Green Bay Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.3 to 72.3%
4-1-0   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Cowboys 31 Packers 35 +10.9
+5.3
+0.9
Bears 17 Vikings 20 -1.1
-0.1
-0.1
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 +0.8
+0.2
+0.1
Lions 24 Panthers 27 +0.8
+0.2
+0.2
LA Rams 10 Seahawks 16 -0.2
+1.0
Eagles 34 Cardinals 7 -0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Vikings vs Packers-10.2+3.4+11.9
-6.7*+0.6+7.8
+0.0*NoNo
-0.9+0.2+1.0
Falcons vs Dolphins-0.4+1.2+1.2
-0.4+1.0+1.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Redskins vs 49ers-0.4*+0.4+0.9
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Saints vs Lions+0.5*+0.4-0.7
+0.2*+0.2-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Panthers vs Eagles-0.5*+0.2+0.6
+1.3*+0.5-1.4
Cardinals vs Buccaneers+0.5*-0.1-0.4
Jaguars vs LA Rams+0.3*-0.3-0.5
+0.3*-0.4-0.6
+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Packers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inFirstChance will finish regular season at seedFirst
TWW-L-TplayoffsSeed12345678910111213141516PickCount
1511-0-0In99.5%991No5,766
14.510-0-1InYes100No495
1410-1-0In96.39640No52,422
9-0-2InYes100No22
13.59-1-1In95.295500No4,392
139-2-0In83.48315100No218,532
8-1-2In83.88416No160
12.58-2-1In73.87424101No16,195
7-1-3In80.08020No5
128-3-0100.0%50.3503780500No529,248
7-2-2In52.35236705No514
11.57-3-1In31.6324315180No34,753
6-2-3In25.02550178No12
117-4-099.812.7133326619300No840,695
6-3-299.813.313332571830No973
5-2-4InNo100No1
10.56-4-199.33.1320311325810No47,345
5-3-3InNo1653526No19
106-5-090.10.617211624228100No911,448
5-4-292.30.6192417241962No1,175
9.55-5-173.90.0011020142920610No43,676
4-4-384.2No521263216No19
95-6-038.20.0003105192822102000No694,835
4-5-238.6No41251727221020No869
8.54-6-112.7No00606213324810No27,593
3-5-3OutNo94518189No11
84-7-03.2No00201721312511200No369,509
3-6-22.8No0218163328112No425
7.53-7-10.4No016223627810No11,505
2-6-3OutNo402040No5
73-8-00.1No00018263722510No135,387
2-7-2OutNo192234277No140
6.52-8-10.0No001830392030No3,139
62-9-0OutNo0031838301010No32,749
1-8-2OutNo1354294No24
5.51-9-1OutNo324362970No499
51-10-0OutNo011234371510.0%4,570
0-9-2OutNo6733No3
4.50-10-1OutNo95041No32
40-11-0OutNo193442146.4614
Total:72.3%16.2%1615137121086543110000.0%3,989,776
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/5100.0*Lottery seed
Cowboys 31 Packers 35 -1.7
Lions 24 Panthers 27 -0.3
Bears 17 Vikings 20 +0.1
LA Rams 10 Seahawks 16 -0.1
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 +0.1
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 +0.1
Bengals 20 Bills 16 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Lottery seed
Vikings vs Packers+1.6-0.4-1.9
Saints vs Lions-0.2-0.1+0.3
Falcons vs Dolphins+0.0-0.1-0.1
Redskins vs 49ers+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Texans vs Browns+0.0-0.0-0.1
Broncos vs NY Giants+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

The Official NFL Page

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1511-0-09541
14.510-0-1955
1410-1-07917400
9-0-27723
13.59-1-174215000
139-2-0463715110000
8-1-24934161
12.58-2-13340222101
7-1-3206020
128-3-01338289800040000
7-2-212412787041
11.57-3-1428271614110810
6-2-3178428178
117-4-01121320215601543000
6-3-2013141920570144300
5-2-4100
10.56-4-10331719131211698010
5-3-31642115215
106-5-00116813133111220381000
5-4-2118915142111217261
9.55-5-100119119312191019610
4-4-35111126211116
95-6-0000034714910182314510000
4-5-203481489182414410
8.54-6-100160005619262111410
3-5-391892736
84-7-000020001131019232012620000
3-6-2021041019222312510
7.53-7-100027172525156200
2-6-3202060
73-8-00000014101824211462000
2-7-211492123181643
6.52-8-1002717272514610
62-9-000261523251883100
1-8-28251329214
5.51-9-1161628261761
51-10-0001616262716610
0-9-2333333
4.50-10-122134125
40-11-003143127196
Total:610878552757355433221111000000000