Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Green Bay Playoff Chances

Beat 49ers 33-30, playoff odds up 8.5 to 40.3%
3-2-1   .583

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Packers 33 49ers 30 +7.5
+4.1
-0.4
+0.8
Dolphins 31 Bears 28 +1.2
+3.6
+0.1
Raiders 3 Seahawks 27 -1.0
-0.1
-0.1
Falcons 34 Buccaneers 29 +0.7
+0.0
Vikings 27 Cardinals 17 -0.7
-0.6
-0.1
Redskins 23 Panthers 17 +0.6
Cowboys 40 Jaguars 7 -0.5
-0.1
NY Giants 13 Eagles 34 -0.3
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Bears vs Patriots-1.4+0.9+1.9
-3.2+2.0+4.5
-0.1+0.1+0.2
NY Jets vs Vikings+1.1*-0.0-1.8
+1.5*+0.0-2.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Dolphins vs Lions+0.9-0.6-1.2
+1.0-0.6-1.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Redskins vs Cowboys+0.1-1.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Buccaneers vs Browns-0.5-0.2+0.7
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Ravens vs Saints+0.4*-0.1-0.7
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Falcons vs NY Giants-0.2*+0.0+0.3
Eagles vs Panthers+0.1-0.2-0.1
49ers vs LA Rams-0.1*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Packers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516PickCount
13.510-0-0InYes9190No118,623
139-0-1In100.0%851410No16,029
12.59-1-0In99.165332010No1,221,566
8-0-2In99.8663220No1,091
128-1-1In97.549417030No168,277
7-0-3InYes61327No41
11.58-2-0100.0%93.02752141700No6,413,460
7-1-2In94.6295213150No10,413
117-2-1100.086.5134128413100No777,267
6-1-3In87.01644234121No338
10.57-3-099.973.133033724300No19,537,275
6-2-299.976.14313472120No40,814
5-1-4InYes5050No6
106-3-198.059.4111291927122000No2,044,184
5-2-399.061.31103020271010No1,203
4-1-5InNo100No1
9.56-4-092.238.5031718292571000No38,115,738
5-3-292.340.50318192824710No91,077
4-2-492.060.08124020128No25
95-4-163.023.600618122723113000No3,373,788
4-3-364.125.206191227231030No2,158
3-2-5OutNo100No1
8.55-5-033.39.50018420322492000No49,700,891
4-4-233.510.101941932249200No123,332
3-3-440.023.32331340173No30
84-5-18.23.500304142628176100No3,612,439
3-4-37.73.3030414262917610No2,414
2-3-5OutNo100No1
7.54-6-01.10.7010041530311640000No43,786,837
3-5-21.00.701003142931175100No103,945
2-4-43.6No472143214No28
73-6-10.10.1000002102331239200No2,507,618
2-5-30.20.1000292332231010No1,576
1-4-5OutNo100No1
6.53-7-00.00.0000029263522610No25,716,452
2-6-20.00.000018253523710No53,807
1-5-4OutNo20502010No10
62-7-10.00.0000018253623610.0%1,088,926
1-6-3OutNo1627382160No478
5.52-8-0OutNo001930381830.19,634,865
1-7-2OutNo001829391930.115,612
0-6-4OutNo100No1
51-8-1OutNo002143735111.2269,107
0-7-3OutNo51834403No62
4.51-9-0OutNo0032246286.92,075,016
0-8-2OutNo042146297.91,847
40-9-1OutNo0110434721.828,492
3.50-10-0OutNo02267147.7211,670
Total:40.3%21.0%2577910109987653100.1%210,868,832
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/11100.0*Lottery seed
Packers 33 49ers 30 -1.7
Dolphins 31 Bears 28 -0.1
Vikings 27 Cardinals 17 +0.0
Broncos 20 LA Rams 23 -0.0
Falcons 34 Buccaneers 29 -0.0
Redskins 23 Panthers 17 -0.0
NY Giants 13 Eagles 34 +0.0
Cowboys 40 Jaguars 7 +0.0
Patriots 43 Chiefs 40 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Lottery seed
Bears vs Patriots+0.2-0.1-0.2
NY Jets vs Vikings-0.1-0.0+0.1
Dolphins vs Lions-0.1+0.1+0.1
Ravens vs Saints-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
13.510-0-0865900
139-0-1671814010
12.59-1-04718320200100
8-0-2481932020
128-1-12029365700200
7-0-32437327
11.58-2-072042101301070000
7-1-282142101301500
117-2-1112192224440103100
6-1-3115202420341031
10.57-3-003822248701683000
6-2-20482325970157200
5-1-417331733
106-3-1011101118162917922000
5-2-31010121718310178310
4-1-5100
9.56-4-00033151354241510610000
5-3-200331514542315106100
4-2-4812241620848
95-4-100005890126211812510000
4-3-30069901262117134100
3-2-5100
8.55-5-0000126041196162115720000
4-4-201270411971620157200
3-3-4101331313132310
84-5-100003000416142122168310000
3-4-300304251321231683100
2-3-5100
7.54-6-00010000002717252415620000
3-5-20010000027172524156200
2-4-4411182971877
73-6-100000000013917232114721000
2-5-300013917232214731
1-4-5100
6.53-7-000000014112127211131000
2-6-20001411222721113100
1-5-41010304010
62-7-100000271523241782000
1-6-303517222716721
5.52-8-00001515272817610
1-7-2001516262817610
0-6-4100
51-8-1000141325282071
0-7-38192427138
4.51-9-000172336267
0-8-20282235258
40-9-100210283822
3.50-10-001114048
Total:11233443373734543465433432221100