Indianapolis Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.01 to 2.6%
2-3-0   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Colts 26 49ers 23 +1.0
-5.9
+0.5
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 -0.3
-0.2
-0.0
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 +0.2
+0.5
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 -0.1
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 +0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 +0.1
+0.5
-0.0
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 -0.1
-1.3
NY Giants 22 LA Chargers 27 -0.3
-0.1
Bengals 20 Bills 16 +0.2
-0.1
Bears 17 Vikings 20 -0.2
Eagles 34 Cardinals 7 +0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Titans vs Colts-1.3-0.4+2.5
+1.4-1.2-2.7
-0.6-0.0+1.1
Jaguars vs LA Rams-0.1*-0.2+0.3
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Texans vs Browns-0.1*+0.3+0.3
-0.5+0.9+1.4
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Broncos vs NY Giants-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.5+1.1
Raiders vs LA Chargers-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Ravens vs Bears-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.2*+0.2+0.5
Chiefs vs Steelers+0.0*-0.2-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Falcons vs Dolphins+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Redskins vs 49ers-0.2+0.5+0.4
Saints vs Lions-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Cardinals vs Buccaneers+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Panthers vs Eagles-0.1*-0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs Patriots+0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Colts finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inFirstChance will finish regular season at seedFirst
TWW-L-TplayoffsSeed12345678910111213141516PickCount
1311-0-0In80.1%8020No322
12.510-0-1InNo100No2
1210-1-0In54.0544221No161
11.59-1-1In32.13254411No28
119-2-0100.0%19.119521111610No2,251
8-1-2InNo100No1
10.58-2-1In3.8432244279No339
108-3-098.71.5221226341410No16,211
7-2-2InNo2020202020No15
9.57-3-187.8No414102436111No1,980
6-2-3InNo100No1
97-4-070.50.001710173524500No75,796
6-3-276.7No111131340203No103
8.56-4-126.0No01621734271120No8,102
5-3-333.3No1122114411No9
86-5-010.2No003172734217100No245,397
5-4-29.1No117312921721No362
7.55-5-10.7No002122732196100No22,058
4-4-3OutNo2222331111No9
75-6-00.2No0000416303015400No560,009
4-5-2OutNo031427331650No852
6.54-6-10.0No00017223426810No40,755
3-5-36.7No772733207No15
64-7-00.0No00021028362040No888,528
3-6-2OutNo1927372240No1,196
5.53-7-1OutNo001828412120.0%51,774
2-6-3OutNo8173342No12
53-8-0OutNo00216433540.1971,161
2-7-2OutNo0215433630.11,091
4.52-8-1OutNo0042753160.841,409
1-7-3OutNo33588No12
42-9-0OutNo011660224.4692,811
1-8-2OutNo011562226.2569
3.51-9-1OutNo05484714.519,370
0-8-3OutNo3367No3
31-10-0OutNo02465227.4289,036
0-9-2OutNo2504729.9137
2.50-10-1OutNo1237652.23,944
20-11-0OutNo0227865.053,945
Total:2.6%0.0%000011234579131925103.8%3,989,776
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/5100.0*Lottery seed
Colts 26 49ers 23 -1.2
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 +0.1
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 +0.1
Bengals 20 Bills 16 +0.0
Bears 17 Vikings 20 -0.0
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Lottery seed
Titans vs Colts+1.0-0.5-1.8
Broncos vs NY Giants-0.1+0.0+0.2
Ravens vs Bears-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Texans vs Browns-0.0+0.1+0.1
Falcons vs Dolphins-0.0*-0.1+0.1
Panthers vs Eagles-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

The Official NFL Page

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1311-0-0747200
12.510-0-1100
1210-1-01440301221
11.59-1-118142529411
119-2-0019944651011510
8-1-2100
10.58-2-145271213401899
108-3-020212203352886100
7-2-220202071320
9.57-3-140144622216199300
6-2-3100
97-4-00010719017233610841000
6-3-211113112436783312
8.56-4-101052017414211911410
5-3-31122331122
86-5-00003107015111821181141000
5-4-2117115101721181052
7.55-5-100000161624251782000
4-4-311331111111111
75-6-0000000015111924211251000
4-5-213111923221461
6.54-6-100015152527187200
3-5-37727202777
64-7-00000027162525166100
3-6-202816232715720
5.53-7-10014132629207100
2-6-3833172517
53-8-000002102230231020
2-7-201392329241020
4.52-8-1002823342481
1-7-317173333
42-9-00002102736214
1-8-202112836176
3.51-9-10212343815
0-8-33367
31-10-00005234427
0-9-214244130
2.50-10-1183952
20-11-0043165
Total:000000000001000112223456791011121184