Australian Football League Playoff Chances

														100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Chance will finish regular season at seed
	Sunday		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength	6/28

Bombers			20		5	-	0	-	0	270	99.4	%	+0.0	39	27	16	9	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.4	-0.11	3	.667		Essendon Bombers
Cats	W	Lions 27-6	20		5	-	0	-	0	69	98.8		+2.5	31	26	18	11	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.7	+0.75	1	.659		Geelong Cats
Power			16	1	4	-	0	-	0	182	96.4		-0.0	17	20	20	15	10	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3.6	-0.13	7	.627		Port Adelaide Power
Swans			16		4	-	0	-	1	105	89.7		+0.2	6	11	15	17	15	12	9	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5.0	-0.07	8	.595	Blues	Sydney Swans
Hawks			12	1	3	-	0	-	1	140	82.1		+0.3	3	7	11	14	15	13	10	7	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	5.9	-0.05	2	.567		Hawthorn Hawks
Dockers		Kangaroos	12		3	-	0	-	2	11	70.0		+0.4	1	3	6	10	12	13	13	11	9	7	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	7.1	-0.02	5	.532		Fremantle Dockers
Magpies			12		3	-	0	-	2	-34	63.6		+0.5	1	3	5	8	11	12	13	12	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	7.7		4	.532		Collingwood Magpies
Tigers			12		3	-	0	-	2	54	60.9		+0.5	1	2	4	7	10	12	13	12	11	8	6	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	7.9		10	.532		Richmond Tigers

Crows			8	1	2	-	0	-	2	27	47.1		-0.3	0	1	3	5	7	9	11	11	11	10	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	9.0	-0.02	6	.500		Adelaide Crows
Demons			4	1	1	-	0	-	3	-295	16.2		+0.6	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	6	7	9	9	10	10	10	9	8	7	5	12.2	+0.14	14	.436		Melbourne Demons
Suns			4	1	1	-	0	-	3	-68	14.7		+0.3	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	6	7	8	9	10	10	10	9	9	7	6	12.4	+0.10	15	.436		Gold Coast Suns
Bulldogs			4	1	1	-	0	-	3	-79	12.9		+0.2	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	8	9	10	10	10	10	9	8	6	12.6	+0.10	17	.436		Western Bulldogs
Kangaroos		at Dockers	4	1	1	-	0	-	3	4	12.3		+0.2	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	6	8	9	10	10	10	10	10	8	6	12.7	+0.10	11	.436		North Melbourne Kangaroos
Blues			4	1	1	-	0	-	3	-17	12.0		+0.5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	6	8	9	10	10	10	10	10	9	7	12.7	+0.15	9	.436	at Swans	Carlton Blues
Eagles			4	1	1	-	0	-	3	10	12.2		+0.2	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	6	8	9	10	10	10	10	10	9	7	12.8	+0.10	12	.436		West Coast Eagles
Saints			4		1	-	0	-	4	-11	5.3		+0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	6	8	9	11	12	14	15	12	14.2	+0.10	13	.405		St. Kilda Saints
Lions	L	Cats 6-27	4		1	-	0	-	4	-169	5.0		-6.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	6	8	9	11	12	13	15	14	14.2	-1.21	16	.405		Brisbane Lions
Giants			0	1	0	-	0	-	4	-199	1.3		+0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	13	19	37	16.0	+0.09	18	.373		Greater Western Sydney

Week of 4/19
Tigers 79 Magpies 113
2:10 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	-0.4
Hawks	-0.4
Dockers	-0.5
Magpies	+9.7		+1.0
Tigers	-5.0		-0.7
Crows	-0.4
Suns	-0.4
Bulldogs	-0.4
Eagles	-0.4
Saints	-0.4
Lions	-0.4

Hawks 118 Dockers 76
1:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hawks	+9.1		+0.9
Dockers	-8.6		-0.8

Crows 80 Bulldogs 28
2:45 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Crows	+8.0		+0.9
Bulldogs	-7.8		-0.9

Kangaroos 125 Lions 62
4:40 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	+0.5
Hawks	+0.3
Dockers	+0.5
Magpies	+0.5
Tigers	+0.5
Crows	+0.4
Suns	+0.3
Bulldogs	+0.4
Kangaroos	+2.7		+0.8
Saints	+0.3
Lions	-7.5		-0.9

Eagles 68 Blues 89
5:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	+0.4
Hawks	+0.4
Dockers	+0.5
Magpies	+0.5
Crows	+0.4
Suns	+0.4
Bulldogs	+0.4
Blues	+2.5		+0.7
Eagles	-7.4		-0.9
Saints	+0.4
Lions	+0.4

Suns 66 Power 104
7:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Power	+3.2		+0.5
Hawks	+0.2
Dockers	+0.3
Magpies	+0.3
Crows	+0.2
Suns	-5.6		-0.6
Bulldogs	+0.2

Saints 63 Swans 79
7:50 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	+5.4		+0.5
Dockers	-0.2
Crows	-0.2
Saints	-3.7		-0.6

Bombers 121 Magpies 75
2:40 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bombers	+1.3		+0.4
Swans	+0.3
Hawks	+0.2
Dockers	+0.5
Magpies	-5.3		-0.6
Tigers	+0.3
Crows	+0.5
Demons	+0.3
Suns	+0.3
Bulldogs	+0.3
Kangaroos	+0.2
Eagles	+0.2
Saints	+0.2
Lions	+0.2

Saints 91 Bombers 128
4:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bombers	+2.8		+0.5
Swans	+0.2
Hawks	+0.2
Dockers	+0.2
Magpies	+0.3
Crows	+0.2
Saints	-5.0		-0.6

Swans 103 Cats 124
7:50 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cats	+4.2		+0.7
Swans	-4.2		-0.7

Demons 144 Giants 103
1:10 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Demons	+2.6		+0.7
Giants	-1.9		-0.7

Week of 4/26
Dockers 81 Tigers 80
6:40 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dockers	+10.6		+0.9
Tigers	-8.4		-0.8
Crows	-0.4

Blues vs CrowsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dockers	70.5*70.269.7
Magpies	64.2*63.663.2
Tigers	61.6*61.060.4
Crows	36.845.955.1		9.99.18.3
Blues	18.0*11.97.5		11.912.713.4

Hawks vs KangaroosHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hawks	87.181.473.7		5.46.06.8
Kangaroos	8.612.818.6		13.312.611.8

Lions vs DemonsHomeDrawAway
3:12 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Crows	47.5*47.246.7
Demons	10.715.321.1		13.112.211.4
Lions	7.64.72.7		13.514.214.9

Bulldogs vs CatsHomeDrawAway
7:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cats	97.598.799.3		3.22.82.5
Dockers	69.5*69.970.3
Magpies	62.9*63.564.0
Tigers	60.3*60.761.2
Crows	46.5*47.047.4
Bulldogs	20.014.510.0		11.612.313.0

Power vs EaglesHomeDrawAway
7:10 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Power	97.796.193.6		3.33.74.2
Crows	47.3*47.146.6
Eagles	9.213.318.8		13.212.511.8

Giants vs SunsHomeDrawAway
1:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dockers	70.5*70.169.6
Magpies	64.2*63.963.2
Tigers	61.5*61.060.5
Crows	47.7*47.446.7
Suns	9.413.518.9		13.212.511.7
Giants	2.21.20.6		15.416.016.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Australian Football League Playoff Chances

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