Buffalo Playoff Chances

Beat Dolphins 24-16, playoff odds up 19.1 to 47.8%
8-6-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
Bills 24 Dolphins 16 +14.5
+0.6
+0.7
49ers 25 Titans 23 +1.7
+0.0
Chiefs 30 LA Chargers 13 +0.7
-0.0
Browns 10 Ravens 27 -0.1
-0.0
Jaguars 45 Texans 7 *-0.1
Steelers 24 Patriots 27 No
Vikings 34 Bengals 7 +0.0
Saints 31 NY Jets 19 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
Patriots vs Bills-10.6+16.3+29.8
-0.2+0.5+0.7
Ravens vs Colts-3.1-2.6+14.4
-0.1+0.0+0.5
NY Jets vs LA Chargers+7.3+6.3-4.7
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Titans vs LA Rams+5.6-3.3-2.5
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Chiefs vs Dolphins-0.5+2.2+1.4
+0.0+0.1-0.1
49ers vs Jaguars-0.6*+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bills finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516Count
102-0-098.8%No386118,422,149
9.51-0-194.3No34606348,950
91-1-066.3No204626831,780,058
0-0-253.7No25135113,212
8.50-1-132.2No1314919549,610
80-2-01.8No21477822,351,541
Total:47.8%No15321931363,455,520
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/14100.0*Lottery seed
Bills 24 Dolphins 16 -1.6
Panthers 31 Packers 24 -0.1
49ers 25 Titans 23 -0.1
Raiders 17 Cowboys 20 +0.1
Chiefs 30 LA Chargers 13 -0.1
Lions 20 Bears 10 +0.1
Steelers 24 Patriots 27 -0.1
Browns 10 Ravens 27 +0.1
Vikings 34 Bengals 7 +0.0
Redskins 20 Cardinals 15 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Buccaneers vs Falcons-0.1-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/23100.0*Lottery seed
Patriots vs Bills+0.7-1.0-1.8
Ravens vs Colts+0.2-0.0-1.0
NY Jets vs LA Chargers-0.4-0.1+0.2
Redskins vs Broncos+0.1-0.1-0.2
Packers vs Vikings+0.2-0.1-0.1
Bengals vs Lions-0.2+0.0+0.1
Titans vs LA Rams-0.1+0.2+0.0
Chiefs vs Dolphins-0.0-0.2+0.0
Cowboys vs Seahawks+0.0+0.1-0.0
Saints vs Falcons-0.0+0.0+0.1
49ers vs Jaguars+0.1+0.0-0.0
Eagles vs Raiders+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
102-0-02362832100
9.51-0-13410503200
91-1-0203434101451
0-0-222495141971
8.50-1-1131052429101
80-2-0207253623610
Total:015527251012138200