Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsTop 4Chance will finish regular season at seed
4/18PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
CrowsWDemons 80-55123-0-012992.4%+9.070.5%+14.827191411865322111000003.7+1.233.595Adelaide Crows
SwansWGiants 111-90123-0-08191.7+11.269.0+17.825191411865432111000003.8+1.492.595Sydney Swans
Bulldogs812-0-02982.0+0.650.9-1.7131413111087654322111005.2-0.061.564at HawksWestern Bulldogs
Dockers812-0-05179.0+0.346.7-2.3111212111097654332111005.6-0.097.564at EaglesFremantle Dockers
GiantsLSwans 90-11182-0-13365.0-15.529.2-21.95789999876554321107.2-1.914.532Greater Western Sydney
Magpies82-0-15964.1-0.228.7-2.55789999877654322107.3-0.089.532Collingwood Magpies
BombersWBlues 105-8482-0-11162.0+18.526.9+10.94689999887654322107.5+1.925.532Essendon Bombers
TigersWLions 137-5882-0-18760.6+18.525.8+10.54678999887654332107.6+1.9310.532Richmond Tigers
Hawks411-0-16043.4-0.814.4-2.02345678888877654329.4-0.0512.500BulldogsHawthorn Hawks
Eagles411-0-15940.1-1.412.8-2.12345677888887654329.7-0.098.500DockersWest Coast Eagles
KangaroosLPower 105-11341-0-2-324.2-19.55.6-10.501223456788999886411.5-2.1013.468North Melbourne Kangaroos
DemonsLCrows 55-8041-0-2-4422.6-16.55.1-8.501223456778999987511.7-1.8211.468Melbourne Demons
Saints41-0-2-5522.5-0.35.0-0.801223456778999987511.7+0.1114.468St. Kilda Saints
PowerWKangaroos 113-10541-0-2-4721.2+10.64.7+2.601123455678999987511.9+1.976.468Port Adelaide Power
Cats010-0-2-10610.2-0.41.7-0.40011122345678101112131313.7+0.1115.436SunsGeelong Cats
Suns010-0-2-549.9-0.41.7-0.40011122345678101112131413.8+0.1218.436at CatsGold Coast Suns
BluesLBombers 84-10500-0-3-1174.7-6.50.6-1.7000011122345781114182415.0-1.2616.405Carlton Blues
LionsLTigers 58-13700-0-3-1734.4-7.20.5-1.8000001122345781114172415.0-1.4017.405Brisbane Lions

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/17
Kangaroos 105 Power 113
7:20 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Crows+0.2
+0.5
Swans+0.3
+0.5
Bulldogs+0.2
+0.5
Dockers+0.3
+0.4
Giants+0.3
+0.5
Magpies+0.4
+0.4
Bombers+0.4
+0.2
Tigers+0.4
+0.2
Hawks+0.4
+0.3
Eagles+0.4
+0.3
Kangaroos-9.5
-5.5
-1.1
Demons+0.4
+0.2
Saints+0.3
Power+4.7
+1.3
+0.9
Cats+0.2
Suns+0.2
Blues+0.2
Lions+0.2
Magpies 140 Saints 66
7:50 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Magpies+8.9
+5.6
+1.0
Saints-8.8
-5.0
-1.0
Blues 84 Bombers 105
1:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Crows-0.2
-0.4
Swans-0.2
-0.3
Bulldogs-0.2
-0.4
Dockers-0.2
-0.4
Giants-0.2
-0.4
Magpies-0.3
-0.3
Bombers+7.4
+4.4
+0.8
Tigers-0.3
-0.2
Hawks-0.3
-0.2
Eagles-0.3
-0.2
Kangaroos-0.3
-0.2
Demons-0.3
-0.2
Saints-0.3
Power-0.2
Blues-3.8
-1.0
-0.7
Lions-0.2
Crows 80 Demons 55
1:40 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Crows+5.0
+7.8
+0.7
Swans+0.2
-0.4
Bulldogs-0.4
Dockers+0.2
-0.4
Giants+0.2
-0.4
Magpies+0.2
-0.4
Bombers+0.2
-0.2
Tigers+0.2
-0.2
Hawks+0.2
-0.3
Eagles+0.2
-0.2
Kangaroos+0.2
-0.2
Demons-7.4
-4.4
-0.8
Lions 58 Tigers 137
7:20 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Crows-0.2
-0.3
Swans-0.2
-0.4
Bulldogs-0.2
-0.3
Dockers-0.2
-0.3
Giants-0.2
-0.3
Magpies-0.3
-0.3
Bombers-0.3
-0.2
Tigers+7.4
+4.2
+0.8
Hawks-0.3
-0.2
Eagles-0.3
-0.2
Kangaroos-0.3
-0.2
Demons-0.3
-0.2
Saints-0.2
Blues-0.2
Lions-3.9
-1.1
-0.7
Swans 111 Giants 90
4:35 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Swans+6.0
+9.3
+0.8
Giants-6.1
-9.3
-0.8
Hawks vs BulldogsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
1:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs75.2*82.087.3
40.950.158.8
6.15.34.5
Hawks53.344.235.7
20.514.49.7
8.39.310.2
Eagles vs DockersHomeDrawAway
2:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Dockers71.678.984.8
36.945.754.4
6.45.64.9
Eagles49.940.832.5
18.412.78.5
8.79.610.5
Cats vs SunsHomeDrawAway
3:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Cats14.09.76.4
2.61.50.9
12.913.714.5
Suns6.29.413.7
0.91.52.6
14.513.813.0
Week of 4/24
Bombers vs MagpiesIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
2:40 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Magpies55.564.572.8
20.728.236.6
8.27.26.4
Bombers70.862.453.2
34.626.419.2
6.67.58.4
Tigers vs DemonsHomeDrawAway
7:50 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs50.551.251.5
Dockers46.346.947.3
Tigers68.359.750.7
31.824.418.1
6.87.78.6
Demons16.422.830.6
3.05.07.9
12.511.610.7
Power vs HawksHomeDrawAway
7:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Hawks34.042.651.6
9.413.518.9
10.39.48.5
Power28.421.014.8
7.04.42.7
10.911.812.7
Giants vs SunsHomeDrawAway
5:40 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Crows92.392.492.5
69.970.771.3
Swans91.691.891.9
68.569.269.8
Bulldogs81.882.182.3
50.351.251.8
Dockers78.879.179.3
46.147.047.6
Giants71.963.955.1
35.227.520.7
6.57.38.2
Magpies63.864.264.6
28.128.829.4
Bombers61.762.162.4
26.427.127.6
Tigers60.360.761.0
25.325.926.5
Suns6.610.014.8
0.91.62.9
14.413.712.9
Lions vs EaglesHomeDrawAway
1:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Magpies64.864.363.7
29.128.828.4
Tigers61.260.860.2
26.225.925.5
Hawks44.043.542.9
14.714.514.2
Eagles30.438.246.8
8.011.516.2
10.89.99.0
Lions7.14.42.6
1.00.50.2
14.314.915.5
Cats vs KangaroosHomeDrawAway
3:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos17.023.230.6
3.25.07.8
12.411.610.6
Cats14.49.96.5
2.71.60.9
12.913.714.4
Saints vs BluesHomeDrawAway
1:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Saints28.121.215.3
6.94.42.7
10.911.812.7
Blues2.74.57.2
0.30.51.0
15.614.914.2
Dockers vs SwansHomeDrawAway
6:40 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Swans88.092.195.0
60.069.277.0
4.53.83.2
Dockers85.580.073.3
56.547.338.1
4.75.56.3
Bulldogs vs CrowsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Crows88.992.795.4
61.670.678.3
4.33.73.1
Bulldogs87.983.076.8
60.851.742.3
4.45.15.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Michael Doyle for adding this league.