Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SaturdayPGW-L-TGD%Change123456789Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
OttawaWBC 27-1642-0-01594.4%+8.940112161153212.8+0.901.578Ottawa RedBlacks
Toronto211-0-01583.7+0.219722817117634.1-0.196.539at SaskatchewanToronto Argonauts
Hamilton21-1-02571.2+0.9941671916111085.1-0.115.500Hamilton Tiger Cats
Calgary21-1-0-1769.8+1.2821717710111084.7+0.144.500Calgary Stampeders
Winnipeg21-1-0-2269.3+1.382261869121184.7+0.147.500Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Montreal21-1-01467.5+1.6731562017121195.4-0.072.500Montreal Alouettes
BCLOttawa 16-27010-1-0-1150.2-18.13125147101416195.9-1.133.461B. C. Lions
Edmonton010-1-0-1548.7+2.13114136101417206.0+0.168.461Edmonton Eskimos
Saskatchewan010-1-0-445.2+2.0394127111418236.2+0.158.461TorontoSaskatchewan Roughriders

The CFL playoffs begin in early November with the top team from each division having an automatic home berth in the division final, and a bye week during the division semifinal. The second-place team from each division hosts the third-place team in the division semifinal, unless a fourth-place team from one division finishes with a better record than a third place team in the other. (This provision is known as the crossover rule.)

Stats are usually updated immediately upon a game's completion.
Please let me know if you see anything wrong: desmond dot smith at shaw dot ca.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/2
Winnipeg 26 Hamilton 52
8:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ottawa-0.7
-0.1
Toronto-0.6
-0.1
Hamilton+11.4
+0.6
Calgary-0.4
+0.1
Winnipeg-7.4
-0.6
Montreal-0.9
-0.1
BC-0.4
+0.1
Edmonton-0.5
Saskatchewan-0.5
Montreal 29 Calgary 11
7:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ottawa-0.4
Toronto-0.5
Hamilton-0.7
Calgary-5.9
-0.5
Winnipeg-0.5
Montreal+9.2
+0.5
BC-0.4
+0.1
Edmonton-0.4
Saskatchewan-0.4
Ottawa 27 BC 16
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ottawa+4.3
+0.4
Toronto+0.1
-0.1
Hamilton+0.1
-0.0
Calgary+0.3
+0.0
Winnipeg+0.3
+0.0
Montreal+0.2
-0.0
BC-5.9
-0.4
Edmonton+0.3
+0.0
Saskatchewan+0.3
+0.0
Saskatchewan vs TorontoIf winner is:HomeTieAway
3:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ottawa94.2*94.494.5
2.72.72.9
Toronto77.584.489.6
4.64.13.6
Hamilton70.8*71.371.6
5.15.15.2
Calgary69.2*69.870.3
4.84.74.6
Winnipeg68.868.869.8
4.84.74.7
Montreal67.1*67.467.9
5.35.45.4
BC49.750.050.6
Edmonton48.149.049.3
6.16.06.0
Saskatchewan54.544.936.5
5.76.36.7
Week of 7/9
BC vs SaskatchewanIf winner is:HomeTieAway
10:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BC58.548.238.9
5.56.16.6
Saskatchewan36.846.256.6
6.76.25.6
Winnipeg vs MontrealHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ottawa94.494.294.3
2.72.82.8
Toronto83.8*83.883.6
4.04.14.2
Hamilton71.271.071.3
5.15.15.2
Calgary4.84.74.6
Winnipeg76.868.059.1
4.34.85.3
Montreal60.069.377.6
5.85.34.8
BC50.149.950.2
6.05.95.9
Edmonton48.7*48.648.8
6.16.06.0
Saskatchewan6.36.26.2
Edmonton vs OttawaHomeTieAway
9:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ottawa91.294.796.9
3.22.82.5
Toronto83.283.584.2
4.04.14.1
Hamilton70.5*71.271.9
Calgary68.9*69.670.5
4.84.74.7
Winnipeg68.3*69.370.0
4.84.74.7
Montreal66.6*67.668.2
BC49.150.051.0
6.06.05.9
Edmonton58.149.141.3
5.56.06.4
Saskatchewan44.2*45.146.0
6.36.26.2
Calgary vs TorontoHomeTieAway
9:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ottawa94.3*94.494.5
2.72.82.9
Toronto78.484.989.9
4.54.13.6
Hamilton71.0*71.471.5
5.15.15.2
Calgary77.369.461.0
4.24.85.3
Winnipeg69.0*69.169.7
4.84.74.6
Montreal67.267.267.9
5.35.45.5
BC49.849.850.6
6.05.95.9
Edmonton48.3*48.649.2
6.16.06.0
Saskatchewan44.8*45.045.7
6.36.26.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Desmond Smith for adding this league.