Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGW-L-TGD%Change123456789Avg.ChangeRPIStrength9/29
CalgaryWSaskatchewan 15-923111-1-1173In+0.0955001.1+0.091.803Montreal 0-0 (9:30 pm ET)Calgary Stampeders
Winnipeg1829-3-05699.9%+0.158905003.0-0.082.692Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Toronto1216-7-0-496.9+0.272025000302.7+0.017.470Toronto Argonauts
Edmonton1427-5-0-2792.7+0.705059297005.3+0.114.564Edmonton Eskimos
Ottawa115-8-13390.9+0.826065000803.8+0.046.413Saskatchewan 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Ottawa RedBlacks
SaskatchewanLCalgary 9-151226-6-04482.7-6.1000325016105.9-0.193.500Ottawa 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Saskatchewan Roughriders
BC1216-7-0324.6+5.31042075106.7+0.065.470B. C. Lions
Hamilton623-9-0-16310.4-1.02800047428.0-0.058.308Hamilton Tiger Cats
Montreal613-10-0-1151.9-0.10200140588.5+0.019.288Calgary 0-0 (9:30 pm ET)Montreal Alouettes

The CFL playoffs begin in early November with the top team from each division having an automatic home berth in the division final, and a bye week during the division semifinal. The second-place team from each division hosts the third-place team in the division semifinal, unless a fourth-place team from one division finishes with a better record than a third place team in the other. (This provision is known as the crossover rule.)

Stats are usually updated immediately upon a game's completion.
Please let me know if you see anything wrong: DESMOND dot SMITH at SHAW dot CA.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/22
BC 23 Hamilton 24
11:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Winnipeg+0.1
Toronto-1.9
-0.1
Edmonton+8.3
+0.1
Ottawa-2.7
-0.1
Saskatchewan+10.1
+0.1
BC-18.5
-0.3
Hamilton+5.2
+0.4
Montreal-0.6
-0.1
Toronto 33 Montreal 19
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto+7.3
+0.5
Ottawa+1.0
-0.1
Saskatchewan+0.1
Hamilton-1.4
-0.0
Montreal-6.9
-0.4
Saskatchewan 9 Calgary 15
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CalgaryIn
+0.1
Winnipeg-0.1
Edmonton+0.1
+0.1
Saskatchewan-2.7
-0.1
BC+2.6
+0.0
Winnipeg 29 Ottawa 9
8:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Calgary-0.0
Winnipeg+0.3
+0.1
Toronto+0.3
+0.1
Edmonton-0.1
-0.0
Ottawa-1.1
-0.2
BC-0.3
-0.0
Hamilton+0.3
Montreal+0.5
+0.0
Week of 9/29
Ottawa vs SaskatchewanIf winner is:HomeTieAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto96.197.597.6
2.92.52.4
Edmonton93.293.792.2
5.25.25.4
Ottawa96.786.885.8
3.44.24.3
Saskatchewan73.975.891.0
6.16.05.7
BC32.830.616.9
6.66.66.8
Hamilton6.712.813.6
8.17.87.8
Montreal0.62.93.1
Hamilton vs TorontoHomeTieAway
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto92.099.6100.0
3.22.42.3
Ottawa86.287.194.1
3.84.13.9
Hamilton20.111.34.1
7.47.98.3
Montreal8.68.58.4
Edmonton vs WinnipegHomeTieAway
9:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Calgary1.01.11.1
Winnipeg99.8100.0100.0
3.33.02.9
Edmonton96.992.589.6
5.05.45.5
Saskatchewan81.581.883.7
6.05.95.8
BC21.725.726.6
Calgary vs MontrealHomeTieAway
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Calgary1.11.31.3
Winnipeg3.02.92.9
Toronto96.996.396.3
Ottawa91.491.386.1
3.83.84.1
Saskatchewan82.8*82.882.3
BC24.5*24.424.8
Hamilton10.4*10.39.7
7.98.08.1
Montreal1.42.38.1
8.58.48.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Desmond Smith for adding this league.