Tampa Bay Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.8 to 20.3%
2-2-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 -9.5
-2.0
+0.1
-0.9
Lions 24 Panthers 27 -0.6
+0.1
-0.1
Bears 17 Vikings 20 -0.6
LA Rams 10 Seahawks 16 -0.4
+0.1
-0.0
Eagles 34 Cardinals 7 -0.1
+0.0
Cowboys 31 Packers 35 -0.1
+0.0
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 -0.1
Bengals 20 Bills 16 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Cardinals vs Buccaneers-7.7-3.0+6.1
-0.9-0.6+0.7
+0.2*+0.0-0.1
-1.0-0.2+0.8
Falcons vs Dolphins-0.5*+0.6+1.3
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Panthers vs Eagles-0.7*-0.3+0.7
+0.2*-0.2-0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Redskins vs 49ers-0.3*-0.1+0.7
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Jaguars vs LA Rams+0.3*-0.4-0.6
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Vikings vs Packers-0.2*+0.7+0.3
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Saints vs Lions-0.1*+0.3+0.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Texans vs Browns-0.0*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Buccaneers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inFirstChance will finish regular season at seedFirst
TWW-L-TplayoffsSeed12345678910111213141516PickCount
1412-0-0In98.8%991No667
13.511-0-1In92.99352No56
1311-1-0In89.6901000No5,449
10-0-2InYes100No2
12.510-1-1In76.6772211No611
1210-2-0In58.358325040No36,103
9-1-2In46.9474436No32
11.59-2-1In32.43239141130No3,541
8-1-3InNo100No1
119-3-099.9%16.8173322421300No141,318
8-2-2In10.51140275152No171
10.58-3-199.23.33172511331010No12,405
7-2-3InNo5050No2
108-4-090.80.917181328248100No367,132
7-3-292.6No71813292561No476
9.57-4-168.60.000512173424710No28,620
6-3-383.3No22332817No18
97-5-035.40.0002662130239200No664,978
6-4-235.10.10256213221102No958
8.56-5-17.2No02052034271020No44,749
5-4-35.6No622332811No18
86-6-01.9No00001821312510200No863,956
5-5-21.8No1017223028111No1,306
7.55-6-10.0No0005193629910No49,403
4-5-3OutNo52653115No19
75-7-00.0No000018243624600No808,247
4-6-2OutNo2823362641No1,177
6.54-7-1OutNo0017294020300No38,146
3-6-3OutNo721647No14
64-8-0OutNo003173833910No540,877
3-7-2OutNo0313403391No667
5.53-8-1OutNo0421422750No20,235
2-7-3OutNo2575No4
53-9-0OutNo011339351010.0%254,244
2-8-2OutNo193540140No298
4.52-9-1OutNo0218423170.77,145
42-10-0OutNo0112403792.178,936
1-9-2OutNo310374183.459
3.51-10-1OutNo118503113.01,483
0-9-3OutNo100No1
31-11-0OutNo0115483620.614,603
0-10-2OutNo673350.06
2.50-11-1OutNo1326751.6122
20-12-0OutNo2277161.01,521
Total:20.3%1.4%123356891112131295200.1%3,989,776
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/5100.0*Lottery seed
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 +2.2
Bengals 20 Bills 16 +0.1
Cowboys 31 Packers 35 -0.1
NY Giants 22 LA Chargers 27 +0.1
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 -0.1
LA Rams 10 Seahawks 16 +0.1
Bears 17 Vikings 20 +0.0
Eagles 34 Cardinals 7 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals vs Buccaneers+2.0+0.4-1.6
Broncos vs NY Giants+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Ravens vs Bears+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Redskins vs 49ers+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Texans vs Browns+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Jaguars vs LA Rams-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vikings vs Packers+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Titans vs Colts+0.0*+0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Patriots+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

The Official NFL Page

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1412-0-084141
13.511-0-1633052
1311-1-043479100
10-0-2100
12.510-1-1324420111
1210-2-0104822105004000
9-1-264141336
11.59-2-1329241514011110
8-1-3100
119-3-0016924166401563000
8-2-2110122820751232
10.58-3-1033141610101211210010
7-2-35050
108-4-0010651310491919572000
7-3-20761310372219761
9.57-4-10001575314231122810
6-3-322628171117
97-5-000022506615172516610000
6-4-20021406616182714510
8.56-5-10010056182824134100
5-4-3661122336116
86-6-000000001031019232013620000
5-5-210104920232113520
7.55-6-10000027162525167200
4-5-355163226115
75-7-0000000141018232114620000
4-6-201510192520126200
6.54-7-100271827261551000
3-6-377294377
64-8-0000261524251782000
3-7-201514262416930
5.53-8-1001617292815510
2-7-3502525
53-9-0001718282714410
2-8-20072030221450
4.52-9-10021026332161
42-10-0015173230132
1-9-23153236103
3.51-10-10312343813
0-9-3100
31-11-0018284221
0-10-2331750
2.50-11-1143452
20-12-0073261
Total:01121211233345556655655544322100