Tennessee Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
Dolphins vs Titans-7.8+1.1+10.2
-4.9+0.7+6.5
-0.9+0.2+1.2
NY Giants vs Jaguars+1.0*-0.2-1.3
+1.6*-0.1-2.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Patriots vs Texans+0.7*-0.2-0.9
+1.6*-0.3-2.2
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Colts vs Bengals-0.5*+0.1+0.7
-1.5*+0.4+1.9
Raiders vs LA Rams-0.3*+0.2+0.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Broncos vs Seahawks-0.3*+0.1+0.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Lions vs NY Jets+0.3*+0.3-0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
Titans vs Texans+9.0-1.9-11.9
+7.8-1.9-10.2
+1.0-0.2-1.4
Redskins vs Colts+1.0*-0.1-1.3
+1.6*-0.2-2.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Jaguars vs Patriots-0.7*+0.1+0.9
-1.6*+0.3+2.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Saints vs Browns+0.3*-0.2-0.4
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Bengals vs Ravens-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers+0.1*+0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Titans finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516Count
15.5-16InYes100960*
1515-1-0InYes10001,983*
14.514-1-1InYes1000408*
1414-2-0In99.9%991015,826*
13.513-2-1In99.998203,240*
1313-3-0In99.594500176,466
12-2-2InYes964296
12.512-3-1In98.98990114,057*
1212-4-0In96.776201030255,017
11-3-2In97.27817231,235
11.511-4-1In93.96228406043,397
10-3-3In90.86625965
1111-5-0100.0%86.738371111310622,144
10-4-2In88.139381011113,449*
10.510-5-199.978.719372031920097,613
9-4-3In83.31743222161192
1010-6-098.164.0623269241020001,155,170
9-5-298.665.3724259249106,927*
9.59-6-192.849.3110241524206100163,219
8-5-393.448.611122152520610288
99-7-068.932.80212181323199300001,664,191
8-6-270.433.5021219132419820010,405*
8.58-7-137.418.9004153152623113000211,093
7-6-337.420.551521524241220404
88-8-014.79.6001914132223168200001,873,440
7-7-214.69.6019151222241782012,027*
7.57-8-13.63.403002820282311300211,832
6-7-34.54.5527202924931374
77-9-01.31.30100027162425177101,664,365
6-8-21.21.1100261625261671010,396*
6.56-9-10.20.2000031125312171164,759
5-8-30.70.71039233218131307*
66-10-00.10.10000131225312261,154,507
5-9-20.00.0000031024332266,830*
5.55-10-10.00.0000021029391996,697
4-9-3OutNo110264519156
55-11-00.00.000004174138622,224
4-10-2OutNo031841383,430*
4.54-11-1OutNo006326143,575*
44-12-0OutNo0022276254,706
3-11-2OutNo220781,245*
3.53-12-1OutNo0118914,327*
33-13-0OutNo069476,328
2-12-2OutNo496326*
2.52-13-1OutNo2983,179*
22-14-0OutNo19915,989
1-13-2OutNo10053
1.51-14-1OutNo0100447
11-15-0OutNo01002,096*
0-0.5OutNo100948*
Total:37.5%25.0%666666666666666610,582,608

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Dolphins vs Titans+1.9-0.3-2.4
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.1+0.0+0.1
Patriots vs Texans-0.1*+0.1+0.1
LA Chargers vs Chiefs-0.1-0.0+0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys+0.0+0.0-0.1
Eagles vs Falcons-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Lions vs NY Jets+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Titans vs Texans-2.0+0.3+2.6
Redskins vs Colts-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Bengals vs Ravens+0.1+0.0-0.1
Jaguars vs Patriots+0.1+0.0-0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-010000
14.514-1-110000
1414-2-098110
13.513-2-195320
1313-3-086850001
12-2-28794
12.512-3-177139001
1212-4-05322191100300
11-3-2552317023
11.511-4-13329262400600
10-3-33828259
1111-5-01226289110101211000
10-4-2132728910111111
10.510-5-12172017182301622000
9-4-3315232018421241
1010-6-00661717981169912000
9-5-207618178811698110
9.59-6-1010991513291517361000
8-5-31117151221114173511
99-7-000221010821111121410520000
8-6-20022101082111113141041000
8.58-7-10003511031141120181031000
7-6-3551022131018201031
88-8-000011701042611151614116310000
7-7-2011710426121516141163100
7.57-8-1003000002513212318931000
6-7-304026111827189410
77-9-00010000001251014171715106210000
6-8-210001259141717151052100
6.56-9-100001391824221462000
5-8-3113916222614620
66-10-000000251017212115720
5-9-20000151017202115720
5.55-10-1000139212924112
4-9-3212193022141
55-11-00000002819302812
4-10-2003719302812
4.54-11-10015204133
44-12-00002103553
3-11-201103553
3.53-12-1022276
33-13-00011287
2-12-201089
2.52-13-10595
22-14-0298
1-13-2298
1.51-14-1199
11-15-00100
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333