Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsTop 4Chance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Kangaroos287-0-014199.7%+0.693.1%+6.45322126321000000000002.0+0.504.723North Melbourne Kangaroos
Cats246-0-132898.3-0.180.1-0.321271913853210000000003.1-0.083.659Geelong Cats
Swans246-0-127896.9-0.471.3-2.1152120151175321000000003.6-0.186.659Sydney Swans
Giants205-0-221287.5-1.141.7-1.9491316151310853210000005.4-0.142.595Greater Western Sydney
Bulldogs205-0-220785.6-1.237.6-1.8381214151311964210000005.6-0.147.595Western Bulldogs
Hawks205-0-2-483.6-1.734.1-2.6371114151412975311000005.8-0.191.595Hawthorn Hawks
Eagles164-0-39855.6-1.511.2-0.6013681112131311963110008.1-0.0610.532West Coast Eagles
Crows164-0-310953.1-1.610.0-0.5013581012131312963210008.2-0.065.532Adelaide Crows
Demons164-0-38650.2-1.69.3-0.4013579111313121074210008.4-0.049.532Melbourne Demons
Power164-0-31449.0+15.38.7+4.2013579111314131074210008.5+1.2011.532Port Adelaide Power
Suns123-0-4-10319.2-0.51.7-0.00001235710131616117421010.8+0.0713.468Gold Coast Suns
Blues123-0-4-12514.8-0.21.1-0.0000112469121617139531011.2+0.1315.468Carlton Blues
Saints82-0-5-493.7-4.70.1-0.30000001236101418171395213.1-0.788.405St. Kilda Saints
Magpies82-0-5-1812.0-0.20.1-0.00000001124611161917138313.8+0.1118.405Collingwood Magpies
Lions41-0-6-2870.4-1.10.0-0.00000000011258131821201215.3-0.8112.341Brisbane Lions
Bombers41-0-6-3040.3-0.00.00000000001248131820211315.4+0.2116.341Essendon Bombers
Tigers41-0-6-2100.2-0.00.00000000001237121721231515.6+0.1517.341Richmond Tigers
Dockers00-0-7-2100.00.000000000000013611225617.1+0.1014.277Fremantle Dockers

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/6
Suns 87 Demons 160
5:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Demons+9.2
+2.6
+0.8
Suns-9.7
-3.1
-0.8
Bulldogs 123 Crows 108
7:40 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs+8.6
+8.6
+0.8
Crows-8.6
-8.6
-0.8
Cats 123 Eagles 79
2:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Cats+2.3
+8.2
+0.5
Giants+0.5
Bulldogs+0.5
Hawks+0.3
Eagles-6.7
-7.8
-0.6
Crows+0.5
Demons+0.6
Power+0.6
Suns+0.6
Power 136 Lions 59
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Giants-0.4
Bulldogs-0.5
Hawks-0.5
Eagles-0.8
Crows-0.8
Demons-0.8
Power+6.2
+1.5
+0.5
Suns-0.5
Blues-0.4
Saints-0.3
Lions-0.8
-0.4
Tigers 90 Hawks 136
7:50 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos-0.3
Cats-0.6
Swans-0.7
Giants-0.4
-0.7
Bulldogs-0.5
-0.6
Hawks+5.1
+4.9
+0.5
Eagles-0.5
-0.6
Crows-0.5
-0.6
Demons-0.6
Power-0.6
Suns-0.6
-0.2
Tigers-0.5
-0.3
Dockers 77 Giants 95
8:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos-0.3
Cats-0.5
Swans-0.6
Giants+3.9
+4.3
+0.4
Bulldogs-0.4
-0.5
Hawks-0.3
-0.7
Eagles-0.4
-0.5
Crows-0.4
-0.5
Demons-0.5
Power-0.5
Suns-0.5
Saints-0.2
Dockers-0.2
Magpies 84 Blues 99
1:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Blues+3.3
+0.3
+0.7
Magpies-3.2
-0.3
-0.7
Saints 75 Kangaroos 82
3:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos+0.4
+2.9
+0.2
Cats-0.3
Swans-0.3
Giants-0.4
Bulldogs-0.5
Hawks-0.4
Eagles+0.3
-0.2
Crows+0.3
Demons+0.3
Power+0.2
Saints-2.2
-0.2
-0.3
Swans 135 Bombers 54
4:35 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos-0.3
Cats-0.6
Swans+1.7
+4.8
+0.3
Giants-0.7
Bulldogs-0.6
Hawks-0.8
Eagles-0.6
Crows-0.6
Power-0.2
Suns-0.2
Bombers-0.4
-0.3
Tigers vs MagpiesIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:50 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Magpies0.91.73.0
14.513.913.3
Tigers0.30.10.1
15.115.616.0
Week of 5/13
Demons vs PowerIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Demons61.1*50.239.3
13.58.75.2
7.78.49.1
Power38.0*49.059.9
4.88.112.6
9.28.57.8
Power vs EaglesHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Eagles44.8*55.766.5
6.410.516.1
8.88.17.3
Power59.9*48.938.0
12.78.04.7
7.88.59.2
Suns vs CrowsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Crows41.251.962.4
5.48.813.6
9.08.37.6
Suns27.8*19.312.5
2.91.50.7
10.010.711.4
Eagles vs SunsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Eagles64.754.344.0
15.19.86.2
7.48.28.9
Suns12.6*19.327.8
0.71.52.9
11.410.710.0
Blues vs PowerHomeDrawAway
1:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Power37.548.057.9
4.77.711.9
9.38.57.9
Blues22.1*14.99.1
1.91.00.4
10.511.111.8
Crows vs GiantsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Giants81.0*87.592.6
30.240.050.7
6.15.44.8
Crows64.654.144.2
15.79.55.5
7.48.28.9
Demons vs BulldogsHomeDrawAway
3:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs78.3*85.591.2
26.635.746.1
6.45.75.0
Demons61.651.341.3
14.79.05.2
7.68.39.0
Eagles vs SaintsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Eagles62.953.443.6
14.49.66.0
7.58.28.9
Saints1.93.66.6
13.613.012.4
Crows vs CatsHomeDrawAway
7:50 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Cats96.8*98.499.2
70.578.985.8
3.73.22.7
Crows65.155.446.0
16.5*10.16.1
7.48.18.7
Demons vs LionsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Demons56.146.437.5
11.67.44.6
8.08.79.3
Giants vs SunsHomeDrawAway
4:35 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Giants91.986.980.3
49.038.929.8
4.95.56.2
Suns13.720.328.4
0.7*1.63.2
11.310.69.9
Hawks vs DockersHomeDrawAway
2:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Hawks86.480.973.0
37.729.521.0
5.56.16.8
DockersNoNo0.1
17.317.016.7
Lions vs HawksHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Hawks73.881.787.1
21.630.538.6
6.86.05.5
Kangaroos vs BluesHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos99.8*99.799.2
95.092.487.7
1.82.12.4
Blues11.617.424.0
0.61.32.4
11.510.910.3
Blues vs CatsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Cats96.698.299.1
70.178.084.7
3.73.22.8
Blues23.216.510.9
2.3*1.10.5
10.411.011.6
Magpies vs BulldogsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs77.484.189.5
25.533.843.3
6.55.85.2
Magpies4.02.21.1
13.113.614.2
Hawks vs SwansHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Swans94.897.198.5
60.270.879.7
4.23.63.1
Hawks90.285.578.5
46.235.824.8
5.05.76.4
Giants vs BulldogsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Giants92.788.182.3
53.141.330.4
4.75.36.0
Bulldogs79.886.291.4
26.636.948.6
6.35.64.9
Tigers vs SwansHomeDrawAway
7:25 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Swans93.596.197.8
57.866.875.0
4.43.93.4
Saints vs BombersHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Saints5.23.01.7
12.613.213.8
Bombers0.10.20.5
15.815.414.8
Saints vs DockersHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Saints4.92.81.6
12.713.313.8
DockersNoNo0.0
17.417.116.8
Swans vs KangaroosHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos99.499.899.9
89.093.696.1
2.42.01.7
Swans98.697.595.6
80.773.164.2
3.03.54.1
Magpies vs CatsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Cats96.598.099.0
69.376.984.0
3.73.32.8
Magpies4.22.41.3
13.013.614.1
Lions vs MagpiesHomeDrawAway
7:25 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Magpies0.91.63.0
14.513.913.3
Lions0.70.30.1
14.715.315.8
Bombers vs KangaroosHomeDrawAway
1:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos99.199.699.8
86.791.794.4
2.52.11.9
Bombers vs TigersHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bombers0.50.20.1
14.915.415.9
Tigers0.00.10.3
16.115.615.1
Dockers vs TigersHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Tigers16.115.715.2
Dockers0.0NoNo
16.817.217.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you John Pilbrow for adding this league.