Indianapolis Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.09 to 34%
1-1-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Browns 21 NY Jets 17 +0.1
+0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Eagles vs Colts-6.8+1.2+8.8
-4.7-0.3+6.1
+0.8-0.4-1.0
-0.8+0.2+1.0
Texans vs NY Giants-0.5+0.2+0.7
-0.6+0.2+0.8
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Jaguars vs Titans-0.4*-0.1+0.6
-1.3+0.3+2.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers+0.3*+0.0-0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Bengals+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Chiefs vs 49ers-0.3+0.3+0.5
Buccaneers vs Steelers+0.3-0.1-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Lions vs Patriots+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Ravens vs Broncos-0.0+0.3+0.0
Dolphins vs Raiders-0.1+0.2+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Vikings vs Bills+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Seahawks vs Cowboys-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Bears+0.1*+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Colts vs Texans+8.0-2.0-11.6
+5.9-2.6-8.5
-0.9-0.2+1.3
+0.9-0.1-1.4
Jaguars vs NY Jets-1.1-0.3+1.4
-2.8-0.3+3.6
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Titans vs Eagles-1.0+0.3+1.2
-1.3+0.4+1.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Falcons vs Bengals+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
LA Chargers vs 49ers-0.4+0.3+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Raiders vs Browns+0.3-0.1-0.3
Steelers vs Ravens+0.2+0.1-0.2
Broncos vs Chiefs-0.1+0.3+0.1
Packers vs Bills+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Patriots vs Dolphins-0.0+0.1+0.0
Cowboys vs Lions-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cardinals vs Seahawks+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Colts finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516PickCount
1514-0-0InYes1000No126,741
14.513-0-1InYes991No10,598
1413-1-0In100.0%97300No763,832
12-0-2InYes973No1,065
13.512-1-1In99.996400No141,307*
1312-2-0In99.487120010No5,030,832
11-1-2In99.68712000No11,985*
12.511-2-1In98.281161020No856,925*
1211-3-0100.0%95.8593250400No20,240,693
10-2-2In96.260314040No66,823*
11.510-3-1100.091.0453780900No3,141,848
9-2-3In92.145388180No3,152*
1110-4-099.983.82039213152000No55,526,612
9-3-2100.084.421402131410No221,647*
10.59-4-199.772.1930277235000No7,813,682
8-3-399.672.493027622500No9,282*
109-5-095.758.72132717221540000No110,013,378
8-4-296.159.1213271722153000No494,251*
9.58-5-185.841.30417201925112000No13,882,349
7-4-385.841.60417201925122000No18,303*
98-6-054.127.2017207202415610000No162,230,791
7-5-254.726.901620721241551000No778,519*
8.57-6-124.913.50011211024271761000No18,123,503
6-5-325.413.901132102328176100No25,485*
87-7-08.36.60060271826231341000No180,909,141
6-6-27.86.1006027182724124100No884,185*
7.56-7-11.91.9020015172827154100No17,618,335
5-6-32.01.90201516282715510No24,534*
76-8-00.60.600100013122429218200.0%153,274,459
5-7-20.50.5010001312243021820No733,688*
6.55-8-10.10.100000210253222710.012,755,458
4-7-30.10.100021025322271No16,943*
65-9-00.00.0000002924342460.198,219,086
4-8-20.00.000002925352460.1441,957*
5.54-9-10.00.000002123138160.86,783,052
3-8-3OutNo002113139170.97,968*
54-10-00.00.0000031842367.246,828,246
3-9-2OutNo0031743377.2186,691*
4.53-10-1OutNo0017365620.72,578,557
2-9-3OutNo07355720.32,693
43-11-0OutNo0002247443.016,123,064
2-10-2OutNo002237543.453,180*
3.52-11-1OutNo01138765.1663,242*
32-12-0OutNo0069380.63,786,088
1-11-2OutNo059481.29,052*
2.51-12-1OutNo029891.5103,069*
21-13-0OutNo019996.0542,687
0-12-2OutNo010096.1723
1.50-13-1OutNo010098.87,457
10-14-0OutNo010099.5109,242
Total:34.0%22.5%45685677777776651.6%942,196,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Browns 21 NY Jets 17 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Eagles vs Colts+1.7-0.4-2.3
Jaguars vs Titans+0.1-0.0-0.1
Seahawks vs Cowboys+0.0-0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Bengals+0.0-0.0-0.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers-0.0+0.0+0.1
Redskins vs Packers-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Lottery seed
Colts vs Texans-1.8+0.3+2.6
Jaguars vs NY Jets+0.1+0.0-0.1
Raiders vs Browns-0.1+0.0+0.1
Titans vs Eagles+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cowboys vs Lions-0.0+0.0+0.1
Packers vs Bills+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-09900
14.513-0-19811
1413-1-09443000
12-0-29343
13.512-1-19064000
1312-2-0741312000100
11-1-27414120000
12.511-2-16318160100200
1211-3-0342530250004000
10-2-23426302400400
11.510-3-11926335800090000
9-2-31926335801800
1110-4-041625142013013120000
9-3-24162614191301311000
10.59-4-11813172246019350000
8-3-3191317225601935000
109-5-002211151215214814141000
8-4-202211151215214814130000
9.58-5-100045121647122151130000
7-4-300451216571220511300
98-6-0001161010161011181683100000
7-5-20011610101610111916821000
8.57-6-10001390119112122146200000
6-5-300131002191021221462000
87-7-000016000214101619181373100000
6-6-2000150001141016191813731000
7.56-7-10020000027142223179310000
5-6-3002000271421231793100
76-8-0000100000002591519191594100000
5-7-200100000249151920169410000
6.55-8-10000000025132124191031000
4-7-300002614212419103100
65-9-000000000261219232012510
4-8-200000251220232012410
5.54-9-100000161526281861
3-8-3000151525281761
54-10-000000014112331237
3-9-200014112331237
4.53-10-10000210283921
2-9-30210284020
43-11-000003153943
2-10-20003143943
3.52-11-100053065
32-12-00011881
1-11-2011781
2.51-12-100891
21-13-000496
0-12-2496
1.50-13-1199
10-14-00100
Total:22323343324244444443344333333222