Denver Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.03 to 4.4%
2-4-0   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Broncos 20 LA Rams 23 -3.0
-0.8
+1.3
-0.6
Dolphins 31 Bears 28 -0.3
-0.1
Cowboys 40 Jaguars 7 +0.2
+0.1
Browns 14 LA Chargers 38 -0.2
-0.2
-0.1
NY Jets 42 Colts 34 -0.1
-0.2
Patriots 43 Chiefs 40 +0.6
+0.1
-0.0
Falcons 34 Buccaneers 29 +0.2
NY Giants 13 Eagles 34 -0.2
Vikings 27 Cardinals 17 -0.1
Texans 20 Bills 13 -0.1
+0.0
Titans 0 Ravens 21 -0.1
Raiders 3 Seahawks 27 -0.1
+0.1
Packers 33 49ers 30 -0.1
Bengals 21 Steelers 28 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Cardinals vs Broncos-2.1-0.4+2.1
-0.7-0.3+0.7
+2.3-0.1-2.3
-0.6+0.0+0.6
NY Jets vs Vikings-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
LA Chargers vs Titans-0.2*-0.0+0.3
-0.2-0.0+0.3
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Dolphins vs Lions-0.2*+0.0+0.2
Bears vs Patriots+0.2+0.1-0.2
Chiefs vs Bengals-0.0-0.1+0.1
-0.4*+0.0+0.6
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Ravens vs Saints-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Buccaneers vs Browns+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Jaguars vs Texans+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Colts vs Bills+0.1+0.1-0.1
Falcons vs NY Giants-0.2+0.4+0.3
49ers vs LA Rams+0.3+0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Broncos finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516PickCount
1210-0-0In91.3%56313090No59,228
11.59-0-1In80.5443250190No7,211
119-1-099.9%66.0153317131300No583,414
8-0-299.872.518381512520No530
10.58-1-199.447.672217243910No87,449
7-0-3In36.826115311No19
108-2-091.131.41718533268100No3,538,615
7-1-291.934.2191953424710No5,825
6-0-4InNo100No2
9.57-2-175.515.602952337195000No465,213
6-1-378.614.337528361731No210
5-0-5InNo100No1
97-3-034.77.90034621302492000No12,552,866
6-2-235.47.700346223123910No26,617
5-1-425.0No131325251313No8
8.56-3-111.22.2012182434237100No1,436,749
5-2-312.52.3121923332381No896
86-4-01.80.9001015173028133000No28,904,367
5-3-21.70.80101517312813300No70,742
4-2-4OutNo29213388No24
7.55-4-10.10.1000014183329122000No2,821,797
4-3-30.20.100051634311130No1,881
75-5-00.00.0000000314303217400No45,156,373
4-4-20.00.0000314303217400No114,737
3-3-4OutNo7374177No27
6.54-5-10.00.0000031534331420No3,650,109
3-4-3OutNo0021334341420No2,511
64-6-00.00.0000031634321220.0%48,472,257
3-5-2OutNo003163532122No118,281
2-4-4OutNo321313410No29
5.53-6-1OutNo000522402750.03,117,083
2-5-3OutNo052341284No1,856
53-7-0OutNo00193142180.535,310,467
2-6-2OutNo0183042180.675,018
1-5-4OutNo10205020No10
4.52-7-1OutNo0021746356.91,695,853
1-6-3OutNo021947326.5788
42-8-0OutNo007385515.016,717,729
1-7-2OutNo007365716.327,152
0-6-4OutNo406060.05
3.51-8-1OutNo002237548.9532,065
0-7-3OutNo1287146.9162
31-9-0OutNo00128761.64,642,559
0-8-2OutNo0108964.44,180
2.50-9-1OutNo049689.573,461
20-10-0OutNo019993.6592,456
Total:4.4%1.4%00101234681012141514113.1%210,868,832
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/11100.0*Lottery seed
Broncos 20 LA Rams 23 +1.4
Patriots 43 Chiefs 40 +0.1
Titans 0 Ravens 21 -0.1
Browns 14 LA Chargers 38 -0.1
NY Jets 42 Colts 34 -0.1
Texans 20 Bills 13 -0.1
Bengals 21 Steelers 28 +0.1
Dolphins 31 Bears 28 +0.1
Raiders 3 Seahawks 27 +0.0
Vikings 27 Cardinals 17 +0.0
Cowboys 40 Jaguars 7 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals vs Broncos+1.8+0.6-1.8
LA Chargers vs Titans-0.1+0.1+0.2
49ers vs LA Rams+0.1+0.1-0.1
Jaguars vs Texans+0.1+0.1-0.1
Ravens vs Saints-0.0+0.0+0.1
Buccaneers vs Browns+0.0+0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs Vikings-0.0+0.0+0.1
Chiefs vs Bengals-0.0+0.0+0.1
Redskins vs Cowboys-0.0+0.1+0.0
Falcons vs NY Giants+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1210-0-01442265300900
11.59-0-17372395001900
119-1-01151221143102833000
8-0-20181523114123220
10.58-1-107517125103679010
7-0-32611371611
108-2-001076134117162438100
7-1-2108613411617223710
6-0-45050
9.57-2-10021832716298185100
6-1-33343211172881650
5-0-5100
97-3-00000313057143521720000
6-2-200031315715342182000
5-1-41313382513
8.56-3-100101011710242818720000
5-2-31011189232719820
86-4-0000010001291924201373100000
5-3-20010012919242114731000
4-2-482117251784
7.55-4-1000000002817242416720000
4-3-300003817232514720
75-5-000000000015122023191252000000
4-4-20000151219231912621000
3-3-441542630777
6.54-5-10000014112126221141000
3-4-300141121282011310
64-6-0000001391825221462000
3-5-200139182523146200
2-4-4142410281473
5.53-6-10001515272817610
2-5-30161627281660
53-7-00000161628281650
2-6-200151527291751
1-5-4105040
4.52-7-1000172236267
1-6-3292537226
42-8-0000313323715
1-7-200212313816
0-6-4202060
3.51-8-1001104049
0-7-312114047
31-9-000053362
0-8-20053164
2.50-9-1001089
20-10-00694
Total:00000000011133343345555677676653