Denver Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
Broncos vs Seahawks+6.3-1.5-8.3
+4.6-1.1-6.0
+0.7-0.1-1.0
Raiders vs LA Rams-1.0*+0.3+1.3
-1.6+0.6+2.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars+0.3*+0.1-0.4
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Lions vs NY Jets+0.3*-0.1-0.4
Ravens vs Bills+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Colts vs Bengals-0.1*+0.1+0.1
LA Chargers vs Chiefs+0.1+0.6-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
Broncos vs Raiders+9.0-2.0-11.9
+7.8-2.0-10.2
+1.0-0.2-1.4
Steelers vs Chiefs+0.7*-0.3-0.9
+1.7*-0.2-2.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers+0.5*-0.1-0.7
+1.5*-0.0-2.0
Redskins vs Colts+0.3*-0.1-0.4
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Saints vs Browns+0.2*-0.0-0.3
NY Jets vs Dolphins+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Titans vs Texans-0.1*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Broncos finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516Count
15.5-16InYes100963*
1515-1-0InYes10002,170*
14.514-1-1InYes100450
1414-2-0In100.0%991016,139*
13.513-2-1In99.898203,217*
1313-3-0In99.594500077,120
12-2-2In99.39541302*
12.512-3-1In98.989900114,249*
1212-4-0In96.776191030254,551
11-3-2In97.076202031,149
11.511-4-1In93.86229406043,355
10-3-3In95.472222565
1111-5-0100.0%86.7383711113100622,169
10-4-2In87.637381211213,438*
10.510-5-199.978.419372031920097,124
9-4-399.479.214451641641173
1010-6-098.163.8623269241020001,155,589
9-5-298.465.162427824101006,902*
9.59-6-192.649.219241524206100163,761
8-5-393.553.61112813202061321*
99-7-068.932.7021218132319930001,662,182
8-6-269.532.90212181224208200010,499*
8.58-7-137.218.903153152623113000211,215
7-6-334.719.341651029221041398
88-8-014.69.600191413222317820001,875,816
7-7-214.79.80191413222416820011,984*
7.57-8-13.73.5030028202823113000211,527
6-7-34.64.141182227241120390
77-9-01.31.30100027162425177101,663,276
6-8-21.21.2100261625251771010,496*
6.56-9-10.20.2000031125312171162,919
5-8-3OutNo114253018111292
66-10-00.10.1000131125322261,154,660
5-9-20.10.100131124322366,890*
5.55-10-10.00.000021029391997,054
4-9-3OutNo10294119144
55-11-00.00.000004174138622,379
4-10-2OutNo031642383,358*
4.54-11-1OutNo006336143,501
3-10-3OutNo6355968
44-12-0OutNo0022276255,228
3-11-2OutNo0219791,226
3.53-12-1OutNo00108913,989*
33-13-0OutNo069476,805
2-12-2OutNo694315
2.52-13-1OutNo2983,197*
22-14-0OutNo19916,138*
1.51-14-1OutNo0100425
11-15-0OutNo01002,055*
0-0.5OutNo100975*
Total:37.5%25.0%666666666666666610,582,608

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Broncos vs Seahawks-1.8+0.3+2.3
Raiders vs LA Rams+0.1-0.0-0.1
Colts vs Bengals+0.1+0.0-0.1
Patriots vs Texans+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Vikings vs 49ers+0.1+0.0-0.1
Ravens vs Bills-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins-0.0*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Broncos vs Raiders-2.0+0.4+2.6
Steelers vs Chiefs-0.1+0.0+0.1
Titans vs Texans+0.1-0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs Dolphins-0.1-0.0+0.1
Bears vs Seahawks+0.0*-0.0-0.1
49ers vs Lions-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-010000
14.514-1-11000
1414-2-098110
13.513-2-195220
1313-3-086850000
12-2-288741
12.512-3-1771290001
1212-4-05323191100300
11-3-25323190203
11.511-4-13329262400600
10-3-338342225
1111-5-01226289100101211000
10-4-21226281011111111
10.510-5-12171917182301722000
9-4-341027181413113341
1010-6-00661717981169912000
9-5-206717189801589110
9.59-6-101099151329151736100
8-5-3111191910371317361
99-7-000221010821111121510510000
8-6-2002210108210111314104100
8.58-7-1003511031141120181031000
7-6-3441215191121199410
88-8-000011701042611151614116310000
7-7-201181042612151614107310
7.57-8-10030000026132124189310000
6-7-3141271422201612310
77-9-000100000125101417171510621000
6-8-210002510141618151052100
6.56-9-10000139182422146200
5-8-3003916272114820
66-10-000000251017212015720
5-9-2000151017222015720
5.55-10-1000139212925112
4-9-3121020302781
55-11-0000002819302812
4-10-2002719312813
4.54-11-10015204133
3-10-31255024
44-12-00002103553
3-11-201113553
3.53-12-10022276
33-13-0011387
2-12-211386
2.52-13-10496
22-14-00298
1.51-14-1100
11-15-00100
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333