1000No6,383*
8225-7-6100.0Yes1000No10,819*
8124-9-599.9Yes1000No18,189*
8024-8-699.9Yes1000No29,932*
7924-7-799.8Yes1000No48,601*
7823-9-699.7Yes1000No77,071*
7723-8-799.5Yes10000No120,320*
7623-7-899.2Yes9910No183,766*
7522-9-798.8Yes9910No277,741*
7422-8-898.0Yes9820No410,399*
7321-10-796.9Yes9730No597,207*
7221-9-895.3Yes95500No852,868*
7121-8-993.0Yes93700No1,198,074*
7020-10-889.6Yes901000No1,656,935*
6920-9-985.1100.0%8514100No2,247,771*
6820-8-1079.1100.07919200No3,001,447*
6719-10-971.5100.072253000No3,938,971*
6619-9-1062.2100.0623260000No5,079,680*
6518-11-951.699.95238101000No6,446,828*
6418-10-1040.099.84042153000No8,052,784*
6318-9-1128.699.229422361000No9,872,478*
6217-11-1018.497.61839301120000No11,920,479*
6117-10-1110.493.71031341851000No14,153,525*
6017-9-124.985.552133261130000No16,521,675*
5916-11-111.871.3212273120720000No18,977,348*
5816-10-120.551.31517292715510000No21,417,569*
5715-12-110.129.801820292412410000No23,799,024*
5615-11-120.012.90021022292210310000No25,978,234*
5515-10-130.03.800031123282193000000No27,902,535*
5414-12-120.00.700014122328209300000No29,466,235*
5314-11-13No0.100014122328209300000No30,589,303*
5214-10-14No0.000001412232821103000000.0%31,219,859*
5113-12-13No0.000001311222821103000000.031,319,196*
5013-11-14No0.00000131122282210300000.030,903,615*
4913-10-15NoNo000013102228221130000.029,949,421*
4812-12-14NoNo000013112228221030000.428,517,098*
4712-11-15NoNo0000131123292192002.326,694,314*
4612-10-16NoNo000014132529207108.524,529,334*
4511-12-15NoNo000015162829165021.322,153,447*
4411-11-16NoNo00002720312711239.819,647,720*
4311-10-17NoNo0000311263421559.617,106,385*
4210-12-16NoNo000151834311176.314,613,849*
4110-11-17NoNo000021029391987.812,255,559*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433094.410,084,456*
399-12-17NoNo0000214414397.78,139,322*
389-11-18NoNo00018365599.16,444,527*
378-13-17NoNo0004306699.74,995,196*
368-12-18NoNo0002237599.93,797,615*
358-11-19NoNo0011782100.02,827,716*
347-13-18NoNo001288100.02,060,590*
337-12-19NoNo00892100.01,469,158*
327-11-20NoNo00595100.01,025,600*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes699,268*
306-12-20NoNo0298Yes464,966*
296-11-21NoNo0199Yes302,690*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes192,177*
275-12-21NoNo00100Yes118,729*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes71,690*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes41,979*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes24,118*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes13,337*
0-22NoNo100Yes88,949*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%596,708,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Friday, 2023-12-29 4:28 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)