Denver Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.006 to 68.5%
3-1-0   .750

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*Average seed
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 -1.0
-0.1
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 +1.0
-0.9
-0.1
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 -0.8
+0.6
-0.0
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 +0.6
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 -0.5
Bengals 20 Bills 16 +0.2
+1.0
Colts 26 49ers 23 *-0.2
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*Average seed
Broncos vs NY Giants+3.6-3.3-12.4
+1.4-3.1-4.6
+0.3-0.3-0.9
Texans vs Browns-0.5*+0.7+1.7
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Ravens vs Bears-0.5*+0.3+1.1
-0.1*-0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Raiders vs LA Chargers-0.6*+0.9+1.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Chiefs vs Steelers+0.4*+0.0-0.8
-0.6*+0.0+1.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Falcons vs Dolphins+0.2*+0.1-0.7
Jaguars vs LA Rams-0.2*+0.3+0.4
-0.5*+0.2+1.0
Titans vs Colts-0.2*+0.5+0.4
NY Jets vs Patriots+0.2*+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Broncos finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inFirstChance will finish regular season at seedFirst
TWW-L-TplayoffsSeed12345678910111213141516PickCount
14.5-15InYes100No3,520*
1411-1-0In96.8%9703No31,153
10-0-2InYes100No21
13.510-1-1In91.99226No2,806
9-0-3InYes100No2
1310-2-0In78.7797014No144,263
9-1-2In78.3788113No106
12.59-2-1In60.360111028No11,935
129-3-0In39.8401830400No396,082
8-2-2In37.337222038No437
11.58-3-1In20.1201740580No29,268
7-2-3InNo431443No7
118-4-099.9%8.48148166300No712,677
7-3-2In8.691181684No923
10.57-4-199.71.9266275800No46,129
6-3-3InNo2412596No17
107-5-095.20.4025359254000No888,660
6-4-296.20.50154592740No1,323
9.56-5-187.10.00012453811200No49,719
5-4-382.4No6354118No17
96-6-053.70.00002173429134100No788,437
5-5-251.7No011535301440No1,164
8.55-6-125.4No00421342711200No37,505
4-5-355.6No11441133No9
85-7-06.0No0015142628186100No500,711
4-6-24.7No0415302617700No719
7.54-7-10.4No000314293117510No19,356
3-6-3OutNo20402020No5
74-8-00.0No00002102330249200No226,263
3-7-2OutNo3825312571No291
6.53-8-1OutNo02925352261No7,030
2-7-3OutNo100No1
63-9-0OutNo001824352470No70,554
2-8-2OutNo1102133269No70
5.52-9-1OutNo021032391710.1%1,638
52-10-0OutNo00215383860.214,543
1-9-2OutNo69238No13
4.51-10-1OutNo032454190.5209
41-11-0OutNo011357296.51,760
3.50-11-1OutNo653511.817
30-12-0OutNo1376234.4416
Total:68.5%9.7%10531351597543211000.0%3,989,776

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/5100.0*Lottery seed
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 +0.1
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 -0.1
Bengals 20 Bills 16 -0.0
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 +0.0
Eagles 34 Cardinals 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Lottery seed
Broncos vs NY Giants-0.6+0.7+2.1
Chiefs vs Steelers+0.1+0.0-0.2
Raiders vs LA Chargers+0.0-0.1-0.1
Texans vs Browns+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Ravens vs Bears+0.0+0.0-0.1
Titans vs Colts+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Buccaneers-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Vikings vs Packers+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

The Official NFL Page

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1512-0-01000
14.511-0-11000
1411-1-094303
10-0-2100
13.510-1-186626
9-0-3100
1310-2-06316700140
9-1-264148113
12.59-2-1421911010280
129-3-017231533003910
8-2-2162117520371
11.58-3-14161254005620
7-2-329141443
118-4-01859621054123000
7-3-21838611551330
10.57-4-10216332049268000
6-3-3241235246
107-5-00002132124351964100
6-4-20012331243521630
9.56-5-10001115401919103000
5-4-3635182418
96-6-0000001116925111512620000
5-5-20011149261315125200
8.55-6-10000402051422201041000
4-5-31144112211
85-7-000010502715212115731000
4-6-20413714242315720
7.54-7-100000027172525157200
3-6-320402020
74-8-00000001271523241782000
3-7-202812262415920
6.53-8-10026162627166100
2-7-3100
63-9-0000310212823124100
2-8-23624342193
5.52-9-1014142629197100
52-10-000311252921820
1-9-2151531318
4.51-10-117232930100
41-11-001102535226
3.50-11-112354112
30-12-003144834
Total:5532211121147734333322221110000000