Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGW-L-TGD%Change123456789Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
Calgary147-2-06599.9%-0.05718168000001.81.694Calgary Stampeders
Hamilton126-3-013398.8-0.2152917141871003.2-0.136.617Hamilton Tiger Cats
Edmonton126-3-07398.8-0.115103734211003.1+0.012.617Edmonton Eskimos
Toronto126-3-0-798.6-0.3123017181571003.2-0.124.617Toronto Argonauts
OttawaWSaskatchewan 35-13105-4-0-4892.3+5.021181738166204.6+0.385.539Ottawa RedBlacks
Montreal84-5-02071.8+0.30335194120805.9-0.033.461BCMontreal Alouettes
Winnipeg63-6-0-10521.1-2.20001515354317.2-0.037.383Winnipeg Blue Bombers
BC613-5-0-5518.7-2.50003312354607.2-0.068.422at MontrealB. C. Lions
SaskatchewanLOttawa 13-3500-9-0-760.0-0.00000001999.0-0.019.150Saskatchewan Roughriders

The CFL playoffs begin in early November with the top team from each division having an automatic home berth in the division final, and a bye week during the division semifinal. The second-place team from each division hosts the third-place team in the division semifinal, unless a fourth-place team from one division finishes with a better record than a third place team in the other. (This provision is known as the crossover rule.)

Stats are usually updated immediately upon a game's completion.
Please let me know if you see anything wrong: desmond dot smith at shaw dot ca.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/27
Hamilton 23 Montreal 26
7:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Calgary-0.1
+0.1
Hamilton-0.5
-0.5
Edmonton-0.8
Toronto-0.1
+0.2
Ottawa-3.0
-0.0
Montreal+15.3
+0.4
Winnipeg-6.1
-0.1
BC-4.7
-0.1
Winnipeg 8 Calgary 36
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Calgary+0.4
+0.2
Hamilton+0.2
-0.0
Edmonton+0.1
-0.0
Toronto+0.2
-0.0
Ottawa+1.3
Montreal+2.8
+0.0
Winnipeg-6.1
-0.2
BC+1.1
+0.0
Edmonton 38 Toronto 15
9:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hamilton+0.1
Edmonton+2.4
+0.4
Toronto-0.4
-0.4
Ottawa-0.2
Montreal-0.3
Winnipeg-0.5
BC-1.0
-0.1
Ottawa 35 Saskatchewan 13
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hamilton-0.0
Edmonton-0.1
Toronto-0.0
Ottawa+2.1
+0.1
Montreal-0.4
-0.0
Winnipeg-0.7
-0.0
BC-0.7
-0.0
Week of 9/3
Montreal vs BCIf winner is:HomeTieAway
7:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hamilton99.098.998.5
3.23.13.1
Edmonton98.998.998.7
Toronto98.798.698.3
3.33.23.2
Ottawa92.291.692.4
Montreal82.974.554.1
5.55.96.4
Winnipeg19.419.923.8
7.17.27.2
BC9.017.534.2
7.47.26.8
Saskatchewan vs WinnipegHomeTieAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hamilton99.098.898.7
Edmonton99.098.998.7
Toronto98.998.798.5
Ottawa93.993.491.7
Montreal77.075.569.9
5.85.85.9
Winnipeg11.714.824.6
7.57.37.1
BC20.519.918.0
7.07.17.2
Saskatchewan0.10.00.0
Hamilton vs TorontoHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hamilton99.599.097.8
2.73.23.8
Toronto97.999.099.5
3.73.12.6
Montreal71.771.472.0
5.95.95.8
Winnipeg21.221.020.9
BC18.618.518.8
Calgary vs EdmontonHomeTieAway
4:30 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Calgary100.0100.099.8
1.51.82.3
Edmonton98.399.299.7
3.43.02.5
Montreal71.9*71.971.7
Winnipeg21.221.021.0
BC18.918.218.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Desmond Smith for adding this league.