Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsTop 4Chance will finish regular season at seed
FridayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Dockers56114-0-2285100.0%99.9%-0.07522200000001.3+0.051.797Fremantle Dockers
Eagles52113-0-3633100.0-0.097.9-0.1245316510000002.1+0.162.747at SunsWest Coast Eagles
HawksLTigers 53-714812-0-574799.8-0.183.9-10.011942221042100003.4-0.573.667Hawthorn Hawks
Swans44111-0-514896.7-0.354.8-3.2042229191274210004.74.648CrowsSydney Swans
TigersWHawks 71-534411-0-615693.2+11.127.5+14.1008202620137421005.6+0.965.619Richmond Tigers
Bulldogs40110-0-68985.7-1.114.1-0.400410182318128520006.4-0.127.599Western Bulldogs
Crows3829-0-68583.1-1.316.5-0.201610151820149530006.6-0.1210.579at SwansAdelaide Crows
Cats3428-0-7-2346.9-0.93.0+0.2001248131817141651008.6-0.046.526LionsGeelong Cats
Giants3619-0-72541.6-2.21.2-0.2001371219222112400008.8-0.1012.549Greater Western Sydney
Kangaroos3619-0-74236.4-2.91.0-0.100136101621231630008.9-0.138.549at BluesNorth Melbourne Kangaroos
Magpies3218-0-819215.9-2.10.2-0.0000124915243410100010.0-0.0911.500DemonsCollingwood Magpies
Power2817-0-9-200.7-0.00.00000125155815410011.9+0.029.451Port Adelaide Power
Saints2416-0-10-1380.0-0.0No0000021342281410013.415.401St. Kilda Saints
Bombers2015-0-11-2970.0No000000422343451014.1-0.0113.352Essendon Bombers
Demons2015-0-11-3240.0No00000318313991014.314.352at MagpiesMelbourne Demons
Blues1213-0-13-568OutNo00013951261016.3+0.0116.253KangaroosCarlton Blues
Suns812-0-14-440OutNo0000216394317.2-0.0118.203EaglesGold Coast Suns
Lions812-0-14-592OutNo0000119334717.2+0.0117.203at CatsBrisbane Lions

Cats and Crows received two points each for cancelled game on 5th July, due to death of Crows coach Phil Walsh.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/31
Hawks 53 Tigers 71
7:50 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Dockers+0.1
Eagles-0.3
+0.1
Hawks-0.1
-7.0
-0.4
Swans-0.3
-3.4
-0.0
Tigers+10.3
+11.8
+0.9
Bulldogs-1.0
-0.7
-0.1
Crows-0.9
-0.1
Cats-2.0
-0.1
Giants-2.2
-0.2
-0.1
Kangaroos-2.2
-0.1
-0.1
Magpies-1.6
-0.1
Power-0.1
Dockers vs GiantsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
2:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
DockersIn*In100.0
100.099.999.6
1.21.31.5
Bulldogs86.684.982.7
14.2*14.213.7
6.46.56.6
Crows84.380.679.4
16.616.216.0
6.56.76.7
Cats48.942.740.9
8.68.78.8
Giants33.754.065.5
0.21.64.3
9.18.37.7
Kangaroos38.134.431.2
8.99.09.1
Magpies16.913.812.7
9.910.110.1
Cats vs LionsHomeDrawAway
1:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs85.087.688.2
14.014.414.4
6.56.36.3
Crows82.484.386.2
16.416.816.8
6.66.56.4
Cats52.631.624.3
3.70.80.5
8.39.29.8
Giants40.145.847.5
8.88.68.5
Kangaroos35.140.141.6
9.08.88.7
Magpies15.018.119.2
10.09.99.8
Blues vs KangaroosHomeDrawAway
7:20 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs88.487.084.9
6.36.46.5
Crows86.083.482.3
6.46.56.6
Cats51.647.245.6
8.58.68.7
Giants46.544.040.2
8.68.78.8
Kangaroos16.230.642.2
0.10.51.3
9.99.28.7
Magpies18.516.215.1
9.810.010.0
Blues15.816.116.4
Bombers vs BulldogsHomeDrawAway
3:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Swans97.296.896.5
58.056.853.6
4.54.64.7
Tigers94.293.492.9
30.028.826.6
5.55.65.7
Bulldogs70.885.491.1
3.410.518.1
7.56.66.0
Cats49.846.645.9
3.5*3.02.8
8.58.68.7
Giants44.941.940.4
8.68.78.8
Kangaroos39.736.735.2
8.88.99.0
Bombers13.614.014.3
Swans vs CrowsHomeDrawAway
4:35 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Swans99.297.993.3
70.857.033.3
4.14.55.5
Tigers93.593.393.0
24.629.031.4
Bulldogs86.385.984.8
12.815.115.8
Crows75.382.393.6
5.911.631.0
7.36.85.6
Cats48.245.945.3
2.72.83.4
Giants43.041.939.7
8.78.78.8
Kangaroos37.636.534.7
8.98.99.0
Magpies vs DemonsHomeDrawAway
2:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Giants40.143.244.2
8.88.78.6
Kangaroos35.137.838.6
9.08.98.8
Magpies21.510.95.8
9.610.310.6
Demons14.614.213.9
Power vs SaintsHomeDrawAway
12:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Power1.20.30.1
11.612.012.3
Saints13.813.513.0
Suns vs EaglesHomeDrawAway
7:20 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Eagles91.695.698.5
2.72.42.0
Suns16.717.117.3
Week of 8/7
Cats vs SwansIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:20 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Hawks86.083.782.6
3.33.43.5
Swans92.697.899.1
34.856.266.8
5.54.64.2
Tigers92.293.693.9
33.528.423.9
5.65.65.7
Bulldogs83.786.186.8
17.414.612.1
Crows80.982.384.5
19.515.514.7
6.66.66.5
Cats66.544.035.2
7.21.50.5
7.68.79.2
Giants37.442.444.1
1.61.31.0
8.98.78.7
Kangaroos32.837.138.5
1.4*1.10.8
9.18.98.9
Magpies13.716.317.2
10.110.09.9
Giants vs BombersHomeDrawAway
3:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs84.586.788.1
6.56.46.3
Crows81.782.986.2
6.66.66.4
Cats44.646.452.3
8.78.68.5
Giants51.038.820.8
1.70.60.1
8.48.99.7
Kangaroos34.337.941.0
9.08.98.8
Magpies14.6*15.818.7
10.110.09.8
BombersOut0.00.0
14.414.013.7
Demons vs KangaroosHomeDrawAway
1:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs88.286.884.5
6.36.46.5
Crows85.8*83.181.9
6.56.66.6
Cats51.346.745.0
8.58.68.7
Giants46.143.339.5
8.68.78.8
Kangaroos17.632.844.9
0.10.51.5
9.89.18.5
Magpies18.3*15.914.8
9.810.010.1
Demons0.0OutOut
13.914.214.6
Crows vs TigersHomeDrawAway
7:20 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Swans57.459.152.4
4.64.64.7
Tigers87.295.498.2
9.626.142.8
6.55.54.9
Crows93.681.974.3
29.311.35.9
5.66.87.3
Bulldogs vs PowerHomeDrawAway
2:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Hawks82.983.785.7
3.53.43.4
Swans96.596.897.1
53.156.657.9
4.74.64.6
Tigers92.8*93.394.0
26.228.729.9
5.75.65.5
Bulldogs92.487.273.3
19.811.63.8
5.96.47.4
Cats45.746.349.2
2.72.93.5
8.78.68.5
Giants40.2*41.644.1
8.88.88.7
Kangaroos35.0*36.338.9
9.08.98.9
Power0.10.51.8
No*No0.0
12.111.911.5
Magpies vs BluesHomeDrawAway
1:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Giants40.643.644.3
8.88.78.6
Kangaroos35.538.138.8
9.08.88.8
Magpies19.79.95.2
9.710.410.7
Blues16.516.115.9
Eagles vs HawksHomeDrawAway
5:40 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Eagles99.598.095.4
1.82.22.6
Hawks76.285.195.2
3.93.42.8
Swans56.355.252.7
4.64.64.8
Tigers29.328.025.0
5.65.65.7
Crows17.614.614.9
6.56.66.6
Saints vs DockersHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Dockers100.0*InIn
99.499.9100.0
1.61.31.2
Saints12.913.213.5
Lions vs SunsHomeDrawAway
4:35 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Suns17.717.316.8
Lions16.817.317.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Michael Doyle for adding this league.