Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SaturdayPGW-L-TGD%Change123456789Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
Edmonton814-1-07997.9%+0.14220199531102.3-0.171.617Edmonton Eskimos
Toronto623-1-01594.1+0.724301215864203.0+0.083.578at HamiltonToronto Argonauts
CalgaryWMontreal 25-2284-2-0-1193.7+10.3181326171284203.4+0.804.578Calgary Stampeders
Ottawa613-2-0-2287.4+1.2820142212118404.0+0.082.539Ottawa RedBlacks
Winnipeg63-3-0-4069.5+0.7221192421181215.5-0.157.500Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Hamilton422-2-03168.5+2.1499141617161515.2+0.116.500TorontoHamilton Tiger Cats
MontrealLCalgary 22-25412-3-01348.1-16.614491218232726.2-0.765.461Montreal Alouettes
BC412-3-0-1840.6+1.412451218243416.5-0.018.461B. C. Lions
Saskatchewan00-6-0-470.2+0.000000014958.9+0.019.267Saskatchewan Roughriders

The CFL playoffs begin in early November with the top team from each division having an automatic home berth in the division final, and a bye week during the division semifinal. The second-place team from each division hosts the third-place team in the division semifinal, unless a fourth-place team from one division finishes with a better record than a third place team in the other. (This provision is known as the crossover rule.)

Stats are usually updated immediately upon a game's completion.
Please let me know if you see anything wrong: desmond dot smith at shaw dot ca.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/30
Winnipeg 23 BC 13
8:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Edmonton-0.1
Calgary-0.2
Ottawa-0.1
Winnipeg+11.0
+0.5
Hamilton-0.2
Montreal-0.3
BC-10.1
-0.5
Calgary 25 Montreal 22
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Edmonton+0.1
-0.0
Toronto+0.1
+0.0
Calgary+5.9
+0.4
Ottawa+0.3
+0.0
Winnipeg+0.6
-0.0
Hamilton+0.3
+0.0
Montreal-7.6
-0.4
BC+0.3
Edmonton 30 Saskatchewan 5
9:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Edmonton+1.2
+0.1
Toronto-0.1
-0.0
Calgary-0.1
-0.0
Ottawa-0.1
Winnipeg-0.1
-0.0
Hamilton-0.2
Montreal-0.1
BC-0.2
-0.0
Saskatchewan-0.3
-0.0
Hamilton vs TorontoIf winner is:HomeTieAway
7:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Edmonton97.8*98.098.0
Toronto90.994.697.1
3.42.92.5
Calgary93.393.594.1
Ottawa86.8*87.588.0
Winnipeg68.470.070.5
Hamilton77.069.060.5
4.75.25.7
Montreal46.546.849.6
BC39.1*40.442.0
Week of 8/6
Hamilton vs WinnipegIf winner is:HomeTieAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Edmonton98.0*97.997.8
Toronto3.02.92.9
Calgary93.793.493.8
3.43.43.5
Ottawa4.03.93.9
Winnipeg60.570.781.6
5.85.44.9
Hamilton77.5*68.556.3
4.85.35.8
Montreal47.947.248.4
BC40.7*40.640.5
Ottawa vs MontrealHomeTieAway
7:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto94.3*94.193.6
3.02.92.9
Calgary94.0*93.893.2
Ottawa92.386.378.6
3.64.14.6
Winnipeg70.468.568.0
Hamilton69.1*68.767.5
Montreal40.550.161.6
6.56.15.6
BC41.3*40.639.4
BC vs EdmontonHomeTieAway
10:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Edmonton96.198.199.1
2.72.42.1
Toronto93.593.894.4
Calgary93.093.894.2
3.43.43.5
Ottawa86.187.188.2
Winnipeg67.168.771.1
Hamilton66.668.269.8
Montreal45.947.649.6
6.26.26.1
BC51.442.433.2
6.16.56.8
Toronto vs SaskatchewanHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Edmonton97.998.098.0
Toronto95.192.689.0
2.83.23.6
Calgary93.6*93.794.0
Ottawa87.387.687.8
4.03.93.8
Winnipeg69.369.870.3
Hamilton68.3*68.669.4
5.25.25.1
Montreal47.948.349.2
6.26.26.1
BC40.441.241.5
Saskatchewan0.10.30.7
9.08.98.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Desmond Smith for adding this league.