Pittsburgh Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.07 to 62.8%
3-2-0   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*Average seed
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 -6.0
-8.8
-0.8
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 -1.5
+0.5
-0.1
Bengals 20 Bills 16 -1.0
+1.4
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 -0.2
-0.1
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 +0.2
-2.2
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*Average seed
Chiefs vs Steelers-5.9*+1.0+12.9
-2.6*+0.3+5.7
-0.5+0.2+1.2
Ravens vs Bears-1.8*-0.5+4.0
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Texans vs Browns-0.3*+0.2+1.0
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Broncos vs NY Giants-0.2*+0.2+0.8
-0.0*+0.2+0.2
Raiders vs LA Chargers-0.2*-0.0+0.4
Jaguars vs LA Rams-0.3*+0.2+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Steelers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inFirstChance will finish regular season at seedFirst
TWW-L-TplayoffsSeed12345678910111213141516PickCount
1411-0-0In96.6%9730No3,584
13.510-0-1In86.78713No345
1310-1-0In72.97325200No35,469
9-0-2In88.28812No17
12.59-1-1In55.35539500No3,207
129-2-0In34.9354618100No168,938
8-1-2In39.740411711No116
11.58-2-1100.0%17.71850273200No13,246
7-1-3InNo6733No3
118-3-0100.08.08354410310No460,387
7-2-2In5.253744931No443
10.57-3-199.81.62224620830No31,041
6-2-3In20.0205030No10
107-4-098.40.509383597100No802,631
6-3-298.60.81939369510No931
9.56-4-191.10.0022043918710No46,786
5-3-391.7No255888No12
96-5-075.90.00110455161572000No942,030
5-4-273.5No094261717720No1,137
8.55-5-141.9No0229110232210200No46,458
4-4-335.3No296183512No17
85-6-026.4No002204122322124100No758,527
4-5-224.5No021041022241450No978
7.54-6-17.6No070212263017510No30,690
3-5-3OutNo223344No9
74-7-04.5No04000312252919610No421,637
3-6-24.0No4121022302461No500
6.53-7-10.7No102926362150No13,309
2-6-3OutNo100No1
63-8-00.3No00021128342050No158,405
2-7-2OutNo21322322551No167
5.52-8-1OutNo02123236172No3,665
52-9-00.0No000318393360.1%38,278
1-8-2OutNo41130487No27
4.51-9-1OutNo062449210.7609
41-10-0OutNo011549354.65,492
3.50-10-1OutNo4326413.253
30-11-0OutNo1267333.7621
Total:62.8%3.4%3917254677654321100.0%3,989,776
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/5100.0*Lottery seed
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 +1.7
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 +0.2
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Lottery seed
Chiefs vs Steelers+1.1-0.5-2.4
Ravens vs Bears+0.2+0.1-0.5
Texans vs Browns+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Broncos vs NY Giants+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Saints vs Lions+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

The Official NFL Page

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1411-0-093330
13.510-0-182513
1310-1-05815240200
9-0-2711812
12.59-1-13718381500
129-2-015203891701000
8-1-2162433916111
11.58-2-141435152613020000
7-1-36733
118-3-017132232129031100
7-2-205142433109031
10.57-3-102319242118252300
6-2-320104030
107-4-000191028231245511000
6-3-211811282412454110
9.56-4-1002119192418987200
5-3-325421788
96-5-00010911340541158631000
5-4-20091032055127874100
8.55-5-1022271010310171583100
4-4-329662418666
85-6-000012100401510161714731000
4-5-201200402481718139320
7.54-6-1007000026152323146200
3-5-344113311
74-7-000400000026132023181041000
3-6-240026121624191231
6.53-7-110002717272514510
2-6-3100
63-8-00000139182523145100
2-7-2139192325155
5.52-8-101517252818510
52-9-00001311222922920
1-8-2415113733
4.51-9-12925322291
41-10-00292735235
3.50-10-129344213
30-11-003194434
Total:1245710916122422333433332211110000