Green Bay Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.08 to 46.8%
1-0-1   .750

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Redskins vs Packers-8.7+2.2+12.1
-5.8+1.6+8.1
+0.5-0.2-0.6
-0.9+0.2+1.2
Vikings vs Bills-1.1+0.5+2.0
-2.4+1.5+4.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Cardinals vs Bears+1.4+0.7-1.2
+2.9+1.2-2.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Chiefs vs 49ers+0.5-0.1-0.8
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Bengals-0.6*+0.0+0.7
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Lions vs Patriots-0.6*-0.0+0.7
-0.7*-0.0+0.8
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Buccaneers vs Steelers-0.5*+0.0+0.7
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Eagles vs Colts-0.4+0.1+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers-0.2+0.1+0.4
Texans vs NY Giants+0.3-0.1-0.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Falcons vs Saints-0.0+0.3+0.0
Seahawks vs Cowboys+0.1-0.1-0.2
Dolphins vs Raiders-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Packers vs Bills+6.9-1.9-11.9
+4.9-1.4-8.4
-0.6*+0.0+1.0
+0.7-0.2-1.2
LA Rams vs Vikings+0.9-0.3-1.4
+2.6-0.4-4.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Bears vs Buccaneers-0.8+0.6+0.9
-2.3+1.3+2.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
LA Chargers vs 49ers+0.6-0.1-0.8
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Falcons vs Bengals-0.6+0.1+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Titans vs Eagles+0.4*+0.0-0.6
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Saints+0.3+0.2-0.4
Cardinals vs Seahawks+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Cowboys vs Lions+0.1*-0.0-0.2
+0.6-0.2-1.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Packers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516PickCount
15.514-0-0InYes1000No111,690
1513-0-1InYes1000No7,829
14.513-1-0In100.0%100000No585,153
12-0-2InYes991No772
1412-1-1In99.999100No110,941*
13.512-2-0In99.7973000No4,059,678
11-1-2In99.897300No9,620*
1311-2-1In99.39280010No708,144*
12.511-3-0In97.884131020No17,161,292
10-2-2In98.28413102No56,604*
1210-3-1100.0%96.0702420400No2,731,863
9-2-3In96.2702424No2,693
11.510-4-0100.090.8523360900No49,368,708
9-3-2100.091.7533360800No197,327*
119-4-1100.085.3323814114100No7,102,241
8-3-3In85.63239131141No8,466*
10.59-5-099.973.31433224243000No102,265,221
8-4-299.974.7143422422300No458,057*
108-5-198.662.352027102791000No13,168,219
7-4-398.863.3521281027910No17,339*
9.58-6-093.044.9172215272161000No157,183,629
7-5-293.346.117221626216100No752,676*
97-6-173.331.802121816261872000No17,901,286
6-5-374.532.20212181626186100No25,084*
8.57-7-040.317.1003145192821820000No182,139,295
6-6-240.817.7003145182821820000No891,949*
86-7-116.69.10018171725231351000No18,057,517
5-6-316.29.101816172623134100No25,210*
7.56-8-03.73.20030041326281861000No159,866,589
5-7-23.83.3030041326281861000No764,396*
75-8-11.21.10100131121272211300No13,505,972
4-7-31.01.010031022282211300No18,040*
6.55-9-00.20.2000001619302713300.0%105,712,048
4-8-20.20.2000001618302713300.0473,637*
64-9-10.00.00000161830281430.17,401,496
3-8-30.10.1000161731281430.18,869*
5.54-10-00.00.0000015183531100.951,852,167
3-9-20.00.000015183532101.0206,703*
53-10-10.00.00000182540268.42,886,840
2-9-3OutNo0172342279.42,908*
4.53-11-0OutNo000111404722.218,289,347
2-10-2OutNo00111404822.860,283*
42-11-1OutNo005296647.3760,634*
3.52-12-0OutNo001168367.74,382,592
1-11-2OutNo01168368.710,613*
31-12-1OutNo0099184.5121,018*
2.51-13-0OutNo039793.0637,910
0-12-2OutNo49693.7825
20-13-1OutNo019997.38,696
1.50-14-0OutNo010099.2116,314
Total:46.8%29.2%78879887766554321.0%942,196,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Redskins vs Packers+1.8-0.4-2.5
Vikings vs Bills+0.1-0.1-0.3
Cardinals vs Bears-0.2-0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Lottery seed
Packers vs Bills-1.6+0.5+2.7
LA Rams vs Vikings-0.1+0.0+0.2
Bears vs Buccaneers+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.514-0-010000
1513-0-19900
14.513-1-0991000
12-0-29911
1412-1-1953100
13.512-2-0925300000
11-1-2925300
1311-2-178138000100
12.511-3-06519130100200
10-2-265191301020
1210-3-1393022220040000
9-2-339312222040
11.510-4-02032285600090000
9-3-220332856008000
119-4-16262315131101311000
8-3-3626231612111211
10.59-5-011312211854019530000
8-4-21141222185401843000
108-5-1053171314911512811000
7-4-30531813148115118110
9.58-6-00107517114719165610000
7-5-21075181157191656100
97-6-100211181021410161194100000
6-5-300211181021510161184100
8.57-7-0000033110511781717115100000
6-6-20003312051178161711510000
86-7-10001180106149141716127310000
5-6-3001181061491418161273100
7.56-8-0000300000026142223179310000
5-7-2003000002614212317931000
75-8-100100000001491419191610410000
4-7-3010000148151920161041000
6.55-9-000000000025132125191031000
4-8-2000000025132124191041000
64-9-10000000251119232113510
3-8-30000251019232114510
5.54-10-0000000151525281861
3-9-200000151425281871
53-10-10000013102231258
2-9-3013102031269
4.53-11-00000210273922
2-10-20029273923
42-11-10002123847
3.52-12-000042868
1-11-20042769
31-12-1011484
2.51-13-000793
0-12-2694
20-13-1397
1.50-14-00199
Total:34343434454534432344322333222211