Miami Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.06 to 46%
4-2-0   .667

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Dolphins 31 Bears 28 +10.1
+7.3
-0.3
+1.0
Patriots 43 Chiefs 40 -1.6
-3.4
-0.1
NY Jets 42 Colts 34 -0.9
-1.4
-0.0
-0.0
Titans 0 Ravens 21 -0.5
Cowboys 40 Jaguars 7 +0.3
Browns 14 LA Chargers 38 -0.2
Texans 20 Bills 13 +0.2
+0.5
+0.0
Broncos 20 LA Rams 23 +0.2
+0.0
Vikings 27 Cardinals 17 -0.0
Raiders 3 Seahawks 27 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Dolphins vs Lions+8.5+0.7-10.9
+6.0-0.5-7.7
+0.7+0.0-0.9
Bears vs Patriots+1.6*+0.1-2.3
+3.7+0.6-5.3
+0.1+0.0-0.2
NY Jets vs Vikings-1.2*+0.1+1.9
-1.6+0.2+2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
LA Chargers vs Titans-0.9+0.4+1.7
Chiefs vs Bengals+0.6+0.8-0.9
Ravens vs Saints-0.5+0.2+0.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Buccaneers vs Browns+0.3*-0.0-0.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Colts vs Bills+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.2+0.1-0.4
Cardinals vs Broncos+0.2*+0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dolphins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516PickCount
1410-0-0InYes9640No180,523
13.59-0-1In100.0%95500No24,139
139-1-0In99.580190010No1,737,094
8-0-2In99.4841501No1,562
12.58-1-1In98.874241010No225,659
7-0-3InYes78202No60
128-2-0100.0%95.0444470500No8,177,625
7-1-2In95.944457040No12,866
6-0-4InYes100No1
11.57-2-1100.091.33247120800No942,035
6-1-3In91.2334612090No410
117-3-099.879.01040272164000No22,577,892
6-2-299.880.3104128215400No47,149
5-1-4In87.5503813No8
10.56-3-199.168.2428334229100No2,257,819
5-2-399.166.14283042491No1,314
106-4-090.148.1010281018249100No40,444,365
5-3-290.548.8093091824810No96,906
4-2-496.753.31037717273No30
9.55-4-176.332.50218121430194000No3,451,768
4-3-375.932.302161314301951No2,319
95-5-039.716.800610419312271000No49,105,844
4-4-239.616.6061041932226100No122,308
3-3-440.618.86136163128No32
8.54-5-116.27.1016182634195100No3,470,143
3-4-317.06.80151927321941No2,225
84-6-03.72.300201824322282000No40,877,358
3-5-23.42.10020182433238100No97,499
2-4-413.310.010320172010173No30
7.53-6-10.40.40000172334248100No2,294,623
2-5-30.40.2000172534238100No1,401
73-7-00.10.1000001721312611200No23,043,221
2-6-20.00.00001621332611200No48,175
1-5-4OutNo1010301040No10
6.52-7-10.00.0000051833291220No965,135
1-6-3OutNo061335301420No451
62-8-0OutNo00162033281110.0%8,406,580
1-7-2OutNo015193429111No13,625
5.51-8-1OutNo00520383060.1232,640
0-7-3OutNo21740347No58
51-9-0OutNo00193144152.01,793,379
0-8-2OutNo182948131.51,588
4.50-9-1OutNo011248387.124,648
40-10-0OutNo006464824.1186,315
Total:46.0%28.6%491157111111976432100.0%210,868,832
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/11100.0*Lottery seed
Dolphins 31 Bears 28 -2.2
Patriots 43 Chiefs 40 +0.1
Bengals 21 Steelers 28 +0.1
Raiders 3 Seahawks 27 +0.1
Broncos 20 LA Rams 23 -0.1
NY Jets 42 Colts 34 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Lottery seed
Dolphins vs Lions-1.6-0.0+2.1
Bears vs Patriots-0.2-0.1+0.3
NY Jets vs Vikings+0.1+0.0-0.1
LA Chargers vs Titans+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chiefs vs Bengals+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1410-0-07818400
13.59-0-174215000
139-1-04437180000100
8-0-2463815001
12.58-1-13638231100100
7-0-347321822
128-2-0113337770005000
7-1-21133387700400
6-0-4100
11.57-2-1527361112008000
6-1-3528351212090
117-3-01919212342015140000
6-2-21101921244201414000
5-1-43813251313
10.56-3-1047202584019390100
5-2-3472122740213910
106-4-0001912168212623191000
5-3-20018131781126231810
4-2-410132371072333
9.55-4-10023158458265176100
4-3-302313945826417710
95-5-00000646131010212312310000
4-4-20006461310102223113100
3-3-4639696222863
8.54-5-10011501177212718820000
3-4-3011511882027187200
84-6-00000200011310182320136200000
3-5-2000200113101823201362000
2-4-410373171037103
7.53-6-1000000002615242517820000
2-5-300000016162524168300
73-7-000000000002512192320125200000
2-6-20000025121923201251000
1-5-410101020301010
6.52-7-100000391926241451000
1-6-3012518262416510
62-8-0000139192523145100
1-7-20013918252313510
5.51-8-1001312243021710
0-7-323721282893
51-9-000028203026122
0-8-20028213123122
4.50-9-10152137297
40-10-000018264124
Total:13456532528377555433332211110000