Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsTop 4Chance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.ChangeRPIStrength7/9
DockersLions44111-0-1275100.0%99.8%-0.0899200000000001.1-0.011.799Fremantle Dockers
Swans4010-0-326899.6+0.089.3+0.1646251263110000002.82.698Sydney Swans
Eagles3619-0-344098.2+0.175.1+0.342529181064210000003.6+0.013.680West Coast Eagles
Hawks369-0-446696.6+6.460.5+19.51132224161064210000004.4+0.954.642Hawthorn Hawks
Magpies328-0-524479.2-10.120.8-19.8027121616151310731000006.5-1.1210.585at PowerCollingwood Magpies
Bulldogs2817-0-54677.7+0.919.5+0.20261215161513107410000006.6+0.065.560Western Bulldogs
Giants2817-0-51168.4+0.411.8-0.20138121415151310521000007.3+0.019.560Greater Western Sydney
Tigers2817-0-58762.0+0.810.5-0.00137101314151513721000007.6+0.037.560Richmond Tigers
CrowsTCats 0-0307-1-59362.2+0.59.4-0.101369131516161272100007.6+0.0212.557Adelaide Crows
Kangaroos2416-0-6-4135.6+0.42.4-0.0000247101317201673100009.1+0.016.500North Melbourne Kangaroos
CatsTCrows 0-0266-1-6-1717.7+0.50.9+0.0000123581219281462100010.2+0.028.500Geelong Cats
Power205-0-8-331.2+0.10.0000000124122624171030012.711.415MagpiesPort Adelaide Power
BombersSaints1614-0-8-1580.8+0.10.0-0.000000011381822211672013.3+0.0213.380Essendon Bombers
Demons1614-0-8-2480.3+0.00.0000000012514212319113013.7+0.0214.380Melbourne Demons
Saintsat Bombers1614-0-8-2340.2+0.00.0000000001410162226154014.1-0.0115.380St. Kilda Saints
Blues1213-0-9-3470.0-0.00.00000000000149193823415.7-0.0116.320Carlton Blues
Lionsat Dockers812-0-10-4390.00.000000000013721482016.7-0.0118.261Brisbane Lions
Suns411-0-11-4130.0No00000000014207517.717.201Gold Coast Suns

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/2
Magpies 91 Hawks 101
7:50 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Swans-0.1
Eagles-0.1
Hawks+5.4
+14.7
+0.7
Magpies-5.5
-14.2
-0.7
Bulldogs-0.2
Tigers+0.1
Crows 0 Cats 0
2:50 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Swans+0.3
Eagles+0.2
Hawks-0.2
+0.1
Magpies+0.3
Bulldogs+0.3
+0.3
Giants+0.5
+0.2
Tigers+0.2
+0.1
Crows-0.8
-1.3
-0.1
Kangaroos+0.3
+0.1
Cats-0.4
-0.2
+0.0
Swans 94 Power 84
7:20 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Swans+0.6
+4.6
+0.2
Eagles-0.6
-0.0
Hawks+0.1
-0.9
-0.0
Magpies+0.1
-0.8
-0.0
Bulldogs+0.1
-0.6
Giants+0.1
-0.6
Tigers+0.1
-0.4
Crows+0.1
-0.5
Kangaroos+0.1
-0.1
+0.0
Cats+0.1
-0.1
+0.0
Power-1.3
-0.1
-0.3
Bombers+0.0
Demons+0.0
Saints+0.0
Tigers vs GiantsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
1:40 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Giants55.469.881.2
5.011.218.5
8.17.36.5
Tigers75.162.648.9
16.39.74.7
6.87.68.4
Suns vs KangaroosHomeDrawAway
4:35 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs80.178.877.1
6.56.66.6
Giants71.169.667.6
7.27.27.3
Tigers64.963.261.3
7.57.57.6
Crows65.363.661.4
7.57.67.7
Kangaroos19.328.839.9
0.51.32.9
10.19.58.8
Suns0.0OutOut
17.417.617.7
Bulldogs vs BluesHomeDrawAway
7:20 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Eagles74.375.677.1
3.73.63.6
Hawks96.4*96.697.0
59.561.263.3
4.44.34.3
Bulldogs83.174.663.7
23.715.98.7
6.26.97.6
Giants67.568.970.5
11.412.112.9
7.47.37.2
Tigers61.162.564.4
10.110.811.5
7.67.67.5
Crows61.362.964.8
9.09.810.4
7.77.67.5
Kangaroos34.736.338.1
2.32.52.6
9.19.19.0
BluesNo*No0.0
15.915.615.2
Demons vs EaglesHomeDrawAway
7:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Eagles95.597.699.0
59.969.879.7
4.43.93.4
Hawks63.661.459.6
4.24.34.4
Magpies23.521.620.0
6.46.56.5
Bulldogs22.220.818.7
6.56.66.6
Demons1.10.40.1
13.013.514.0
Bombers vs SaintsHomeDrawAway
1:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bombers1.50.60.3
12.813.313.9
Saints14.714.213.6
Dockers vs LionsHomeDrawAway
2:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Lions16.816.516.2
Week of 7/9
Kangaroos vs CatsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:20 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos48.235.223.0
4.12.00.7
8.49.19.8
Cats8.916.326.6
0.20.61.6
10.910.39.6
Eagles vs CrowsHomeDrawAway
5:40 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Eagles99.4*98.296.2
83.173.061.8
3.23.84.3
Magpies80.378.977.5
20.221.321.8
Bulldogs78.877.175.9
18.920.120.7
Giants69.767.566.1
11.312.112.5
7.37.37.4
Tigers63.461.459.7
10.110.811.1
7.67.67.7
Crows53.366.177.1
4.29.118.1
8.27.56.7
Kangaroos37.034.833.3
9.19.19.2
Giants vs SaintsHomeDrawAway
1:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Magpies78.379.581.2
20.321.121.8
6.66.56.4
Bulldogs76.878.179.7
19.120.020.5
6.76.66.5
Giants75.865.753.1
15.49.54.5
6.87.58.2
Tigers60.862.364.6
10.210.711.0
7.67.67.5
Crows60.863.265.1
9.09.510.0
7.77.67.5
Kangaroos34.336.138.3
9.29.19.0
Saints0.00.10.5
0.0No0.0
14.414.013.5
Tigers vs BluesHomeDrawAway
7:50 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Magpies78.479.781.4
20.421.221.7
6.56.56.4
Bulldogs76.978.579.9
19.120.020.6
6.76.66.5
Giants67.369.371.1
11.512.012.3
7.47.27.2
Tigers68.357.245.6
13.08.04.0
7.27.98.6
Crows61.063.365.4
9.29.69.9
7.77.67.5
Kangaroos34.536.538.6
9.29.19.0
BluesNo*No0.0
15.915.615.2
Bulldogs vs SunsHomeDrawAway
4:35 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Hawks96.596.797.1
59.961.463.5
4.44.34.3
Bulldogs81.272.461.2
22.014.97.9
6.47.07.8
Giants67.869.270.9
11.512.413.0
7.37.27.1
Tigers61.462.964.8
10.211.111.6
7.67.57.4
Crows61.663.465.2
9.19.910.4
7.77.67.5
Kangaroos35.036.638.6
2.32.52.7
9.19.19.0
SunsOutOut0.0
17.717.617.4
Power vs MagpiesHomeDrawAway
7:20 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Eagles77.075.874.1
3.63.63.7
Hawks97.0*96.796.4
63.161.259.2
4.34.34.4
Magpies66.776.885.7
10.216.926.3
7.46.76.0
Tigers63.962.561.1
11.410.910.0
7.57.67.6
Crows64.462.561.2
10.39.68.9
7.57.67.7
Kangaroos37.536.334.6
2.72.52.2
Power2.91.10.4
12.112.613.0
Hawks vs DockersHomeDrawAway
3:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Dockers100.0In100.0
99.699.9100.0
1.31.11.1
Eagles72.774.476.2
3.73.73.6
Hawks99.197.795.5
76.663.753.2
3.64.24.7
Magpies79.0*79.279.4
17.920.122.1
6.66.56.5
Bulldogs77.4*77.677.9
16.619.320.9
6.76.66.6
Giants68.0*68.368.5
9.811.512.7
7.47.37.3
Bombers vs DemonsHomeDrawAway
1:40 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bombers1.50.60.3
12.813.313.9
Demons0.10.20.6
14.313.713.2
Lions vs SwansHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Swans98.699.599.8
77.186.291.2
3.53.02.7
Lions0.1Out0.0
16.216.516.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Michael Doyle for adding this league.